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Cruz Records Weakest Home State GOP Primary Victory in Party History
Smart Politics ^ | 3/2/16 | Eric J. Ostermeier

Posted on 03/02/2016 9:00:23 AM PST by Sybeck1

Each of the 60 previous Republican presidential candidates who carried their home state did so with a larger percentage of the vote than Cruz; Cruz is one of only six who failed to reach the 50 percent mark

The Ted Cruz campaign delivered on its promise to win the Texas primary on Tuesday and then exceeded ‘expectations’ by also coming in first place in the neighboring state of Oklahoma and the Alaska caucuses.

With four victories now under his belt, Cruz will attempt to use his comparatively successful electoral track record against the remaining non-Trump candidates (Marco Rubio, John Kasich, Ben Carson) in an attempt to expedite their withdrawal from the race.

To be sure, the Texas U.S. Senator’s victory in his home state – and the most delegate rich state on the primary calendar thus far – was crucial for the Cruz campaign, and avoided an embarrassment that might have pressured him to withdraw after Super Tuesday.

While Cruz escaped that unenviable situation, his victory in Texas is decidedly shy of impressive.

In fact, by one measure, it is the least impressive home state primary victory in party history.

A Smart Politics analysis finds that Ted Cruz’s 43.8 percent showing in Texas marks the lowest support ever recorded by a Republican presidential candidate in a home state victory out of the more than five-dozen campaigns to win their home state since 1912.

Over the last 104 years since the debut of presidential primaries, Republican White House hopefuls have successfully carried their home state in a presidential primary 61 times.

Prior to Cruz’s plurality win in Texas on Tuesday, only five of these candidates failed to win a majority of the primary vote en route to their home state victory:

(Excerpt) Read more at editions.lib.umn.edu ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: cruz; texas; youcruzyoulose
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To: Just mythoughts

.., Texas owns Cruz!...

Along with his mega dollar PACs and contributors.


21 posted on 03/02/2016 9:12:33 AM PST by Sasparilla (Hillary for Prosecution 2016)
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To: Sybeck1

Your correct, yet Cruz will have 2.5 times the delegates of Rubio and 1/3 less than Trump. Rubio cannot win Florida and his political career is over for now because he can’t run for his senate seat in Florida and president at the same time.
Cruz head to head will beat Trump! But Rubio splits the anti Trump vote.

Cruz should ask Rubio to join him as vice, and help Ben Carson run for senate in Florida, ask Kasich to be HHS, and offer Rand Paul Secretary of the Treasury.


22 posted on 03/02/2016 9:12:33 AM PST by qman
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To: Sybeck1

Cruz did very good in Texas. He outperformed the polls there where even some polls that some on FR where touting where Cruz and Trump where almost tied.

In an open primary a solid conservative getting 44% of the vote in a splintered race is very good, home state or not.

Why did Trump do so poorly in Texas, some on FR where saying that he would beat Cruz in Texas as well.


23 posted on 03/02/2016 9:12:46 AM PST by justlittleoleme (Do not be overcome by evil, but overcome evil with good.)
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To: chris37

Rubio winning MN only shows how blue he really is!


24 posted on 03/02/2016 9:13:08 AM PST by patlin ("Knowledge is a powerful source that is - 2nd to none but God" ConstitutionallySpeaking 2011)
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To: Resolute Conservative

Exactly.

They make me laugh.


25 posted on 03/02/2016 9:14:12 AM PST by kinsman redeemer (The real enemy seeks to devour what is good.)
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To: Sybeck1

“Each of the 60 previous Republican presidential candidates who carried their home state did so with a larger percentage of the vote than Cruz; Cruz is one of only six who failed to reach the 50 percent mark”

This sounds like it might, possibly mean something. I wonder if there is any particular reason why the author did not take into account there were five active Republican candidates on the ballot this time and then compare the number of strong candidates in previous primaries?


26 posted on 03/02/2016 9:14:45 AM PST by jeffersondem
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To: patlin

“Statistically, when did NY ever vote for a Republican for president?’

Well, we are talking about the Republican Primaries, no? So my question still stands.


