Posted on 03/07/2016 9:48:01 PM PST by dangus
So many Trump supporters are so juiced up for Trump, because they believe reports that Trump will bring huge numbers of minorities to the GOP. Sorry, folks, but that isn't happening, even in the primaries, where voting for Trump doesn't mean voting contrary to Democratic loyalties (which are immense). Let's look at states with large black populations, shall we?
In Georgia, 7% of Republican voters were black. That's pretty good. Unfortunately, we don't have data on how they voted. But since so very, very few Hispanics voted Republican, we can use the non-White vote as a proxy. And Trump only got 29% of the non-white Georgia Republicans. Only Kasich had a lower portion of his voters be non-white.
In South Carolina, only 1% of Republican voters were black... no-one attracted any black votes, despite the state having a black Republican senator (Tim Scott). Tennessee also saw only 2% of Republican voters be black. Again, too small to measure.
Alabama had 7% non-white, too small for exit-poll data... and also too small to affect anyone's poll data even 1%.
In Virginia, Trump also got a smaller proportion of his vote from non-White voters than his opponents did. In fact, he lost the non-White vote to Rubio. And yes, blacks dominated the non-White voters.
By the way, Cruz also won the youth vote in South Carolina, Arkansas, and we can infer Kentucky and Louisiana. Trump finished third among young people in Texas, Oklahoma, and Iowa, and placed behind Rubio in Virginia There's no demographic breakdown in Minnesota, Alaska or Maine, but Trump also lost those states. So among young voters, that's 10 states for Cruz, 3 for Rubio and 4 for Trump (Alabama, Tennessee, Massachusetts and New Hampshire.) And 1 state unknown (Nevada).
The youth vote is known for showing up in far proportions in general elections than in primaries.
Oh no, the black ceiling of doom.
Well then, all you Cruzers don’t haver to worry - Trump is clearly doomed.
Someone should call the GOPE, so they can relax and get some sleep.
LOL...
Were all of these closed primaries? If not and he got, say, 20-something percent of non-white republicans, how many non-white dems and independents crossed over to vote for him?
Nah, the GOPe are like rust and commies. They NEVER sleep.
“The youth vote is known for showing up in far proportions in general elections than in primaries.”
Far What? Greater/Lesser?
This just shows how blacks who normally vote Republican are voting. The whole point is getting blacks who normally wouldn’t vote for a Republican, or even vote at all to vote for Trump. A better measure would be how black independents vote in open primaries.
They are full of CRAP!
We the people are all kinds of colors and that is so screwing with the establishment.
Hillary will be trounced in the general.
I LOVE these two!!!
Just a little input to your analysis: the Blacks who are voting for Trump in large measure are historically dems. Let’s face it, there aren’t very many black republicans nationwide to begin with. Trump is pulling blacks from dems, black pastors historically dems, factory workers historically dems, union members historically dem and many in the urban areas. Your analysis holds up for republican blacks voters, though you did not provide a link for your statistics source.
Before you post a headline like you wrote, you should be a little more factual.
They rock! :)
Much to my surprise, I know quite a few blacks who have never voted Republican before that will vote for Trump. They are tired of the illegals here.
Geez. Get a grip. They either are or they aren’t BFD.
These two ladies are quite beautiful!!! And not just because of there Trump shirts!!! Both of them are STUNNING!!!!
There=their
Would these be the same reliable exit polls that showed Trump winning by 8 points, when he was given an official loss?
Ahhhh... no thanks.
So what? He doesn’t have to win them over en masse. He just has to do better than the 11% the average republican gets. Trump is getting around 25%.
He’s getting more Hispanics than you’d guess too.
I really think that you need to see trhis thread-
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3406467/posts
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.