Cruz supporters be like
Posted on 03/23/2016 10:09:09 AM PDT by Jeff Head
Jeff -
I like your analysis, but I think that the path will need to be different from the one you outlined. I think that MT (27), SD (29) and probably NE (36) will go to Cruz. Trump would still have a path, but he will need to do better in the remaining states.
Cruz supporters be like
Now? What about those who’ve been telling us this for moths here on FR?
After last night, I think there are 2 things that Trump should do. First, he needs to repeatedly call for Cruz to get out of the race since mathematically he cannot win. Over and over and over. Second, he should have Ivanka cut an ad with him calling out Cruz for his disgusting attacks on Melania and run the ad everywhere. Cruz likes to paint everything with a broad brush so turnabout is fair play. It would destroy Cruz with Republican women and garner Trump at least grudging admiration from independent women and possible some democrats.
Game over, now it is just a question how many delegates everyone has and how many are disallowed under party rules.
Congratulations to Ted for his victory in Utah, congratulations to Trump for his victory in Arizona. Now it is just a waiting game to see who is thought to give a good fight for Hillary before tanking and giving liberals the White House.
Should I really believe that Trump has a .237 of a delegate? Have people forgotten that ‘.’ has a well defined mathematical usage?
Vote Trump
“Perhaps Trump will agree to be Cruz’s Vice President and their combined effort will carry the day.”
Perhaps Ronald Reagan will agree to be George HW Bush’s VP.
Sounds about as logical as what you just said.
no number means sh!t if the RNC changes the rules...
Their convention, their rules.
I am a Cruz supporter but since it is not possible for Cruz to win the nomination on the first ballot and since the danger of the GOPe playing shenanigans during the convention is too great, My advice to Sen Cruz is simply this:
Got to Trump and offer to shutdown the effort and publicly support Trumps nomination if Trump will privately commit to nominating Cruz for the vacant SCOTUS position as the first nominee.
It Trump agrees, then he will clearly be the nominee going into the convention
You counted Nebraska twice.
Trump probably won’t win Montana and South Dakota.
Other than that it seems reasonable.
According to the 538 site, there are 905 Republican delegates left in the 20 states and territories still to vote. Trump still needs approximately 483, or about 53%.
Also, according to the International Business Times, American Samoa gave a delegate each to Cruz and Trump, none to Kasich. Not sure what they’re going to do with the remaining 7. I did not include American Samoa in the numbers above.
If he says he does believe the party will support his second round bid, then he's fooling himself. They will use him to stop Trump and then cast him aside for their own self-interests.
This is politics, and the only thing that Cruz can count on is what he directly controls, and he does NOT control what the GOPe will do in round two no matter what they promise. They will turn on him before the echo of the round one closing gavel subsides.
If Cruz really thinks it is important to stop the Mcconnell lying wing of the Republican party, then his best bet now is to align with Trump and declare his delegate support for Trump.
If Cruz does this now, 1) he will instantly become the darling of the outsider movement, and 2) he will drastically change the current narrative of stopping Trump with a brokered convention. That story would become dead overnight instead of lingering on until July. The story will become the GOPe naked power grab, and they will lose control of that story quickly.
It's time for Cruz to have his Rubio moment, and step up to do the right thing.
-PJ
The establishment has been too late every step of the way.
The GOP is blinded by their collective loathing of those who would support any GOP conservative. With Trump stepping up the GOP has FEAR and loathing. They cannot see. They are tripping and falling and way to late.
To be supportive of Cruz now? Where were they back in the fall when everyone could see it?
They cannot see straight.
That alone will lose them the election. They probably want Hillary anyway, and have all along just like tgey don’t care for tge majority in the house and senate, forcing them out of the shadows with their positions on welcoming the invasion
They are bumbling idiots. Schmoozing Cruz at this late hour. So is he for falling for it
It appears to be likely that Trump will get over the top based on your conservative analysis, in which I agree.
> “Some people are saying that the Utah caucuses were fraudulent. I do not believe they were.”
Then read an eyewitness account:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3412679/posts
Not that it matters but having witnessed the Mormon Mafia in 2012, the above link describes exactly how they operate.
Cruz is trying to “win” by sticking his foot out and tripping the front-runner.
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