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First poll of Indiana shows Trump leading by six, new poll of California shows Trump leading by 18
HotAir.com ^ | 04/22/2016 | ALLAHPUNDIT

Posted on 04/22/2016 11:39:07 AM PDT by MaxistheBest

Cruz’s path to defeat before the convention is simple: Lose Indiana, lose California decisively, and lose the war for Pennsylvania’s 54 unbound delegates. Within the past 24 hours, there’s new evidence that we’re on track for all three. I covered the battle for Pennsylvania last night and noted that some private polls of Indiana have the race there tight, with Trump possibly out to a small lead, but here’s the first solid evidence from a public poll that that state is tilting against Cruz.

To think, after all the time we’ve spent obsessing over delegates, they’re probably not going to matter after all.

The fact that the race is a “virtual tie” among “core Republicans” is encouraging, but Indiana has an open primary. It won’t just be “core Republicans” voting. And the more likely it looks that Trump might surprise Cruz there, all but crushing the last hope of #NeverTrumpers, the more incentive pro-Trump Democrats and independents will have to re-register as Republicans and support their guy.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California; US: Indiana
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; california; califpoll; cruz; election; elections; in2016; indiana; indianapoll; indianaprimary; kasich; polls; trump; trumppoll
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1 posted on 04/22/2016 11:39:07 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: MaxistheBest

Maryland will be a big one too.


2 posted on 04/22/2016 11:42:04 AM PDT by Democrats hate too much
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To: MaxistheBest



VOTE (FOR REAL)!

VOTE TRUTH!

VOTE TRUMP!

3 posted on 04/22/2016 11:43:43 AM PDT by onyx (You're here posting, so sign-up to DONATE MONTHLY!)
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To: Democrats hate too much

This is a big deal:

“California, however, has no 50 percent threshold. Trump could get 34 percent in a district versus 33 apiece for Cruz and Kasich and he still gets all three delegates there. That is to say, if you’re looking at those numbers above and feeling cheered by the fact that Trump is well below 50 nearly everywhere, don’t be. It’s almost completely irrelevant.”


4 posted on 04/22/2016 11:44:02 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: MaxistheBest
These percentages say it's going to be a rout for Trump in California. Trump will take most of 172 CA delegates.



5 posted on 04/22/2016 11:48:58 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: MaxistheBest

toasTED.

Ole Ted and his North American Union agenda, his TPA voting, Corker Bill supporting, pathway to legalization chortling, John Edwards Supreme Court picking, and globalist pushing proclivities in the Senate have NAILED his serpentine hide to the letter.

Pony tricks for the “conservative rubes and the cameras.
Globalist North American Union and Establishment advancement
on his signature legislative history.

Cruz is chameleon, a real showman for the folks. On paper where it matters, he has been no friend to the USA.


6 posted on 04/22/2016 11:51:20 AM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: MaxistheBest
"To think, after all the time we’ve spent obsessing over delegates, they’re probably not going to matter after all."

Would be pretty hilarious if, after all the breathless media articles and giddy Cruz-supporter posts about Ted Cruz's vaunted stealth delegate strategy, if Donald Trump simply won 1,237 outright and rendered it all completely irrelevant. So much wasted ink.

7 posted on 04/22/2016 11:51:57 AM PDT by Trump20162020
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To: onyx

WHOO HOO!!!

“MOVE ALONG, now....”

LOVE it!!


8 posted on 04/22/2016 11:53:02 AM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: MaxistheBest

By the time Indiana Votes on the third, following Cruz’s humiliating defeat in NY and being clean swept again next Tuesday in all 5 states, and coming in 3rd place in at least 2 or 3 of them, I would fully expect he’ll lose by double digits at the minimal in Indiana on the 3rd.

There are only 3 states left where Cruz is likely to pull out a win, NE, MT and SD... and that’s not even guaranteed.

This “contested convention” will get Cruz the nomination at this point is just delusion. The party is not going to hand the nomination to someone who’s only win east of the Mississippi was ME and who’s coming in third as often as second in a 3 way race in the home stretch.

Yes the GOPe may not like Trump, but they are not remotely going to hand the nomination to Cruz should, by some miracle, Trump does not get to 1237.


9 posted on 04/22/2016 11:56:27 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Trump20162020

That is the most likely outcome and has been for a long time.... the Press and Cruz need the contested convention story to keep eyeballs.. and their supporters motivated, but the most likely scenario for months, and yes even with the WI defeat, is Trump is going to reach 1237 on the first ballot and all this hand wringing over a contested convention will be wasted energy.

The GOPe wants the contested convention to continue so they can keep running PAC ads attacking Trump in order to poison the well in the general.

