Posted on 08/29/2016 3:50:13 AM PDT by taildragger
Media Report: 25% of Current Florida Primary Ballots Never Voted Before, EVER…
[…] We’re in unprecedented, unchartered territory,” said Florida Chamber president and CEO Mark Wilson. “Nobody’s been polling these people, nobody’s been marketing to these people.”….
The “Monster Vote“ is the name attributed to the largest voting bloc in U.S. history. The voters who have/had given up on the political process because it seemed futile to vote for a rigged system where nothing ever changes. –Outlined Here–
However, we first noted the surfacing of the Monster Vote in relation to the political outsider Donald Trump toward the end of 2015. It was, and is, a rather controversial theorem because the voting bloc would make all media polling completely irrelevant.
Throughout the latter part of 2015 and into the first quarter of 2016 we put our research antenna on high alert to see if the indications were real. We paid a statistician to model the data we collected. We made predictions which, if the bloc was accurate, would stun the professional political class.
Tracking social media, geographic “non-media polling” and alternate media matrices led us to believe Trump would dominate in the presidential primary. The predictions modeled the results with uncanny accuracy. Gobsmacking accuracy.
A few months later the New York Times began quietly evolving it’s electoral modeling. Washington Post political writer Bob Costa began talking about something that he too was noticing which tracked with our own research. Large numbers of the electorate who never engaged in the political process before were becoming increasingly visible.
Throughout this entire year there have been indications the “Monster Vote” is very real, but you have to look carefully to see them – and, obviously, you must inoculate yourself from conformational bias. 400,000 donations to Trump less than $200 in June was one such example. The social media app Zip App is yet another. 2,000,000 views of an innocuous Trump facebook video within 24 hours is another.
It’s a tenuous discussion because everyone wants to belittle anyone talking about it (looking at you Rush Limbaugh), and simultaneously those holding Cold Anger intensity don’t talk about it – everyone just goes about their business, yet everyone seems to know.
Well, the left-leaning Tampa Bay Times has just dropped a big bit of data which seems to also confirm the existence of this phenomenon:
[…] “This is huge,” said Marian Johnson, senior vice president of political strategy for the Florida Chamber and one of the foremost experts on Florida campaigns and politics. “I can envision election night when the votes are counted that certain people win that nobody thought had a chance, and that being attributed to this trend.”
As of Thursday morning, more than 855,000 primary ballots had been cast by mail. More than a quarter of those votes came from Floridians who had not voted in the last four primaries and another 20 percent from people who voted in just one of the last four primaries.
In other words, these are not “likely voters” surveyed by most pollsters or targeted by sophisticated political campaigns. The trend applies to Democrats and Republicans alike and across the state, said Johnson, who was shocked when she first spotted the trend developing weeks ago.
“The first thing I did was go back to my data people and said, ‘Are you sure you ran this right?’ “
They had. The data crunchers looked at who requested mail ballots and who is returning them, and categorized each voter by a zero, one, two, three or four — depending on how many of the last four primaries they voted in.
[…] We’re in unprecedented, unchartered territory,” said Florida Chamber president and CEO Mark Wilson. “Nobody’s been polling these people, nobody’s been marketing to these people.” (read more)
♦ Remember, even in honest scientific polling – the poll methodologies are based on “assumptions”, or inputs into the collected poll samples in order to make them representative of the anticipated turnout.
♦ Thanks to Donald Trump, historic turnout trends are obsolete. Additionally, historic demographics and party affiliations are also obsolete. As a consequence any poll data that is relying on obsolete sample methodology is going to be significantly inaccurate.
If the current ballot data reported in Florida (which does indeed line up with the changes in the Florida voter data-base) extends even remotely similar to the other states throughout the nation, the prior prediction graphic below might even be understated:
Quietly below the surface you find The Monster Vote
I think it will vary by state. given different laws. In most states, I "think" they are all processed at the same time....but also given that the votes are recorded on different media (paper absentee vs machine count on election day), it should be easy to tell.
That is NOT true for where I live (near Tacoma WA). We have "all mail in" ballots, although there are limited places one can go and physically vote on "E-Day", the vote is still on the same paper ballot as the "mail-in".
“Media Report 25% of Current Florida Primary Ballots Never-Voted Before EVER”.....
Dogs and Cats, newly arrived “refugees”, undocumented aliens, THE MILITARY VOTES? Sounds like a lot of demodummie activities going on down there in Florida.
This scares me more that massive voter fraud my democrats. Do new voters usually vote absentee?
Seems odd.
Agree it’s a red light for voter fraud. There’s no past history so there’s no nothing to show if they’ve always voted one party for the past 3 decades.
Are they illegals?
Yes, I’m concerned, too.
Are these people energized by Trump, or Walking Dead Dims?
Why would you say that? Different, How?
What article says Absentee Ballots have been sent to every household. That is FALSE!!! If you want an absentee ballot you have to apply for it.
I went back to the thread and you are correct. The linked article (same as referenced in the OP) had some wording that I misread. The article says that most of the “new” voters aren’t new voters at all. They’re just people who normally only vote in general elections.
“Those “new” primary voters included more than 86,000 Democrats, and more than 90,000 Republicans”
“The vast majority of these “new” primary voters are regular general election voters already, Johnson said.”
http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/election/article97969577.html#storylink=cpy
Thanks for double checking. Frankly, I think a lot of today’s articles are written to deliberately confuse...or else their authors never finished a writing class.
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