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New bellwether county polling
http://axiomstrategies.com/abc/ ^

Posted on 09/15/2016 8:33:25 AM PDT by Viper652

They added another PA county and he's up big


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Colorado; US: Nevada; US: North Carolina; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; 2016swingstates; elections; loudoncounty; polls; trump; va2016
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1 posted on 09/15/2016 8:33:25 AM PDT by Viper652
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To: Viper652

Monmouth IA: Trump +8 (Minion lost by almost 6, so Trump outperforming Romney by 14).


2 posted on 09/15/2016 8:35:28 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

He’s inching closer and closer in Loundon county Virginia. This was taken before her fall and right before the deplorables comment I believe


3 posted on 09/15/2016 8:40:02 AM PDT by Viper652
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To: Viper652

NICE!

If Trump takes Pennsylvania, he wins.

PERIOD.


4 posted on 09/15/2016 8:45:16 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (You can't spell Hillary without using the letters L, I, A, R)
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To: LS

He’s killing it in PA outperforming Bush


5 posted on 09/15/2016 8:52:57 AM PDT by personalaccts (Is George W going to protect the border?)
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To: LS

So these are, on the whole, awesome:
Trump up 17 in Luzerne (was up 23, but that was a little unrealistic)
Trump up 8 in newly added Northampton PA
Trump up 17 (a massive jump) in Washoe NV
Trump up 1 in Hillsborough (previously was up 2, then 3, so this is a MOE fluctuation)
Trump up BIG in northern OH Sandusky +7, but was up 11. Still, kind of normal some Ds going home to party. This is still a big win.
Trump up 8 in Watuga, NC (double two months ago, so NC is gone for Cankles)
Trump -1 in Loudon, VA but Cankles was up 8, so this is great news
Trump -2 in Jefferson CO, was up 1, before that was down 4, so MOE variation. I think trend is Trump takes CO
Only one to be just silly and out of reach is Door WI Cankles +9. Ryan and Walker doing a job on Trump there.

Just based on this alone, Trump would win OH, PA, NC, NV, and would be in a tie in CO, VA, and FL. But polling and voter registration in VA say it’s gone for Cankles too. I think this shows Trump basically has this election.


6 posted on 09/15/2016 8:56:16 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

“I think this shows Trump basically has this election.”

7 weeks to ago. Debates, MSM onslaught, etc. We’re only in the 3rd quarter of this football game.


7 posted on 09/15/2016 8:58:33 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist (Government is best which governs least.)
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To: LS

Watauga County, NC is home to Appalachian State University, which has grown considerably. It’s probably the largest employer in that county by far. If Trump is +8 in a NC mountain county dominated by a university, he’s doing very well.


8 posted on 09/15/2016 9:00:30 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: BlueStateRightist

Except the other side’s starting QB can’t even stand up.


9 posted on 09/15/2016 9:07:47 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Viper652

Nice! And these polls are from 9/8, before the “Deplorables” comment and Hillary 9/11 stroke out.


10 posted on 09/15/2016 9:08:52 AM PDT by Angels27
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To: TexasFreeper2009
"If Trump takes Pennsylvania, he wins."

Along with Florida, NC, and Ohio (and the expected Mid-West votes) the results will be obvious by 7-8 PM (ET) on election night.

The Demonicrat-controlled big-city precincts will try to delay reporting until they scour cemeteries for additional ballots that give some vote totals larger than the registered population of the precinct. The fifth-column leftist media will ignore that discrepancy.

11 posted on 09/15/2016 9:17:13 AM PDT by Carl Vehse
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To: LS

Trump -1 in Loudon, VA but Cankles was up 8, so this is great news


Yeah, that’s BIG. Wealthy beltway suburb. Bodes very well for Trump taking VA if he can battle Hildabeast to a draw there.


12 posted on 09/15/2016 9:23:06 AM PDT by lodi90 (Clear choice for Conservatives now: TRUMP or lose)
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To: RegulatorCountry

I sense a lot hipster/hippie/whacko lib votes at App will be neutralized by the Frat/sports/”independents” to the point the population outside the university will carry the county for Trump.


13 posted on 09/15/2016 9:47:48 AM PDT by Rebelbase (I am deplorable.)
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To: Carl Vehse

The point I was trying to make was that if Trump wins Penn, it’s a given he also won all the other states needed to win like Florida, NC, Ohio, and Iowa.


14 posted on 09/15/2016 10:01:32 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (You can't spell Hillary without using the letters L, I, A, R)
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To: LS
Trump up 17 (a massive jump) in Washoe NV

This would seem to support the other data indicating momentum toward Trump in NV.

15 posted on 09/15/2016 10:09:49 AM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (You can't have a constitution without a country to go with it)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

Using this information with every other poll this past week, this is we have...

Trump at 266 (1 CD Maine) and he needs just 1 of the remaining 7 battleground states; even NH’s 4 EV sends him to the Whitehouse.

http://www.270towin.com/


16 posted on 09/15/2016 10:35:21 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: TexasFreeper2009
"The point I was trying to make was that if Trump wins Penn, it’s a given he also won all the other states needed to win like Florida, NC, Ohio, and Iowa."

Agree. And with FL, PA, OH. NC in the ET zone, a Trump election will be obvious when the Left Coast polls are still open.

That's a couple of extra hours the fifth-column media anchors will be on suicide watch.

17 posted on 09/15/2016 10:42:50 AM PDT by Carl Vehse
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To: LS
I think this shows Trump basically has this election.

Only among living likely voters. Once the fictional, the dead, and the disinterested have ballots stuffed into the box for them, anything can happen. We have to volunteer for GOTV (get out the vote), as poll watchers, and otherwise to protect election integrity. It's not over until President Trump takes the Oath of Office.

18 posted on 09/15/2016 11:06:32 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: Viper652

Don’t worry, the vote stealing machine will well compensate for and shortfalls for the beast in Loudon and Fairfax. They do it every time...I watch it go down. Sad!


19 posted on 09/15/2016 11:20:56 AM PDT by gr8eman (Don't waste your energy trying to understand commies. Use it to defeat them!)
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To: Carl Vehse
That's a couple of extra hours the fifth-column media anchors will be on suicide watch.

Biggest. Fun. Evah.

20 posted on 09/15/2016 11:22:28 AM PDT by gr8eman (Don't waste your energy trying to understand commies. Use it to defeat them!)
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