Posted on 03/23/2016 10:09:09 AM PDT by Jeff Head
Cruz said yesterday that Kasich was mathematically eliminated and as such should drop out - will Ted take his own advice?
Hermes a dirty little secret. Even if it goes to a convention Trump is going to win. Imagine you go to the convention needing 50 votes. There is a pool of almost 300 delegates that are unbound to pull from. They have to steal it from him, it’s the only way they’ll win
You missed Colorado and American Samoa.
Cruz cannot get to 1237 so Mark Levin seems all in for a contested convention now. smh.
https://twitter.com/marklevinshow/status/712631467218587649
9 unbound delegates. They can go to anyone who meets 40(b)
Another piece of the analysis that may not go as planned for Trump is NY. Each Congressional District has 3 delegates and Trump needs 50%+ in each District to get all 3. He may get 50%+ state-wide, which would give him 14 at-large delegates. But, I can’t imagine he gets 50%+ in every congressional district. I think it is reasonable to expect Trump may get 80 of the 95 NY Delegates (i.e., he gets 49% or less in 15 districts).
I think that the entire rationale for Kasich staying in the race is to help prevent Trump from getting 50%+ across all of these NY Congressional Districts and perhaps in some of the other proportional States that turn into winner-take-all if one candidate gets >50% .
Imagine the ads.
Hello, I'm Ted Cruz, candidate for the Republican Presidential Nominee, and I'm NOT Donald Trump.
“Cruz cannot get to 1237 so Mark Levin seems all in for a contested convention now. smh.”
I suspect that’s what we’re in for. We are going to see all of the Trump haters who swore they would not be for a contested convention, all of a sudden be ok with it.
Very sad.
Where are you getting 763 remaining delegates?
I think because some remain uncommitted.
Weeks ago when it was still looking good for Cruz, Mark said if they try to take it from Trump or Cruz, he would leave the Republican party or something like that. Then when Rubio started being pushed, he asked his audience if they would be ok with a Cruz/Rubio ticket. Now that Rubio is out and Cruz has no chance, he is pushing a contested convention on his program and his social sites. Like you said, very sad.
Plus also any time there is a terror attack, it is going to help Mr. Trump bigtime.
hahahaha. You think he’ll goto the convention 1 pledged delegate short and won’t win on the first ballot? There will be a pool of 300+ unbound delegates to choose from. Some of them will be Trump supporters all ready just not pledged. I think you should read up on the process. They’ve basically got to steal it from Trump for him to lose now. The first ballot will either have just him in nomination or him and Cruz. Cruz will have to pick up 4-6 hundred delegates on the first ballot for him to win on the first ballot (not actually mathematically possible). If it gets to the second Ballot the GOPe will have more than enough sway to pull Cruz supporters away so that they do not vote. They’ll basically just manipulate the vote until it gets to about the 5th ballot where they will get another candidate (not Trump or Cruz) and delegates will start moving to that 3rd person. TRYING to make Trump’s wife look like a whore is not the way for him to move forward at this point
I did the same thing at 5am today. I did diferently. I see 839 left to get Cruz needing 772 - Trump needing 498. I see Trump with every delegate in NY CT RI WV and NJ for 227 more with Trump only needing 271 from ND WI DE MD PA IN NE OR WA CA MT NM SD. EZ Peezy. It’s over and Cruz is being used as a tool. More details if you want to chat about it.
Colorado and American Samoa events are passed already. 839 is the count for future primaries/caucuses.
What is Ted’s burn rate. If your losing and using other peoples money how long will they invest in a loser?
Thank you!
As usual. Jeff is the voice of reason.
How does Limbaugh still claim that Cruz can win? Cruz is obviously only trying to stop Trump. It is the strategy of the Sea Island globalist clique.
” if Trump will privately commit to nominating Cruz for the vacant SCOTUS position as the first nominee.”
Unacceptable, not another John Roberts to perpetuate the Obama agenda under a faux Republican front.
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