Trump begins voter modeling project in key November states

CNN ^ | 5/10/2016 | Dana Bash and Theodore Schleifer

[BlackFemaleArmyColonel]

Donald Trump's aides and the Republican National Committee are beginning to craft voter models in key general election states, signaling a new attention to campaign analytics from the presumptive GOP nominee.

The investment in voter modeling, described by a Trump source Tuesday, is a departure from his tactics during the primary campaign.

Trump's campaign has not used polling or modeling so far in the Republican race, though they are common in modern political campaigns.

Trump aides and the RNC are going into this assuming the Trump voter model looks a lot different than Republican candidates in recent history. Trump aides believe they can do well in Midwestern states like Minnesota and Wisconsin, but since they haven't done tests before, they don't know for sure.

The real estate mogul became the presumptive nominee following his win last week in the Indiana Republican primary, after which, Trump's two remaining challengers dropped out of the race. The Trump campaign is now looking more toward November with outreach to unify the party as well as finding a vice presidential candidate.

[Albion Wilde]

Make America Great Again

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This ping provides two daily lists of links to Trump-related threads on FR.
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Selected Trump articles on FR, from 5:00 PM to 11:59 PM EDT, 5/10/16:
Trump begins voter modeling project in key November states –CNN
Hillary Clinton is unraveling quickly –NYPost
Despite reports to the contrary, Ben Carson still advising Trump on possible VPs –CNN
Ted Cruz stalls on endorsing Trump (as he returned to Senate) –TheHill
Trump declared winner in Nebraska –Politico
Republicans warm to Donald Trump as Ben Sasse’s third-party pitch falls flat –Wash.Times
Mary Matalin: ‘I’m Not Going To Vote Just To Stop Hillary’ –Breitbart
EXCLUSIVE: 'Duck Dynasty' patriarch Phil Robertson says he'll back Donald Trump –DailyMail
CNN’s S.E. Cupp Insults all Trump Supporters, calls them “Racist and Bigoted” –TruthFeed
Former 'stop Trump' megadonor switches sides –Politico
WV Primary Election Results (Called for Trump) –WOWKTV
Trump Comes Out Swinging –WSJ
Trump Paralyzed Hillary’s Campaign –CommentaryMag
BREAKING: Trump Insider Reveals Game-Changing Deal With Giuliani… Hillary Horrified –Sundance
Trump vs Ryan/McConnell's legislative agenda? –Jim Robinson

[Cementjungle]

The investment in voter modeling

His wife used to model, so I don't know why they have to invest in other models.

[fortheDeclaration]

All of the Bush's were!

Barely beat Dukais, Gore and Kerry!

The Bush team of consultants are a bunch of loser's.

[Fhios]

I see several places where Trump strength and sphere of support expand out to surrounding states.

WV, Indiana, Ohio, PA, NY, NJ, NH, MA, DE.

If Trump competes well in those areas, than FLA becomes a low maintenance win for Trump.

Can’t wait until Trump kicks the campaign up into final gear and starts having 20k+ rallies 2 x a day throughout the Rust Belt.

Hillary will physically collapse from exhaustion if she tried to keep up. She’ll try and make the best use of Proxy speakers, but Trump will call her out on it, besides.

I’m also suspecting that eventually, Obama’s DOJ will find a way and a means to fire up a criminal investigation against him after the Republican Convention.

[montag813]

Here's the only models Trump should concern himself with: (1) APPEAL TO WHITE VOTERS
(2) GET THE WHITES OUT TO THE POLLS.

[grania]

Trump's been doing what he does best, being able to shed the competition just by playing Candidate Apprentice, for the whole nation to enjoy. I say that as the highest complement. We've been informed and entertained; we're now passionate about trying to save the US.

While this has been going on Trump's been studying the process and the options going forward. Manafort is an example of how carefully Trump chooses when new options have to be added. I can't wait to see how impressive this next phase is going to be, learning from what worked and what didn't in other's campaigns.

[grania]

FWIW, Trump just might make impressive gains in the black vote. Lots of folks like “attitude” and not being played.

[9YearLurker]

And if a billion in payoffs enable Trump to ultimately save the country trillions in a turnaround?

[trebb]

Some mocked his “unpreparedness” as he rolled to Primary victory - he knows when it’s time to knuckle down and concentrate....

[LS]

Sounds to me like he’s ready to expand his voter base beyond even the biggest primary vote in history.

[dirtboy]

And in come the leeches who will suck up nearly a billion dollars in funds..

Wrong. This is what won the election for Obama in 2012, and lost it for Romney. We just need to hope Trump gets it done right and doesn't produce another fiasco like ORCA.

[Utmost Certainty]

Nah, don’t play the identity politics crap like a Leftist. Trump should make an appeal to all Americans.

[castlegreyskull]

Wisconsin if he picks Scott Walker.

[SecondAmendment]

> Sounds like he’ll be running a much smarter campaign than dullard Romney did.

Trump, unlike Romney, wants to win ..

[jimfree]

The leeches will swarm. I trust that the deal maker will be careful with these contracts as he is with others.

[kingu]

Wrong. This is what won the election for Obama in 2012, and lost it for Romney. We just need to hope Trump gets it done right and doesn't produce another fiasco like ORCA.

I think that is utter fantasy. Romney was an awful candidate, that it was even slightly close in some states is a credit to a great many people who have high pain tolerance for holding their nose that hard while casting a vote for him.

[CottonBall]

He’s a winner - he won’t stop at anything to win this election!

[dirtboy]

Disagree - Obama improved on his black turnout numbers from 2008, and that won him swing states such as Ohio. Romney had a horrible ground game.

[jwalsh07]

I think Trump will do much better than Romney with black voters but even if he does 80-20 it is best for him to minimize that vote. It’s just numbers.