Posted on 07/20/2016 10:04:52 AM PDT by C19fan
But this time there is no name to do it. 17 people vied for the nomination and they were all BEATEN soundly.
It’s becoming pretty obvious much of the #nevertrump crowd is and has been on the Hillary payroll.”
The Trump campaign should put this out as a press release. That would be funny.
Ginsburg will be 84, 2 months after inauguration.
Anthony Kennedy turns 80, this Saturday.
Stephen Breyer turns 78 in about 4 weeks.
So Scalia’s seat is one that definitely has to be filled.
Chances are very high that at least one of the others will leave during the next term.
If Hillary gets in, Ginsberg WILL definitely retire and I’d suspect Breyer would also. Opening 3 seats for Hillary to fill.
As an incumbent, Hillary becomes even harder to beat.
7 years from now Kennedy is 87, Breyer is 85, almost absolutely guaranteeing that Hillary would appoint 4.
Also, 7 years from now Clarence Thomas will be 75. Health could swing for him by then. (especially with Hillary in office)
The GOPe can stamp their little feet all they like, but the REAL action happens the next term.
OMG you’re right, he looks like Jared the pedo.
..... Is it Pedro? Will he promise that all of our wildest dreams will come true?
If they do this, I am picking one of them as a target.
Cultists is exactly correct. I kinda enjoy watching them marginalize themselves, easier to manage them in the future.
He'll extol the virtues of "Real Conservatives"...down-talk Hillary a little...and he'll not endorse Trump.
He might even make it sound a little like a farewell speech...setting up the hammer in the next week or so when he announces his 3rd party run.
And he'll have all the money and zealots he could hope for.
What's not so bad about such a scenario is it will draw more Independents, Occasional Voters and Democrats to Trump when they see what a Real Conservative is.
Lead with Social Issues but actually work at Globalism via Trade, Immigration, Foreign Adventure and the continued bribery of the Corrupt US Congress.
And all the continued lawlessness that brings.
they can have John Kasick
Sure, they are.
Its all talk and nothing will come of it.
Actually something that is possible is very likely to happen, given enough time.
Probability is defined as the likelihood of an event occuring, expressed as a decimal number in the range zero to one.
Impossible means P(event) = zero.
Improbable means P(event) < 0.01 (if the chances are 1/100).
Plausible means believable. Plausible deniability implies everyone knows we're lying, but the fictional cover story is marginally reasonable. Plausible implies a low range of probability. P(event) = [0.15 – 0.25] perhaps.
Coin flip means P(event) = 0.5
Likely = probably means P(event) > 0.5
Inevitable = ineluctable means P(event) approaches 1.0 asymptotically over time.
Certain means P(event) = 1.0
Most of those who were talking about a third party effort have already given up and moved on.
Searby and his firm Data Targeting may have some kind of financial interest in keeping this idea afloat.
I doubt Bill Kristol actually has the kind of money to pay for the third party effort, but Searby could be hoping that #NeverTrump will pay off for him and his firm financially, either this year, or in the future, or in terms of greater publicity and visibility.
“Plausible deniability implies everyone knows we’re lying, but the fictional cover story is marginally reasonable. Plausible implies a low range of probability. P(event) = [0.15 – 0.25] perhaps.”
Outstanding post. You understand plausibility and probability.
Do you know in which states a 3rd party candidate COULD get on the ballot? Any swing states?
I’m not sure where they think it’d make a difference. The primaries showed that Trump is stronger than anyone imagined in the South, so this attempt would not peel off votes there. The only “red” state that I could foresee possibly being turned would be Utah if they keep listening to Romney and Lee.
Thank you. Glad to help.
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