Posted on 10/06/2016 11:52:17 AM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com
US National Weather Service Jacksonville Weather.gov/JAX@NWSJacksonville
The storm poses an imminent threat of tropical storm and/or hurricane conditions to SOME PORTION of the Warning area.
Heed the advice of Local officials. Be careful about rumors, erroneous social media posts and unwarranted speculation.
Major Hurricane Matthew Briefing Situation Overview
...THIS IS NOW A WORST CASE STORM SURGE SCENARIO...
Catastrophic Damage is Anticipated for Coastal Areas.
Major Hurricane Matthew is still expected to move DANGEROUSLY CLOSE the Florida First Coast and Southeast Georgia Coast Friday through Friday night into Saturday with catastrophic impacts expected along and near the coast.
A major hurricane has not impacted this area in 118 years, since October 2nd 1898. There is NO local living memory of the potential of this event. If a direct landfall occurs this will be unlike any hurricane in the modern era. . The western eyewall is expected to move along a portions of the coast with sustained winds 115 to 125 mph and gusts in the most affected areas! Winds will be higher in high rise structures in Downtown Florida possibly strong Category 4 to Category 5 intensity!
Some of the lowest barrier islands will be completely overtopped with large battering wave and life threatening flooding. Barrier islands are likely to breached and it is extremely possible that new inlets will be cut in the worst affected areas.
Please, Please heed the advice of public and emergency management officials. 40 people in New York and New Jersey did not heed these warning during Sandy and died in the storm surge! This will be a MUCH Greater surge than Sandy had along the New Jersey Shore!
Awesome.
The nra has the best ads!
What a dumb loon you are. Pathetic.
Little brother evacuated to Georgia from Melbourne Florida this morning .... his home is about 5 miles from the coast there .... gathered up the family and dog and headed north and inland.
CNN is idiotic. The snowflakes haven’t seen many hurricanes and they bank on that.
Thanks .....
“Worst” is relative.
Simply going by category of course means a big chance for many in each of the few categories.
This could mean actual damage vs simply the storm itself.
You must be thinking only wind. When you are 3 feet above sea level and the storm surge is 12 feet with a 12 to 18 feet wave on top of the storm surge, there is nothing left. This is where most of the damage is done. Millions of trees will be felled, too. The wind is strong enough to hurl objects into buildings and throw trucks into swimming pools.
Google Camille and Pass Christian.
Yes. They are media whores. They just had a lady on that said "now is the time to take government seriously ...". She was referring to government officials urging evacuations etc. But it sure did sound funny.
You do realize that they are calling for a 7 to 12 feet storm surge from Florida’s east central coast to north coast. On top of the storm surge, they are forecasting waves of 12 to 18 feet. You do realize that 7+12 = 19 or 12+18=30? You do know that means there will be a wall of water from 19 feet to 30 feet smashing across the coast pushed by over 100 mph winds? You do know that anything in its path is wiped off the map? You do know that in the Daytona Beach area, in addition to the storm surge, they are calling for the water in the St. John’s river to be not only pushed up over its banks by the wind but will also have a storm surge of about 10 feet. This river is miles inland. You do know they are calling for sustained winds of 85 to 105 mph to last about 6 to 9 hours with gusts up to 130 mph. People will be without power and roofs for months. If you come visit, those blue tarps you will see are to cover up missing roofs. Ignorance like yours is sickening.
LOL!
So far this storm is a big nothing.
Pray America wakes
source, please?
I’m sick of more Sycamore trees.
Had one, two years ago had a small 3” limb fall and break out a clearance light off the top of my Dually.
Those are brittle as hell and drop a ton of leaves.
Have a quite night.
By the way there has never been a dog made that I could not love.
I have had a Norrbottenspetx for three years now. don’t get me started on him. Look the breed up on YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TjGIkx2iyB4G
kite surfing - Matthew : crazy
https://mobile.twitter.com/Nomysahir/status/784258997482237953/video/1
This “worst hurricane” theme developed out of the rather limited observation that no major hurricane had made landfall north of Melbourne since 1898. Otherwise there is no comparison with Andrew in 1992 or Katrina, Hugo, and a number of other recent storms.
That being said, nobody north of about Vero Beach now should take this lightly. There was some information going out recently that it had shifted east away from the coast. That was actually some model tracks. The actual hurricane perversely is tracking towards the coast. You can see it on radar quite clearly, the eye is making a steady move towards Cocoa Beach where the landfall seems likely to come around 0700-0800 EDT.
From there I think it will move inland past Cape Canaveral and run up the coast from Daytona Beach to at least mid-Georgia if not Charleston SC.
The bottom line is this, storm surge will be a potential killer in some places, it is confirmed that the predicted storm surge is already building (fire chief in Satellite Beach says 8 feet already, prediction there was 11-13 feet and that seems realistic because peak will not come until maybe 0400-0600h).
From Palm Beach south, the storm basically went past you already, it will be tropical storm force now to mid-morning but nothing too severe.
But from about Vero Beach north, this is going to be a high impact storm. Don’t let your guard down, if you stayed for the show.
A sobering thought: one gallon of water weighs around eight pounds; consider how many gallon jugs needed to stack to twelve feet high (about 16), then make that stack eight feet thick, to simulate a simple wave (8 x 16 = 128 jugs ... 128 x 8 = ! Just a single twelve foot wave can push a car away (3000 pound car x 1/4 has each wheel only carrying 750 pounds, so the wave has more weight (not even considering the inertia of the water moving or the buoyancy factor once the car is resting on water being pushed along like a battering ram) than each wheel is carrying. Folks, water when moving is very powerful. Storm surge plus wind whipped waves are a deadly force.
That’s my fence. It’s plastic, and I have it mounted on hinges. ;)
Bookmark!
I think about 50 mph steady winds somewhere SE of Melbourne now. But the eyewall is still well offshore and the winds will be dramatically higher there. I think everyone from Melbourne south can ignore the hurricane warnings now, winds will be offshore and diminishing.
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