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Cruz Records Weakest Home State GOP Primary Victory in Party History
Smart Politics ^ | 3/2/16 | Eric J. Ostermeier

Posted on 03/02/2016 9:00:23 AM PST by Sybeck1

Each of the 60 previous Republican presidential candidates who carried their home state did so with a larger percentage of the vote than Cruz; Cruz is one of only six who failed to reach the 50 percent mark

The Ted Cruz campaign delivered on its promise to win the Texas primary on Tuesday and then exceeded ‘expectations’ by also coming in first place in the neighboring state of Oklahoma and the Alaska caucuses.

With four victories now under his belt, Cruz will attempt to use his comparatively successful electoral track record against the remaining non-Trump candidates (Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Ben Carson) in an attempt to expedite their withdrawal from the race.

To be sure, the Texas U.S. Senator’s victory in his home state – and the most delegate rich state on the primary calendar thus far – was crucial for the Cruz campaign, and avoided an embarrassment that might have pressured him to withdraw after Super Tuesday.

While Cruz escaped that unenviable situation, his victory in Texas is decidedly shy of impressive.

In fact, by one measure, it is the least impressive home state primary victory in party history.

A Smart Politics analysis finds that Ted Cruz’s 43.8 percent showing in Texas marks the lowest support ever recorded by a Republican presidential candidate in a home state victory out of the more than five-dozen campaigns to win their home state since 1912.

Over the last 104 years since the debut of presidential primaries, Republican White House hopefuls have successfully carried their home state in a presidential primary 61 times.

Prior to Cruz’s plurality win in Texas on Tuesday, only five of these candidates failed to win a majority of the primary vote en route to their home state victory:

(Excerpt) Read more at editions.lib.umn.edu ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: cruz; texas; youcruzyoulose
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To: 2nd Amendment

No offense, but you may end up telling your grandchildren that you voted for a Canadian in 2016. If I’m proven wrong, apologies to you.


61 posted on 03/02/2016 9:28:10 AM PST by sanjuanbob (Skeptic)
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To: ScottinVA

Actually I’d say it was a weak performance not getting a majority.
Especially considering this was Texas and your prime opponent was all about “New York Values”


62 posted on 03/02/2016 9:29:52 AM PST by nascarnation (RIP Scalia. Godspeed)
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To: beandog

“I wish they’d pay me. I have a driveway that needs paving.”

My roof needs new shingles, so yeah, you have a point there.


63 posted on 03/02/2016 9:30:11 AM PST by Durbin
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To: nascarnation

OK, thanks- I thought that they were talking about the eventual primary winner carrying his home state.


64 posted on 03/02/2016 9:32:55 AM PST by matthew fuller (Cruz has never been pro-abortion, anti-gun, a Clinton donor, a Schumer donor, or filed bankruptcy.)
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To: Resolute Conservative

“So when your favorite sports team wins by 1 point/run it is not really a win? Trump logic. Bizarro world...”

This is all about delegates. Who has the most at the end. We are only at the end of the first quarter of the game if you want to put it that way.


65 posted on 03/02/2016 9:34:45 AM PST by Parley Baer
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To: Sybeck1

Under the circumstances, given incredibly strong support Trump is getting, Cruz did better than most would have thought. Highest polling I saw him showed him in the low 30’s. Would think he exceeded expectations.


66 posted on 03/02/2016 9:37:14 AM PST by nfldgirl
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To: Sybeck1

Guess you can write about anything...

It actually relates to how many other candidates are still in the race at the time of the primary. Also the Texas primary was moved up this year...were it conducted at its old date, some candidates may have dropped out...but who knows...it’s a very strange primary...


67 posted on 03/02/2016 9:38:30 AM PST by pookie18 (9 months until the general election...)
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To: Sybeck1

So here’s the deal. In yesterday’s Super Tuesday delegate count:

Trump won 234 delegates

Cruz won 209 delegates

Cruz is the main and credible threat to Trump.