27 posted on 03/02/2016 9:15:28 AM PST by Durbin
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To: txrefugee

6 on the ballot in 2000, FWIW


28 posted on 03/02/2016 9:15:58 AM PST by nascarnation (RIP Scalia. Godspeed)
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To: Sasparilla
Along with his mega dollar PACs and contributors.

Globalism is the new world order... Who would have ever thought those values would get birthed in Texas...?

29 posted on 03/02/2016 9:16:40 AM PST by Just mythoughts (Jesus said Luke 17:32 Remember Lot's wife.)
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To: chris37

Trump congratulated Cruz and then Cruz went right back to his robotic insult script.

He did the “use Christianity as a tool” to demand other candidates pull out so he could claim victory.

It was an interesting contrast.


30 posted on 03/02/2016 9:17:13 AM PST by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: Sybeck1

Maybe it’s because Texas moved their Primary to ST in this election cycle thus more candidates in the running. Back then GWB won against McCain the only other candidate in the running thus gining more than 50% threshold.


31 posted on 03/02/2016 9:17:57 AM PST by bubman
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To: Sybeck1

BOL!


32 posted on 03/02/2016 9:18:04 AM PST by Grampa Dave (, Voting to elect Trump as president is the only known cure for chronic TDS!))
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To: Durbin

If Cruz cannot even get the evangelical votes that Santorum got, he is certainly not going to get the “NY values” voters he condemned by condemning Trump by insinuating that NY conservatives have no values!


33 posted on 03/02/2016 9:18:08 AM PST by patlin ("Knowledge is a powerful source that is - 2nd to none but God" ConstitutionallySpeaking 2011)
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To: Sybeck1
"Over the last 104 years since the debut of presidential primaries, Republican White House hopefuls have successfully carried their home state in a presidential primary 61 times. "

Can someone enlighten me how there can be more than about 26 Presidential primaries in 104 years? Haven't our presidents been elected every four years since 1912? Or do some states have do-overs?

34 posted on 03/02/2016 9:18:36 AM PST by matthew fuller (Cruz has never been pro-abortion, anti-gun, a Clinton donor, a Schumer donor, or filed bankruptcy.)
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To: Sybeck1

Cool way for a little Trumpster to try and diminish a victory.

Ted Cruz is only a few delegate points behind Trump now and movin’ on up.


35 posted on 03/02/2016 9:18:52 AM PST by altura (Cruz for our country)
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To: Sybeck1

I proudly voted for Cruz. Now I can sleep well at night. If Trump wins and takes this country over with his snake oil, I can tell my grandchildren that I did not cooperate!


36 posted on 03/02/2016 9:19:30 AM PST by 2nd Amendment (Proud member of the 48% . . giver not a taker)
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To: patlin

“If Cruz cannot even get the evangelical votes that Santorum got, he is certainly not going to get the “NY values” voters’

But I’m asking if Trump doesn’t get 50% in his home state New York, will we see the same type of article for him? Stick to the actual subject.


37 posted on 03/02/2016 9:19:59 AM PST by Durbin
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To: lquist1
I think Rubio’s on track to break that record in a couple weeks.

Time to bury the Cuban beach Rubot politically!

38 posted on 03/02/2016 9:20:01 AM PST by Grampa Dave (, Voting to elect Trump as president is the only known cure for chronic TDS!))
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To: The Iceman Cometh

Amazing how self blindered some people are.


39 posted on 03/02/2016 9:20:06 AM PST by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: patlin

“Rubio winning MN only shows how blue he really is!”

I was at the MN caucus last night, and on the GOP side, I wouldn’t say we are that Blue a state. It was clear to me that Rubio was the best organized. He had literature and people speaking on his behalf in nearly every room. In our room, a Rubio guy got up and gave a polished speech, then 3 of us got up, none from the Cruz campaign, and spoke off the cuff why we preferred Cruz. Our room had 38 people and it was 15-14 Rubio, 4 for Trump and a couple for Carson/Kasich.

The most interesting thing was how poorly organized Trump was. No one spoke on his behalf, but several got up to urge people not to vote for him. I don’t think Trump made much effort to win here.


40 posted on 03/02/2016 9:20:15 AM PST by lquist1
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