Any empirical slant you try to use simply doesn't apply any more, since over 60% of Trump's voters so far have been either Independent, Democrat cross-overs, or first-time voters. By the MILLIONS, and the trend is building, not decreasing.
All the old paradigms are crumbled, and your fallen idols lay in brazen shame on the reviled dust-heap of history. Suck it up, Tonto.