He is also conservative.


68 posted on 03/02/2016 9:38:35 AM PST by lonestar67 (Trump is anti-conservative / Cruz 2016)
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To: wardaddy

I heard bits of both, but I was busy at that time, so I didn’t get to listen to either one with focus.

Now I hear people saying Chris Christie was distracting at the Trump speech LOL! He did look like a dope standing back there.

But still, whatever was said at these speeches, and I understand that Cruz’s speech was an attack speech, I still want to see a setting aside of arms between Trump and Cruz.

I think that would be a very formidable ticket in terms of Hellary, and it also would stick the middle finger right in the face of the damned GOP, which I am disgusted with at this point.


69 posted on 03/02/2016 9:38:47 AM PST by chris37 (heartless)
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To: qman

That was not the conversation

I was replying to something totally different

It was a comparison between how well Cruz did in his home state primary last night versus Gore in 2000

Cruz did far worse

In fact he did as bad as any GOP primary candidate ever has

I live in Tennessee


70 posted on 03/02/2016 9:39:34 AM PST by wardaddy (Ted Cruz endorser of Rubio is off my Christmas list......)
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To: lquist1
I think Rubio’s on track to break that record in a couple weeks.
71 posted on 03/02/2016 9:39:57 AM PST by DouglasKC
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To: Sybeck1

Doesn’t Matter - I Don’t Care. :)


72 posted on 03/02/2016 9:40:03 AM PST by TexasCajun (#BlackViolenceMatters)
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To: Sybeck1

Ted Cruz endorsement fails as Ted Cruz fails to win more than 50% of the vote in Texas


73 posted on 03/02/2016 9:41:11 AM PST by kiryandil (Ted Cruz endorsement fails as Ted Cruz fails to win more than 50% of the vote in Texas)
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To: Sybeck1

Cruz had a good night and he deserves praise for his victories. He has a tough row to hoe going forward unless he can convince Rubio to get out of the race and its hard to see that happening before the Florida primary.


74 posted on 03/02/2016 9:41:27 AM PST by mac_truck (aide toi et dieu t'aiderai)
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To: Resolute Conservative

Actually ted needed 50% and did to get that as the delegates are now shared with Trump.


75 posted on 03/02/2016 9:41:37 AM PST by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: Sybeck1

Texas did not “turn Republican” until 1980 & still has a fairly large Democrat voting base, esp in the valley. Cruz is a relatively newcomer to TX politics, unlike the Bush family. Plus the fact that this primary comes earlier than usual.


76 posted on 03/02/2016 9:42:03 AM PST by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: Sasparilla
Along with his mega dollar PACs and contributors.

It doesn't take huge sums of money to win an election, much less against Hillary who will have almost $1 billion? You fault a guy for raising money when not having money ends in defeat? You should find something legitimate to criticize him for? Or not.

77 posted on 03/02/2016 9:44:16 AM PST by Mase (Save me from the people who would save me from myself!)
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To: Sybeck1

After Nevada, didn’t Teddy Cruztablishment cancel all campaigning outside of Texas so he and his team could focus everything on defending his home turf?

And this is all he can show for it?

Lol!


78 posted on 03/02/2016 9:44:26 AM PST by Vision Thing
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To: Sybeck1

After Nevada, didn’t Teddy Cruztablishment cancel all campaigning outside of Texas so he and his team could focus everything on defending his home turf?

And this is all he can show for it?

Lol!


79 posted on 03/02/2016 9:44:26 AM PST by Vision Thing
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To: Durbin
But i do love how anyone who doesn’t support trump is being paid by the establishment to be here.

Oh Man, why didn't anyone tell me? Do they have matching funds? When is the Establishment going to reach out to me? I would have contributed more to Cruz!

ahem...you may be need to put down the kool-aid before you post...

80 posted on 03/02/2016 9:44:53 AM PST by no-s (when democracy is displaced by tyranny, the armed citizen still gets to vote...)
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