| This thread has been locked, it will not receive new replies. |
|
Locked on 10/06/2016 6:07:28 AM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason:
New thread |
Posted on 10/01/2016 7:00:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Matthew is big, bad and just downright scary, and we await the long anticipated sharp turn northward. Jamaica is completing final storm preparations. All interests in the Eastern U.S. and Bahamas should be carefully watching the track of Mighty Matthew.
Ripped straight from the NHC Discussion page:
Matthew remains south of a low-to mid-level ridge over
the western Atlantic. The dynamical models forecast this ridge to
weaken over the next 72 hours as a mid- to upper-level trough develops
over the Gulf of Mexico. This evolution should cause Matthew to turn
northwestward after 24 hours and northward by 48-72 hours. The guidance
generally agrees with this scenario. However, there is a spread between
the GFS forecast of landfall in Jamaica and eastern Cuba and the ECMWF
forecast landfall in southwestern Haiti. The guidance becomes more
divergent after 72 hours.
Cone of Death Historic Archive Loop
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
Buoy 42058 Central Caribbean (in storm path)
Florida & Eastern Gulf Buoy Locations
SE Atlantic Coast Buoy Locations
SE U.S. Radar Sector
Gitmo Radar (primitive)
Jamaica Radar Loop (primitive)
If the info above doesn't satisfy your need for speed and graphics, strap yourself in for a ride to Mike's Weather Page
Amazing how far inland those threat areas extend.
Nassau is getting walloped.
And even IF they survive the storm with a fairly intact house with no flooding there will be NO POWER OR MUNI WATER/SEWAGE for weeks, maybe months. The house we live in right now was w/o power for 4 WEEKS after katrina and muni water for 4 weeks as well. And we’re over 100 miles from the coast. It was a hot, humid, buggy hell w/o even clean sheets after a while. And beanie weenie out of a can gets old. Fast.
The ‘stayers’ are thinking about making it through the storm. It’s the aftermath that sucks bigtime. This neighborhood threw a party when the power came on.
Further south, when the power went out the a/c’s shut off. By the time they got power restored, the heaters clicked on (it was after Halloween and Katrina hit end of August).
https://twitter.com/ryanelijah/status/783967781394022400
Holy cow if true: “This is stunning to me, Brevard Sheriff’s Office tells us 50% of residents are *ignoring* the mandatory evacuation order. #fox35”
Send in the choppers to pick up Trump voters...
Seriously, all you wonderful Florida FReepers, best of luck from yankeeland, hope the forecasts are wrong, take good care and stay safe!
A couple of wobbles one way or the other by a pretty good sized storm could seal Jacksonville’s fate one way or the other. Chances of predicting that a day or two before the event would be low,IMHO.
Overall trends can be predicted but its all steering currents and wobbles,IMHO.Overall trends they do as good as they can,last minute wobbles hard to tell.
Is Brevard Co. a location that has avoided direct hurricane impacts forever? Expect that residents are lulled into a false sense of safety for this storm.
Lots of FL people are ‘new’ people. I guess?
Latest recon has eye extrapolated to 939 ish.
Jim Cantore now reporting live from across the street of my FIL. He and his lady friend have so far decided to ignore mandatory evacuation saying, "we're fine!" Hopefully they change their mind and leave today. If he begrudgingly does evacuate and Matthew decides to head out to sea, I'm fine with listening to my father-in-law say, "I told you so" every day for the rest of my life.
https://twitter.com/LiveStormsMedia/status/783975318486933504
Pic of recon plane path/pressure/etc.
If true, RI has commenced.
People in East Tennessee were hoping that Matthew would throw some rain our way, but it is not going to happen. Rivers as low as the older folks have ever seen, and no sign of rain for another month.
Meanwhile in Key West everyone is there.
The entire Bahamas fleet is docked there as a safe haven as is every cruise ship in the area,the Coast guard and Navy. The Outer Mole and Key West Harbor is packed with ships.My daughter does cruise ship tours and is up on all this.
To answer your question about major canes and this part of FL:
https://twitter.com/AlexCorderoWX/status/783976460080017408
Will outdo Frances and Jeanne, ‘local winds will exceed those of 2004 storms...’
It does show a loop over FL again and into the GOM. Who knows what we’ll be talking about next weekend...
Ignoring an evac is dumb.The only way they win in that event is if the storm gets downgraded faster than expected and they are on the clean side of the eye.Both are gambles I would not take especially if an evac was ordered.
Anyone who wants to see what a Cat 4 can do, search Google images for hurricane Hazel.
Ditto.
The aftermath is like Mad Max. Why do that deliberately? Especially with kids/old people...
You've certainly had your share of storm impacts over the years. You deserve respite for this one.
Let’s just hope this oversized bully stays out at sea , as TN is that dry it could cause all sorts of nasty flooding.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
