Posted on 09/14/2016 1:31:20 PM PDT by nhwingut
Washington (CNN)With eight weeks to go before Election Day, Donald Trump holds a narrow lead over Hillary Clinton in Ohio and the two are locked in a near-even contest in Florida, according to new CNN/ORC polls in the two critical battleground states.
Among likely voters in Ohio, Trump stands at 46% to Clinton's 41%, with 8% behind Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2% behind Green Party nominee Jill Stein. In Florida, likely voters split 47% for Trump to 44% for Clinton, within the poll's 3.5 percentage point margin of error, and with 6% behind Johnson and 1% backing Stein.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
CNN editorializing data...
Narrow lead = +5
Near Even = +3
LOL!
Gee, the margin of error in Florida is important now that Trump is in the lead. If the numbers were reversed, Hillary would be pulling away from Trump to sure victory. Or so we would be told.
Marge N. Overa works at CNN now...................
That has got to KILL them to say that on air!!!
None of my Cracker buds in SWFL have any use for Hillary.
The snowbirds have yet to return.
The folks at CNN had to double up on their pain pills after writing this.
Trump seems to have a lock on Ohio with Florida heading that way too. Hard for him to lose if he takes OH and FL.
Slow, gradual, unrelenting.
Unless Hillary Bows Out there is every reason to believe each week will see another few points added to the good side of these polls.
There is no better campaign ad for Trump than a series of positive polls...Trump votes begets Trump votes.
Rick Scott was just on CNN; his Rebuilding America Now. pac will be carpet bombing Pennsylvania with this ad about American steel and jobs: https://rebuildingamericanow.com/
He said the ad was tested in Ohio and they got a 15% increase in positive support for Trump. It’s probably the best ad so far from any candidate.
Also, it is safe and even encouraged by the Trump campaign to donate to this PAC; https://rebuildingamericanow.com/ They have been running ads in Florida for the past two months
However, as repeated polls show a similar margin of victory, the effective margin of error is reduced.
Applying a Bayesian approach to interpreting polls is one of the insights of the political scientist Andrew Gelman. Nate Silver based the 538 methodology on Gelman’s work.
You are all Deplorable! /s
Trump leading in Ohio by 5% is a “narrow lead?”
If Pickles Clinton was leading in Ohio by five points, CNN would say her lead is “massive and insurmountable.”
Clinton/D +5=commanding lead
I love the way the MSM headlines the story - “the race is narrowing” - was it Groucho Marx who once quipped “If I hugged you any closer I’d be standing in back of you”.....
No bias there.
People hate the media even more than they despise Hillary.
HRC is going to bet the bank on the first debate; she’ll be looking for anything—with help from the moderators—to reverse Trump’s momentum. If Clinton can’t stop the bleeding by then (literally and figuratively), she’s probably done, and we may be looking at an tsunami of Reaganesque proportions.
Still, there will almost certainly be an October surprise from the Dims—I’m guessing the weasel who’s New York state’s attorney general will attempt to file charges against Trump and/or his organization. They know the impact of G.W. Bush’s old DWI, which was dropped just before the election in 2000. And, you can’t even rule out a “wag the dog” scenario, although Barry’s willingness to do dirty work for the Clintons may not go that far.
On the other hand, the Clinton camp also has to worry about what Wikileaks and their friends at the FSB have up their sleeves. There is a decent chance that both may have Hillary’s actual health records, unless her doctor keeps everything on her most famous patient completely off-line.
The next six weeks will be very interesting, to say the least.
Dear God hear our prayers and get this man in the White House.
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