Posted on 03/07/2016 7:09:06 AM PST by Enlightened1
Sorry Mitt Romney–
On FOX News Sunday this morning Rush Limbaugh pointed out that even with a brokered convention the Republican nominees must have won a majority of delegates in at least 8 states.
So far only one candidate qualifies with 12 state victories – Donald Trump.
So even if the GOP establishment wants to nominate a Paul Ryan or Mitt Romney they couldn’t because they have not won majority of delegates in any state let alone 8 states.
This convention rule – Number 40 – was adopted at the 2012 convention.
Rush said the GOP would have to change the convention rules in order to steal the election from the Republican base.
(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
If they created it in 2012 to prevent Ron Paul, then why did Ron Paul receive over 10% of the votes on the first ballot?
They created it in 2012 to prevent FUTURE acts like Ron Paul from stealing some of the glory from their coronation of their hand-picked candidate.
No, it was just a copy and past from the pdf that included the page number “40 of 42” at the bottom of the page. The correct quote should just leave this out.
I will have to go back and research the rules later when I have more time, but it is my current understanding that the vote of a delegate who is “bound” to a candidate is recorded for that candidate on the first ballot regardless of what happens prior to the vote. Delegate who are “unbound” can vote as they please. Most delegates are “bound”.
Check again.
The 40 refers to rule 40 and there are a total of 42 rules.
It refers to the rule number, not a page number.
But even Trump’s 12 victories so far weren’t, for the majority, majority wins of delegates, were they?
You can see similar references to other rules (# of 42) in the actual document.
http://www.texasconservativerepublicannews.com/p/2012-republican-party-rules-adopted-at.html
I read recently that the Republicans included a rule that the rules could be changed up to the day before the convention.
And you can take it to the bank that that’s exactly what they would do.
The system is rigged such that Trump and Cruz could go into the convention with 90% of the voted-for delegates between then—and then have have the GOPe deliver the nomination to one of their RINO butt boys instead.
Cruz gaining too much on Trump increases the likelihood of that scenario, given that it is very unlikely Cruz will win the majority needed himself.
Rule 40 begins on page 43 of this .pdf, which is page 39 of 42 on the original:
https://cdn.gop.com/docs/2012_RULES_Adopted.pdf
Not really, because the delegates still have to vote for the nominee. So, there might be a first-ballot that would have Cruz and Trump both come very close to the 1237, and then the gamesmanship would begin, with people trading favors in order to try to get their candidate over the top. But the party itself wouldn’t have control over the delegates.
Excerpt from rule 16: (2) For any manner of binding or allocating delegates under these rules, if a delegate (i) casts a vote for a presidential candidate at the national convention inconsistent with the delegates obligation under state law or state party rule, (ii) nominates or demonstrates support under Rule No. 40 for a presidential candidate other than the one to whom the delegate is bound or allocated under state law or state party rule, or (iii) fails in some other way to carry out the delegates affirmative duty under state law or state party rule to cast a vote at the national convention for a particular presidential candidate, the delegate shall be deemed to have concurrently resigned as a delegate and the delegates improper vote or nomination shall be null and void. Thereafter the secretary of the convention shall record the delegates vote or nomination in accordance with the delegates obligation under state law or state party rule. This subsection does not apply to delegates who are bound to a candidate who has withdrawn his or her candidacy, suspended or terminated his or her campaign, or publicly released his or her delegates.
It appears your analysis was in line with the rule. Hopefully it will not come to this but if so, it would be better than any other alternative.
No problem. The RNC could change the rules. However I just don’t see that happening. Whoever wins fair and square will be the nominee if they get enough delegates. Now if they don’t get the magic number — that’s when it could become interesting.
This is a different printing because the pagination comes at a different place but it shows what the "40 of 42" is.
Of the total 2,472 Republican delegates, 1,719 are pledged ....
700 is a lot of unpledged delegates
But if neither has the delegates to win it on the first ballot, it all gets opened up for the GOPe to rewrite the rules and twist the arms.
You forget all of the ex officio delegates, too.
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