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The USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election "Daybreak" Poll (T: 47.1, C: 41.7)
http://cesrusc.org/election/ ^ | 9/20/16

Posted on 09/20/2016 4:21:00 AM PDT by PapaBear3625

see link

(Excerpt) Read more at cesrusc.org ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; clinton; donaldtrump; elections; hillary; hillaryclinton; poll; polling; polls; trump
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Trump's lead narrows slightly, but still ahead by 5.4
1 posted on 09/20/2016 4:21:00 AM PDT by PapaBear3625
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To: PapaBear3625

We need it to be 15 points lead to counter the 10 points of fraud coming this year.


2 posted on 09/20/2016 4:22:45 AM PDT by Lazamataz (MSM ignoring Hillary's health until forced, shows us they are the MPM: Ministry of Propaganda Media)
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To: PapaBear3625

Two “internals” caught my eye. One being the most recent “first day” influx of African American support for Trump expired (first uptick was on 9/12). That sample is not in the 7-day average mix any more. The other is a drop in support among 18-25 year olds.


3 posted on 09/20/2016 4:24:33 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: PapaBear3625

4 posted on 09/20/2016 4:24:48 AM PDT by ShivaFan
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To: PapaBear3625

No real movement for Hillary.

Trump’s lead is here to stay for good.


5 posted on 09/20/2016 4:24:54 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: goldstategop

Hope you’re right.
NBC’s Survey Monkey today shows her “regaining momentum” and leading by about 5 or 6 points (reaching 50% as well)!
Interestingly, I read a thread elsewhere that said NBC pollster Peter Hart predicts Trump will win!!!


6 posted on 09/20/2016 4:34:56 AM PDT by edie1960
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To: edie1960

Survey Monkey? Let me guess D+ oversampled junk poll.

Peter Hart is right on the money.


7 posted on 09/20/2016 4:36:28 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: edie1960

Ignore Survey Monkey. That is not credible.


8 posted on 09/20/2016 4:36:49 AM PDT by eekitsagreek
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To: goldstategop

The Dems have gone from relishing the debates as an opportunity to apply the coup de grace to dreading them as Hillary’s last act.


9 posted on 09/20/2016 4:37:13 AM PDT by relictele (Principiis obsta & Finem respice - Resist The Beginnings & Consider The Ends.)
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To: relictele

Hillary has her excuse prepared to skip the debates.

If she’s healthy enough to be there next Monday, people are going to see if she can power through.


10 posted on 09/20/2016 4:41:00 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: edie1960
-- NBC's Survey Monkey today shows her "regaining momentum" --

I disagree with the survey showing that. I read that article. The headline and prose in the article say she is regaining momentum, but the facts and survey results do not support the claim. The poll is "flat."

11 posted on 09/20/2016 4:44:08 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: Cboldt

Liberals wouldn’t lie to make Hillary look good and come out with faked polls to show her better than she actually is, right?

Oh they’ll do it up until the week before the election and then they’ll come closer to reality because they don’t want to look like complete fools.


12 posted on 09/20/2016 4:47:03 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: goldstategop
-- Hillary has her excuse prepared to skip the debates. --

That's risky too. She has a tough choice. No show and take an indefinite negative hit (she's focus group or polled the size of this hypothetical hit), or show and hope for the best.

The press is going to claim she won the debate, just as it claimed she won the Lauer forum appearance. I haven't seen Begala out with his customary bluster that Hillary is going to crush Trump in the debate.

I think what will happen is managing the expectation game. Hillary will signal "not feeling well," and her performance will be chalked up to that infirmity.

13 posted on 09/20/2016 4:49:04 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: edie1960
Can't seem to find "weighted", but here's Survey Monkey "unweighted"

14 posted on 09/20/2016 4:49:38 AM PDT by Voluntaryist
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To: goldstategop
-- Liberals wouldn't lie to make Hillary look good and come out with faked polls to show her better than she actually is, right? --

Of course they lie. The NBC Monkeyshines report is a lie. It even lies about itself!

I don't think the polls are capturing the enthusiasm for Trump. Rumor has it that there is a substantial number of people who blow off voting in the uniparty charade, who will vote to blow it up.

15 posted on 09/20/2016 4:51:57 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: relictele

And I hope that Mr. Assange & Co. have some JUICY well timed leaks the day of...


16 posted on 09/20/2016 4:56:14 AM PDT by golas1964
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To: Cboldt

At this point, the function of MSM polls is to depress GOP turnout, not to elect Hillary.

Its designed to make Trump supporters doubt themselves.

We can see its not working.


17 posted on 09/20/2016 4:57:53 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: edie1960
Survey Monkey is an on-line poll... Totally useless... However, let's be honest here.. Outside of these 2 tracking polls (PPD and LATimes), all other polls have them essentially tied... If Trump couldn't pull ,ahead after Hillary's worst 2 weeks so far, now what...

The debates could be pivotal, but we already know the media will pronounce Hillary as the winner... I contend that he needs to spend heavily on ads... More than anything else, that will turn the polls solidly in his favor... Rallies don't get him any additional votes--- he's preaching to the choir... Ads reach undecided voters- some who don't even have Internet access (as a caller stated on Rush's show a couple of weeks ago- she thought Trump was a monster cause that's all she heard on TV). Ads work- whether to reduce his negatives of increase her's.

His comment at an otherwise excellent rally in FL last Friday was telling... He bragged about not advertising and said he preferred to do it the old fashioned way- rallies... Guess what, if they are tied, or up 2-3 on Election Day, fraud will easily wipe that out... And I know it's about the States, but a National lead of 2-3 almost always results in an Electoral win

18 posted on 09/20/2016 4:58:16 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: goldstategop

Agreed


19 posted on 09/20/2016 4:59:00 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: goldstategop
-- We can see its not working. --

Deplorable.

20 posted on 09/20/2016 4:59:19 AM PDT by Cboldt
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