Posted on 09/14/2016 3:51:18 PM PDT by Eleutheria5
Hillary now only allegedly leads by 2.3.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
It would be incredible if he could win. We can ditch the liberals demos and GOPe.
It would be incredible if he could win. We can ditch the liberals demos and GOPe.
RCP is ran by partisan Liberals.
There was nothing special about predicting the 2012 election. Mittens was paid to throw the election.
Isn’t it sad that we Conservatives are all so shell-shocked that we can’t even begin to let ourselves even HOPE a teeny-tiny bit that maybe, possibly, hopefully our wretched, corrupt, bought-and-paid-for-two-party-system may be breathing its last?
I follow a few poll aggregator sites and they are all very slow to show Trump’s advance. And very resentful.
I hate to say so but 538 seems to be doing the best job IMO.
There will always be a 2 party system because that’s what the Founders intended to occur. The original issue was and still is the issue strong central government or weak central government. How much of one or the other, that balance will be argued over by 2 main parties because ultimately there are only 2 positions. It may not be these parties but eventually whatever replaces them will coalesce into 2 parties
We stood by silently for 50 years while the Democrats imported millions of new voters and now find ourselves praying for a miracle in the form of Donald Trump to deliver us from the entirely predictable consequences of our inaction.
In a stable race, it's a good barometer... In this race, where 2 huge events occurred over the weekend, polls done weeks ago are absolutely irrelevant.... It also captures polls where the D/R ratio is silly, like YouGov which is D+9
Same with Golden Boy Nate Silver, who still has her at 65% probability.... He's mixing polls from weeks ago with current polls.. Look at the last 6 FL polls... 5 have Trump ahead, 1 is tied... But the sickly criminal gets to nod!
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/florida/
538 isn’t even close... They aggregate polls from weeks ago with current polls... Look at the last 6 FL polls. All but 1 are Trump, 1 is tied, yet Hillary is projected to win.
In a stable race, it's a good barometer... In this race, where 2 huge events occurred over the weekend, polls done weeks ago are absolutely irrelevant.... It also captures polls where the D/R ratio is silly, like YouGov which is D+9
Same with Golden Boy Nate Silver, who still has her at 65% probability.... He's mixing polls from weeks ago with current polls.. Look at the last 6 FL polls... 5 have Trump ahead, 1 is tied... But the sickly criminal gets to nod!
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/florida/
If they would add the other two candidates the poll would be around 1%
I don’t think he had to be paid. He is a GOPe figure and as with all of them, he craved the Nomination as a fitting recognition of his value and services to the Establishment. He simply did NOT want the hassle of being President. He thought he had better things to do. The same goes for Bush I, for Dole, McCain, Ford, for the gopes generally.
RCP does everything it can to keep Hillary on top.
I give it credit for belatedly reflecting truths when they are undeniable, which means the fat lady is going to sing. Wait ‘til two weeks after the last debate, and it will show Trump clearly in the lead.
If Hillary is 6 points ahead with Stein and Johnson Excluded, RCP uses that poll, if Hillary is 1 point ahead with them Included RNC use that poll.
Trump is now winning in Electoral Votes, according to my personal analysis of the latest polls, state-by-state.
I see him with about 298 and on the increase.
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