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TIME TO DROP OUT? Ted Cruz Needs 87% of Remaining Delegates to Win Nomination
GP ^ | 03/17/16 | Jim Hoft

Posted on 03/17/2016 6:14:55 AM PDT by Enlightened1

After Super Tuesday 2.0 Donald Trump is on track to secure the Republican nomination.

trump cruz 2

Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) would need 87% of remaining primary voters to win the nomination.
It might be time for Ted Cruz to drop out and endorse Donald J. Trump?

The New York Times reported:

Donald J. Trump’s series of victories on Tuesday extended his delegate lead and forced Senator Marco Rubio of Florida out of the presidential race. Mr. Trump’s path to winning enough delegates to secure the Republican nomination is not assured, but he is in a strong position.

Here are some ways the Republican nominating contest could unfold. Try adjusting the sliders to see how the outcomes change. Each line in the chart represents one possible outcome.

If Mr. Trump maintains his current level of support in the remaining races, he would almost certainly secure the nomination.

After Tuesday’s contests, no other candidate retains a real chance of capturing the delegates required to win the nomination outright. Mr. Rubio dropped out, Gov. John Kasich of Ohio is too far behind, and Senator Ted Cruz of Texas would need to win the vast majority of the remaining delegates — a near impossibility.

 

 

(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Philosophy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016gopprimary; badmath; cruz; delegates; exposingted; nomination; stupid; unenlightened; unworthyoffr; win
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To: Enlightened1

I see no reason to concede. It Trump wants it, he ought to win it.

And Cruz needs to go into the convention with as many delegates as humanly possible, and that means standing and fighting one on one.

I don’t particularly like quitters. Tapping out when you are honestly beaten, OK, but preemptively giving up is exactly the Republican mode we have been bitching about. Cruz should not do it.

On the other hand, why aren’t these threads posted demanding that the jackass junior, John Kasich, give up?


41 posted on 03/17/2016 6:30:56 AM PDT by John Valentine (Deep in the Heart of Texas)
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To: Enlightened1

The math seems very bad to me.

There are 2472 delegates.

As of now there are four candidates with delegates, and those are as follows:
Trump: 673
Cruz: 411
Rubio: 169
Kasich: 143
That leaves 1076 delegates remaining.
If Cruz picks up >62% of the remaining delegates, he will have more delegates than Trump entering the convention. And I’m not seeing the Rubio/Kasich voting breaking heavily for Trump.
Trump’s odds look pretty good right now, but the FRumpsters need to give the “get out” demands a rest.


42 posted on 03/17/2016 6:31:01 AM PDT by SampleMan (Feral Humans are the refuse of socialism.)
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To: Enlightened1

CRUZ is a buffer to thwart a GOPe victory.


43 posted on 03/17/2016 6:32:01 AM PDT by stars & stripes forever (Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord. Psalm 33:12)
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To: the_boy_who_got_lost

“And just cause your down at half time in a game doesn’t mean you quite playing.”

THANK YOU!


44 posted on 03/17/2016 6:32:50 AM PDT by freeangel ( (free speech is only good until someone else doesn't like it)
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To: Enlightened1

If Ted truly wishes to destroy they DC cabal, he should withdraw and endorse Trump!


45 posted on 03/17/2016 6:33:01 AM PDT by Lopeover (2016 Election is about allegiance to the United States)
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To: All
FR POSTED: Rubio’s Exit Leaves Trump With an Open Path to 1,237 Delegates
NYT.COM ^ | MARCH 16, 2016 | GREGOR AISCH, JOSH KATZ, JOSH KELLER and ALICIA PARLAPIANO

EXCERPT Trump’s victories on Tuesday extended his delegate lead and forced Sen Marco Rubio out of the race. Mr. Trump’s path to winning enough delegates to secure the Republican nomination is not assured, but he is in a strong position. If Mr. Trump maintains his current level of support in the remaining races, he would almost certainly secure the nomination.

After Tuesday’s contests, no other candidate retains a real chance of capturing the delegates required to win the nomination outright. Mr. Rubio dropped out, Gov. John Kasich of Ohio is too far behind, and Senator Ted Cruz of Texas would need to win the vast majority of the remaining delegates — a near impossibility.

