Posted on 04/08/2016 8:45:50 AM PDT by No Dems 2016
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I agree! I think NY will be amazing. In typical sleazy, non-democratic Ted fashion, he's focusing on districts with tiny Republican populations rather than the big ones because he wants to rack up a few delegates. It's just how he thinks because he has very little regard for the will of the people. He just seems to regard himself.
Ted can’t even convince folks here that he is the real deal.
Imagine that, thinking Conservatives actually recognize Cruz for the unqualified loud mouth and back room dealer he is.
Cruz doesn’t care for Americans in the northeast.
And that is what will probably sink him. If he loses NY in a landslide - which seems highly likely - his WI 'momentum' will be stalled out which will hurt him in PA, RI, CT, DE and MD one week later. Then 1 week after that (and all that likely Trump momentum), the vote is in Indiana which won't be able to ignore all the likely Trumpmentum. If Trump wins Indiana, Cruz will be in even deeper trouble.
Cruz did not gloat over his win. He exulted over it.
In contrast, Trump had the worst, most petty, sore loser concession speech in the history of the world.
Cruz endless smears Trump including in many his loser “victory” speeches. I know because I watched them. You’re just fine with that. How gracious of Ted. LOL.
If Trump wins Indiana then there has been a shift take place and the race will be over in that sense.
/sarc
The resurgence of "Finishing second is actually winning" meme.
As usual, you have absolutely no idea what you are talking about. If Trump gets over 50 both statewide and in any district, he wins all the delegates in that district and statewide. Cruz gets nothing.
He doesn't always get there. And very often when he does, Trump gets the same percentage in the polls and doesn't slip. You can check and see that Cruz didn't overperform in Florida, Arizona and Ohio for instance.
Cruz gets delegates even if Trump goes over 50% which I doubt he will.
Even in Wisconsin, Trump got the 35% in Wisconsin that this same polling firm suggested that he would (and his RCP average was 34.5%). And very rarely does Trump not get the percentage that the polls show that he has - even as late deciders often go to other candidates. Trump is averaging above 50% and barring some major change, it's hard to see him dropping in the polls. As for Cruz getting delegates, he may get a few but I think he's going to lose NY bigtime and will do poorer than you think. The reason for this is that New York Republicans (including the state GOP and Giuliani) are rallying around their favorite son who is pointing out that Cruz has insulted New Yorkers. Additionally, NY Republicans are far less conservative than Cruz who is a hardliner. I would be very surprised if Trump didn't get above 50% (probably significantly above 50%) statewide.
The last Emerson poll completed 3/16 showed Trump with 64% and Cruz with 12%. Doesn’t look exactly like the needle is moving in Trump’s favor.
The last Emerson poll is not believable because they suggested that Kasich got 1% of the vote! Impossible. And Cruz with 12% was too low too. Almost all of the polls have Cruz above 15% and around 20%. Trump is above 50% in almost all the polls. With Cruz's insult to New Yorkers coming back to bite him, I don't see him doing very well in NY. By wasting his time in NY, he's probably costing himself delegates in MD, RI, DE, CT and even PA which are more winnable for him. And that's just fine with me.
I thought you would understand how delegates work. This is nothing new - a tradition, old as the hills - and Trump stepped in it accusing Cruz of stealing delegates. Cruz obviously knew before he started campaigning. Roger Stone tried to tell Trump last year. Imagine, the one who only hires the best firing Stone and hiring Corey.
That’s 5.4%
That one man being Cruz. If Cruz is selected I doubt that he could possibly win the General but if I am wrong on that one I predict we will absolutely lose the Senate so there go those precious Supreme Court Justice appointments.
The last Emory poll is simply not believable. They had Kasich at 1% in that poll. Simply not possible. They also had Hillary way, way ahead. I think their current poll is much more accurate.
So you are opposed to the practice unless it helps your guy? Something I have been saying about the Cruisers all along. If Trump had been born in Canada you would be all aboard the birther train.
I see that you just copied something over from RedState, the comically anti-Trump site. This poll stated that Cruz was only competitive (note not even necessarily winning) in 7 districts in NY. I don’t think Cruz is going to do well in NY and note that if he does win a district with less than 50% of the vote, he doesn’t get all 3 delegates. He’s polling so poorly that he’ll struggle to get over 50% in the vast majority of the districts. I think Trump should get at least 80 delegates in NY. Also don’t underestimate Cruz’s New York values flap - it’s hurting him in NY.
man, I had to go back and squint at it.
Sucks getting old.
We can debate the margin of victory in NY but Trump will win it by a very large margin.
For Ted the rebel:
Wisconsin = Chancellorsville
New York = Gettysburg
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