Make no mistake, like it or not, Trump will be the nominee, and he will paste Hillary in November. He will have to fight factions of his own party as well as the Democrats the entire way, but Trump will succeed.


10 posted on 04/22/2016 11:59:58 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: MaxistheBest

I am not at all excited about Trump. Or Cruz.

But I’ll crawl over broken glass to vote for either one of them to stop The Marxist B1tch from getting into the White House.

Four years of Hillary after eight years of Obama and we are going to resemble Venezuela - economically and in terms of civil disorder. Also, it will a near guarantee that Hillary is in for eight years (if her health holds up that long) because the election fraud she will engineer will make it impossible for her to lose a run for a second term. That’s assuming there even is a real election in 2020.


11 posted on 04/22/2016 12:02:50 PM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s, you weren't really there....)
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To: MaxistheBest

The sooner this can be ended the better.
We need to focus on Hillary.


12 posted on 04/22/2016 12:05:36 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: MaxistheBest

Ted needs to GTFO before he has no career left to save. I have been an avid political junkie for over 30 years and I have never seen a person who is supposedly a brilliant near genius intellect embark on such a path of self destruction.

You would think that the candidate with the second largest delegate count would be smart enough to see the handwriting on the wall and negotiate for a sweet deal with the winning side. At age 45 you have all the time in the world to wait for another shot at running while building your political resume. If Cruz had played it right he could have had VP or at least AG but he has now so alienated Trump that I doubt Trump would negotiate with the guy for any reason. Cruz will likely soon be back in his senate seat with no prospects there for advancement and probably a tough road to re-election. Its just bizarre.


13 posted on 04/22/2016 12:17:55 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Lurkinanloomin

“We need to focus on Hillary”

You got that right. We need to wrap up this GOP nomination soon and get behind Trump and dump Hill. Cruz needs to GTFO and soon. And don’t worry calls for him to exit the race are just around the corner. He will be forced out. He is not going to be allowed to waltz into the Cleveland convention and burn the house down.


14 posted on 04/22/2016 12:23:14 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

Cruz will be re-elected in Texas.


15 posted on 04/22/2016 12:40:20 PM PDT by Resolute Conservative
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To: RitaOK

“he has been no friend to the USA”

Neither are people who cannot read and skew the truth on someone’s record.


16 posted on 04/22/2016 12:41:13 PM PDT by Resolute Conservative
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To: Resolute Conservative

You mean as opposed to the flock of geese who do not know his record, missed his record, but believed his damned laughable excuses for his record?

It is not only on the Senate record, it’s LIVE on film.

What bubble did Heidi assign for you— the big one with Ted or one of a fleet of the little bubbles stringing along behind the big one.


17 posted on 04/22/2016 12:46:15 PM PDT by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: Trump20162020
Would be pretty hilarious if, after all the breathless media articles and giddy Cruz-supporter posts about Ted Cruz's vaunted stealth delegate strategy, if Donald Trump simply won 1,237 outright and rendered it all completely irrelevant. So much wasted ink.

There is still the issue of Trojan Horse delegates, who while pledged to vote for Trump on the first ballot can go into the Rules Committee and the Credentials Committee pledged to Trump but vote with Cruz.

18 posted on 04/22/2016 12:48:13 PM PDT by pgkdan (The Silent Majority Stands With TRUMP!)
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To: Resolute Conservative

Well I wish him luck. He is one of the worst politicians ever. I have never seen anything like it.


19 posted on 04/22/2016 12:50:27 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: HamiltonJay
This "contested convention" will get Cruz the nomination at this point is just delusion. The party is not going to hand the nomination to someone who’s only win east of the Mississippi was ME and who's coming in third as often as second in a 3 way race in the home stretch.

Over the last few days, I've repeatedly challenged 2DV, other Cruz fanboys, or any Ted Cruz supporter anywhere to state any plausible scenario whereby Ted Cruz limps into the GOP convention with, at best, 700 delegates or so, and magically seizes the nomination from Donald Trump without irreparably splintering the party, destroying voter enthusiasm, inducing countless Trump voters to stay home, and guaranteeing a Hillary victory in November.

What response have I gotten?

Crickets.

These Ted Cruz fanboys know the truth, as does their preferred candidate, Ted Cruz, and yet they still insist on their suicidal quest to both wreck their own party and even risk their country, all for one man's blind personal ambition. Absolutely shameful.

It would be laughable if it weren't so dangerous.

At this point, Ted Cruz's egotism and narcissism make Donald Trump's ostensible character deficits pale in comparison. They long ago ceded the moral high ground.

Vote Trump

20 posted on 04/22/2016 12:55:33 PM PDT by sargon (No king but Christ!)
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