But Mr. Trump still needs to win most of the remaining delegates to avoid a contested convention. If he continues his current performance and wins a series of key states — like Arizona, California and New York — he would get the needed delegates. Exit polls have indicated that most of Mr. Rubio’s support could be distributed to Mr. Trump’s competitors. If this support consolidates – with, say, 80 percent of Mr. Rubio's voters going to Mr. Cruz – this would cut into Mr. Trump’s delegate lead.

But gains by Mr. Cruz may not prevent Mr. Trump from winning the key states that ensure him enough delegates.

This interactive delegate calculator (at web site) uses each state’s delegate allocation rules, along with estimates of how favorable each district is for each candidate. To compute these estimates, we used a model based on polling, demographics and results from past primaries and caucuses.

Delegate totals as of March 15 are estimates of how all the delegates for each state will be allocated.

CREDIT: Election results from The Associated Press
Additional work by K.K. Rebecca Lai (Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...

46 posted on 03/17/2016 6:33:04 AM PDT by Liz (SAFE PLACE? A liberal's mind. Nothing's there. Nothing can penetrate it.)
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To: usafa92
If you are a Cruz supporter there are only 3 ways to look at Ted’s actions.

If Cruz's supporters were willing to let Trump supporters tell them what reasons they were allowed to consider, they wouldn't be Cruz supporters.

47 posted on 03/17/2016 6:33:26 AM PDT by tacticalogic ("Oh bother!" said Pooh, as he chambered his last round.)
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To: jjotto

Trump doesn’t get to pick the delegates. The state party machinery picks the delegates.


48 posted on 03/17/2016 6:33:40 AM PDT by lacrew
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To: lacrew

That’s where Cruz plans on winning it...at the convention....not at the primaries. He and his advisors know a lot more of the delegates who will be voting. He doesn’t care if he gets to the magic number, he just needs to make sure Trump doesn’t.

He will likely lose in the general if this happens, but either he doesn’t realize this, or doesn’t care.


49 posted on 03/17/2016 6:33:58 AM PDT by Girlene
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To: Enlightened1

Nope. Don’t drop out, Ted... this is why we have the primary process. Let it play out.


50 posted on 03/17/2016 6:34:04 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: Enlightened1

Before Tuesday Trump was ahead of Cruz by about 100 delegates, now Trump is ahead of Cruz by about 250 delegates.

Yet we hear over and over what a great night Cruz had and he can catch him.

Not gonna happen


51 posted on 03/17/2016 6:34:11 AM PDT by stockpirate (We must burn down the republican party, to save it for “We the People” (Palin Trump is the 1st wav)
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To: for-q-clinton

We have not had a voice here in California for decades. The Republican nominee is a done deal by the time the primaries wind their way to us.


52 posted on 03/17/2016 6:34:23 AM PDT by georgiegirl
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To: Enlightened1

Pride goeth before the fall


53 posted on 03/17/2016 6:34:46 AM PDT by Sybeck1 (Only they can beat Hillary, but for some reason they can't beat him)
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Comment #54 Removed by Moderator

Well since Trump is such a genius ans so widely liked why should it matter what he does to the trumpanzees?

Aren’t y’all confident that trump will reach 1237?


55 posted on 03/17/2016 6:35:14 AM PDT by Leto
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To: for-q-clinton

Correction, the June 14 primary in DC is for Democrats. June 7 is the end of the Republican primaries.


56 posted on 03/17/2016 6:35:15 AM PDT by SubMareener (Save us from Quarterly Freepathons! Become a MONTHLY DONOR!)
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To: Netz; All

The Longer Cruz stays in the more he helps the Establishment that are now openly saying they will HIJACK THE WILL OF THE REPUBLICAN VOTERS.

If Cruz drops out now, then the Establishment’s fantasy is gone.

Moreover, it will let Trump go after Hillary.

It will be foolish at this point for Cruz to think he can become POTUS by VOIDING THE WILL of the Republican voters.


57 posted on 03/17/2016 6:35:21 AM PDT by Enlightened1
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Comment #58 Removed by Moderator

To: Enlightened1

“Pray it does not go physical.”

Why would it get physical? Just because Trump said there would be riots, just like he said he would like to punch protestors in the face? He is an evil manipulator whose followers have as much moral ethics as does he. Art of the Deal? Power of suggestion?


59 posted on 03/17/2016 6:35:36 AM PDT by freeangel ( (free speech is only good until someone else doesn't like it)
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To: lacrew
That’s the game now - deny Trump 1237

"Deny?" Do you see them as rightfully his no matter how the remaining state primaries play out?

60 posted on 03/17/2016 6:35:49 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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