Probability is defined as the likelihood of an event occuring, expressed as a decimal number in the range zero to one.
Impossible means P(event) = zero.
Improbable means P(event) < 0.01 (if the chances are 1/100).
Plausible means believable. Plausible deniability implies everyone knows we're lying, but the fictional cover story is marginally reasonable. Plausible implies a low range of probability. P(event) = [0.15 – 0.25] perhaps.
Coin flip means P(event) = 0.5
Likely = probably means P(event) > 0.5
Inevitable = ineluctable means P(event) approaches 1.0 asymptotically over time.
Certain means P(event) = 1.0
“Plausible deniability implies everyone knows we’re lying, but the fictional cover story is marginally reasonable. Plausible implies a low range of probability. P(event) = [0.15 – 0.25] perhaps.”
Outstanding post. You understand plausibility and probability.