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The Trump Coalition (The GOP Front-Runner’s Base Is Broad And Durable)
Slate ^ | 02/02/2016 | Jamelle Bouie

Posted on 03/02/2016 1:06:33 AM PST by goldstategop

But Trump’s relative weakness doesn’t mean he’s vulnerable. While Trump isn’t as strong as previous front-runners, his coalition has a similar shape. Take Virginia, a varied state where Trump won with 34.7 percent of the vote. The Washington D.C. suburbs aside, Trump won every region of the state, from exurban Northern Virginia and the central region of the state, to the vote-rich, eastern Tidewater and the Richmond metropolitan area.

More important than that, however, is the ideological and socio-economic shape of his coalition. Trump won “very conservative” and “somewhat conservative” voters in Virginia, and placed second with self-described Republican moderates. He won 39 percent of white evangelical Christians and 42 percent of people with military service. He won a whopping 47 percent of Virginia Republicans without a college degree, and most voters making less than $50,000 a year.

This pattern plays out everywhere. Trump dominates in the middle and downscale sections of the electorate, among Republicans who are “somewhat conservative,” and even those who identify as highly ideological. And while he has a difficult time winning new voters—few who decided in the past week broke to Trump—he won support early and held it in the face of attacks and pushback.

(Excerpt) Read more at slate.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2016election; demographicdisaster; disaster; election2016; gop; jamellebouie; newyork; slate; supertuesday; trump; trumpertuesday
The closeness of Trump's win in VA conceals the breadth and depth of his support. He swept every region in the state apart from the wealthy counties around the Washington metro area. Trump's coalition is broad and its durable. I agree with Bouie's take on Super Tuesday's outcome.
1 posted on 03/02/2016 1:06:34 AM PST by goldstategop
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To: goldstategop

Just read that somewhere that Cruz took Alaska...is this true?

Argh...just want this over with.... beat Hillary and let’s get on with our lives...


2 posted on 03/02/2016 1:13:42 AM PST by mowowie (`)
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To: mowowie

Cruz won AK. Still, lots of contests ahead this month before it slows down.


3 posted on 03/02/2016 1:16:20 AM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: goldstategop

Unlike the niche-candidate Cruz, Trump is the full-spectrum, broad-based candidate.


4 posted on 03/02/2016 1:17:10 AM PST by Vision Thing
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To: mowowie

Lots of crossover votes even ran out of ballots.
Do you know what being “Mississippi ed “. Means?
It was done again in Alaska from what the threads say!


5 posted on 03/02/2016 2:21:16 AM PST by hoosiermama (Make America Great Again by uniting Great Americans)
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For those who can't read this one without opening a vein, there's plenty of wishful thinking nuttery floating around FR topics about the Super Tuesday results and turnout.

6 posted on 03/02/2016 2:31:23 AM PST by SunkenCiv (Here's to the day the forensics people scrape what's left of Putin off the ceiling of his limo.)
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To: goldstategop

You agree with:
“Put simply, he [Donald Trump] is a toxic figure with deep unfavorables among large swaths of the American electorate. And while he could appeal to disaffected white voters—blue-collar Democrats and alienated Republicans—there’s no guarantee he could do this without sparking a backlash among blacks, Latinos, Asian Americans, and a whole host of other groups offended and repulsed by Trump’s sexism, racism, and vulgarity. Nor is there evidence he could overcome the likely deluge of attacks on his dealings and business record, especially if high-profile Republican politicians begin to disavow him in the face of his nomination.

Anyone who wins a major party nomination can win the presidency. That doesn’t mean it’s likely. Trump is on the path to success in the GOP. But he’s still a long way from success with the entire American people.”


7 posted on 03/02/2016 2:40:56 AM PST by SubMareener (Save us from Quarterly Freepathons! Become a MONTHLY DONOR!)
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To: goldstategop
The closeness of Trump's win in VA conceals the breadth and depth of his support. He swept every region in the state apart from the wealthy counties around the Washington metro area. Trump's coalition is broad and its durable.

Thanks for the clarification.

8 posted on 03/02/2016 3:22:11 AM PST by Liz (SAFE PLACE? A liberal's mind. Nothing's there. Nothing can penetrate it.)
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To: SubMareener

He has a point: Trump has high negatives, is detested by the GOP establishment and is extremely controversial.

He defies the usual things about a politician, traits that may make him acceptable to Republicans, has yet to gain him acceptance among the American people.

There is truth to what Bouie says about Trump and we don’t like what liberals have to say about our front-runner, nevertheless this is what a lot of people think about Trump.

If he wants to become President, he needs to change the country’s perception of him and they are large shoes to fill. No time like the present to get to it.


9 posted on 03/02/2016 3:23:09 AM PST by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Jane Long; GOPJ; Grampa Dave; stephenjohnbanker; Tennessee Nana; AuntB

Cruz won AK, TX, OK.....but he acted like HE had swept Super Tuesday.

This was Cruz territory-—conservative country-—he had launched a huge bid for southern evangelicals.

But they rejected Cruz in favor of Trump on Super Tuesday and in SC.

So if the wise and God-inspired evangelicals didn’t want Cruz....why would the rest of America want him?


10 posted on 03/02/2016 3:30:24 AM PST by Liz (SAFE PLACE? A liberal's mind. Nothing's there. Nothing can penetrate it.)
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To: goldstategop
Mondale Rubio won Minnesota!

Ed

11 posted on 03/02/2016 5:12:04 AM PST by husky ed (FOX NEWS ALERT "Generalissimo Francisco Franco is still dead" THIS HAS BEEN A FOX NEWS ALERT)
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To: Liz; All

NRSC scamming Trump supporters while giving donations to Ted Cruz

http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3403999/posts
and
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3403920/posts


12 posted on 03/02/2016 7:11:41 AM PST by AuntB (Illegal immigration is simply more "share the wealth" socialism and a CRIME not a race!)
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To: goldstategop; All

Supporting Cruz is a win for the democrats.

Trump wins Eastern states, but Cruz barely registers there....Cruz CAN NOT WIN anything but his small base of saturated voters like Texas.

Vt....Trump 33%....Ted not even in the top 3

VA...Trump 33%.......Ted 17%

Mass...Trump 49%........Ted....Not in the top 3


13 posted on 03/02/2016 7:17:38 AM PST by AuntB (Illegal immigration is simply more "share the wealth" socialism and a CRIME not a race!)
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To: Liz

We need Trump to knock over the money changers tables and clean out the filth. There will be plenty of time for lesser men - but still good men like Cruz to play a part. Cruz needs to back off, support Trump and wait his turn.


14 posted on 03/02/2016 7:22:17 AM PST by GOPJ (Will Hillary totally disavow ANY group connected to the Muslim Brotherhood, AlQaeda or ISIS?)
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