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To: Eleutheria5
The media gives the RCP averages way too much credit..

In a stable race, it's a good barometer... In this race, where 2 huge events occurred over the weekend, polls done weeks ago are absolutely irrelevant.... It also captures polls where the D/R ratio is silly, like YouGov which is D+9

Same with Golden Boy Nate Silver, who still has her at 65% probability.... He's mixing polls from weeks ago with current polls.. Look at the last 6 FL polls... 5 have Trump ahead, 1 is tied... But the sickly criminal gets to nod!

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/florida/

12 posted on 09/14/2016 4:10:37 PM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

I give it credit for belatedly reflecting truths when they are undeniable, which means the fat lady is going to sing. Wait ‘til two weeks after the last debate, and it will show Trump clearly in the lead.


18 posted on 09/14/2016 4:38:37 PM PDT by Eleutheria5 (“If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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