4 National Tracking Polls Show a Tied Race

Vanity ^ | 8/28/16 | Self

[pb929]

An average of the 4 national daily tracking polls (LA Times/UNC, UPI/CVoter, Reuters/Ipsos and PPD show that Trump has been gaining since about August 14th and the race is now tied.

I've put all of the polling data into a couple of graphs, one showing the state of the race based on the daily tracking polls, and other other showing an overall trend based on all polls. The linked page will be updated whenever new polls are released.

This page shows the real data and filters out the sleight of hand used by the media and the RCP averages.

[bunster]

Re: the debates

Do you think it is to HRC’s advantage to have Johnson (if he gets to 15%, that is) participate?

I ask ‘cause if it’s to her advantage I can see the polls will try to get him to 15.1 or a 14.9, and sympathy vote to let him in, on Sept 25)

[pb929]

“So in other words you change the actual poll results to create a new one that says what you would like it to say, rather than what it really said.”

I’m not exactly sure what you mean. All I’ve done is to put the 4 national daily tracking polls into a single graph and add an average of the 4.

Oh, and pointed out that these 4 polls show a clear trend in Trump’s favor since August 14th and they show a tied race today.

If you want special sauce go check out 538 or one of the other lib sites.

[goldstategop]

We’re not hearing about new MSM polls.

The news isn’t good for Hillary so the media sits on bad news about her.

Given she isn’t running a national campaign.

[Mollypitcher1]

Polls again....telling you what you’re supposed to think. There is no way 92% of Americans just don’t care.You listen to that kind of crap and BELIEVE IT??????????????

[InterceptPoint]

Focus on the polls about two weeks out from the vote.
++++
Exactly. We should call that period “The Pollster’s Reputation Saving Phase” of the election cycle. Historically the race always seems to magically “tighten” during the last couple of weeks before Election Day.

[goldstategop]

We live in a liberal culture.

If the culture was different, life would be easier for a Republican candidate.

Hillary has a built-in advantage out of the starting gate.

Trump is going to have to work very hard to overcome it.

That’s why the polls matter.

[BeadCounter]

Checking Reuters Ipsos; which was one of those showing a deficit, race is tightening up definitely, yes, we want Trump 3% ahead and more.

[DoughtyOne]

Four national polls in need of a reality check...

Ramirez's latest political cartoon LARGE VERSION 08/27/2016: LINK  LINK to regular sized version of Ramirez's latest, and an archive of his political cartoons.
In this political cartoon, Ramirez presents, "Obamacure"

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[Reno89519]

I figure the polls will stay reasonably balanced and the media will do whatever they can to dismiss any Trump lead or good news. I think some peopled are cowed into not admitting to a pollster that they support Trump. The enthusiasm at his events, I’ve been to several, is unmistakable, and the contrast of his huge crowds to Clinton’s meager, small events is undeniable.

[Reno89519]

Johnson and Stein are not factors in the election though I do wonder if they help Trump. What about those Sanders’ supporters that want nothing to do with Clinton and can’t pull the lever for Trump. Do they cost Clinton the election?

[Windflier]

“There is no way 92% of Americans just don’t care.You listen to that kind of crap and BELIEVE IT??”

Andy put a sarc tag in there, but it’s hard to spot. I missed it the first time I read his post.

[Molon Labbie]

How can we even study polls when we know the msm is in the tank for the democratic party, every time?

Everyone that I know voting for Hillary is on the Dem opiate.

The folks I know voting for Trump doesn’t answer polls or plan on skewing their true intent.

[Bon mots]

Trump is rising, Hillary is sinking.

[Graybeard58]

“Tied” equals 10 point Trump advantage.

[AndyJackson]

This response is why I have found it necessary to tag posts like this with the /s for sarcasm tag. But even that is not enough apparently.

And yes, this morning some Hillary hack trotted out the unbelieveable and unsupported proposition that 92% of Americans have decided they don't care, which is astonishing given the presuption that the no less than hard core 40% who support Trump certainly care.

[AndyJackson]

In DC if you were suspected of supporting Trump, a judge would certify you as insane.

[LS]

Johnson in the debates hurts Trump cuz it will be 2 v 1

[Mollypitcher1]

You’re right. Sorry I missed the sarc. tag.

92% of Democrats are scared out of their minds! THAT should be the headline. You bet they care,