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Clinton Rises to 348 Electoral Votes, Trump Drops to 190
Sabato's Crystal Ball ^ | August 18, 2016 | Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley

Posted on 08/18/2016 3:03:57 PM PDT by C19fan

New Hampshire may just have four electoral votes, but it’s important. If you doubt it, just ask any Granite State citizens, and they’ll tell you about their first-in-the-nation primary. Even that quartet of electoral votes can matter; in 2000, if Al Gore had just won them (and without Ralph Nader on the ballot, he probably would have), Gore would have been president even without Florida. He didn’t and he wasn’t.

Since 2000, we’ve watched New Hampshire become more reliable for the Democrats in presidential years. Neighbor John Kerry of Massachusetts won 50.2% in 2004, and Barack Obama easily carried the Granite State in 2008 (54.1%) and 2012 (52.0%). And now, Hillary Clinton is doing so well that her polling lead in the state is about seven-to-eight points, depending on the average, and now we’re ready to shift New Hampshire from Leans Democratic to Likely Democratic.

(Excerpt) Read more at centerforpolitics.org ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2016polls; electoralcollege; newhampshire; nh; potus; sabato; trump
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To: C19fan

Oh noes! It’s all over for Trump now! #83947023432234


41 posted on 08/18/2016 3:38:31 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: RoseofTexas

I hear you and could not agree more. You feelings are the same as mine. I cringe and scream at the very thought of that corrupted, crooked, criminal bitch being elected!!!
She belongs behind prison bars. So many politicians have been brought down for doing barely a fraction of what this whore has perpetrated.
Mr. Trump made me leave the donkeys this Spring and I thank God for presenting him to step forward for us at this truly momentous day of reckoning!!! It is both inspiring and somewhat terrifying to comprehend that one singularly courageous and brilliant patriot stands before us as our LAST CHANCE TO BEAT BACK ALL THE EVIL FORCES YOU CITE!!!
Trump fills my heart with hope and I pray for him to restore sanity and to recapture our rendezvous with destiny!!!


42 posted on 08/18/2016 3:39:56 PM PDT by edie1960
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To: sergeantdave
A trio of political data experts empanelled by FiveThirtyEight for a podcast earlier this month estimated Trump’s chances of snagging the (Republican) nomination at 2%, 0% and minus-10%, respectively.

Negative interest rates and now negative probabilities. :-)

43 posted on 08/18/2016 3:40:33 PM PDT by plain talk
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To: C19fan

Sabato’s `crystal ball’ has been wrong about Trump since the last snow fly. He’s just doubling-down, and he’s still wrong.


44 posted on 08/18/2016 3:41:19 PM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives.)
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To: C19fan

IIRC, Sabato was one of those proclaiming Romney-in-a-landslide in 2012.


45 posted on 08/18/2016 3:42:34 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: C19fan

Well helll no wonder she’s running out of money. I guess the electoral votes cost a little more than she thought they would...


46 posted on 08/18/2016 3:52:49 PM PDT by jsanders2001
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To: C19fan

Why even have an election then since it is declared she will win.


47 posted on 08/18/2016 3:54:09 PM PDT by funfan
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

There will protests for certain.


48 posted on 08/18/2016 3:55:11 PM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: RoseofTexas

If she gets there will be a revolt.


49 posted on 08/18/2016 3:58:25 PM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: tumblindice

Sabato seems like a weasel - but why was he on foxnews earlier today.


50 posted on 08/18/2016 4:01:17 PM PDT by bob_esb
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To: Byron_the_Aussie

Nice pic of Hillary.


51 posted on 08/18/2016 4:02:52 PM PDT by broken_arrow1 (I regret that I have but one life to give for my country - Nathan Hale "Patriot")
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To: bob_esb

I’ll bite. Why was he on Fox news earlier today?


52 posted on 08/18/2016 4:08:50 PM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives.)
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To: edie1960

Agree.....

Democrats hate Trump
Bernies idgits hate Trump
RNC RINOS hate Trump
Yet even the media’s hate propaganda and BS polls have Trump within single digits plus or minus.... ?

Bottom line ....Trumps kicking the dogshit out of Mrs Bill “iron my shirt” Clinton.

Just my opinion of course....


53 posted on 08/18/2016 4:12:36 PM PDT by Squantos ( Be polite, be professional, but have a plan to kill everyone you meet ...)
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To: NKP_Vet

The Carter / Reagan race had Carter ahead by nearly 20 points until October, when the media claimed it was Carter ahead by 9.

The eve of the election, the media proclaimed the race was “too close to call.”

I lived in Southern California back then, and on election day, November 1980, the networks called the race for Reagan at 3:00 PM Pacific time, before my family even went to the polls, which we shortly did with big smiles on our faces.


54 posted on 08/18/2016 4:14:17 PM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (You can't spell TRIUMPH without TRUMP)
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To: C19fan

Let’s just say today it’s right

So Trump should give up and not fight to change it? Or spend his war chest to change minds? I think they want him to back down to just give a coronation. Bloody the Butcher up!!!


55 posted on 08/18/2016 4:17:31 PM PDT by Sybeck1 (Remember the Court)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Oh noes!

Its not just a ‘Oh noes’, its a ‘Yoko oh noes’.


56 posted on 08/18/2016 4:18:45 PM PDT by heights
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To: C19fan

Reverse it and it will be true.


57 posted on 08/18/2016 4:25:02 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: C19fan

Sabato is just another Clinton stooge.


58 posted on 08/18/2016 4:30:24 PM PDT by euram
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To: C19fan

I would just LOVE to hear him squirm about why he got it so wrong (348 - 190) after Nov.


59 posted on 08/18/2016 4:39:18 PM PDT by Sir Napsalot (Pravda + Useful Idiots = USSR; Journ0List + Useful Idiots = DopeyChangey)
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To: C19fan

Unfortunatly i can believe this since i’m from NH (supposedly the freest state in the Union).

The lib govenor is 10 points up on Ayote and the college pukes take the election bus to all the towns to vote over and over on election day.


60 posted on 08/18/2016 4:58:58 PM PDT by CapnJack
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