Posted on 02/24/2016 9:18:40 AM PST by justlittleoleme
Trump will face his three principal opponents in their home-state primaries in the next three weeks. In Texas, part of the Super Tuesday slate, Trump trails Texas Sen. Ted Cruz by 9.3 points in the RealClearPolitics average of polls.
In Ohio, the latest poll cited by RCP was released this week and showed Trump ahead of Ohio Gov. John Kasich by five points. Kasich has a high approval rating in his home state and could win the primary if he's still part of the conversation by March 15.
Only in Florida among these three states does Trump have a solid lead in the RCP averages, by more than 20 points against Cruz and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio.
It's hard to see how Cruz, Kasich or Rubio could continue if they can't even win their home states. If Trump wins only two of the three, the Republican race could become a two-man affair with more than a third of the delegates remaining to be chosen. It will be interesting to see if Trump can win then.
I covered Ronald Reagan for The Washington Post in 1976 when, challenging President Gerald Ford, he lost the first six primaries. The situation was so bleak in the Reagan camp that some aides were privately exploring jobs in Ford's fall campaign. But Reagan did not quit on Reagan. He won a North Carolina primary he'd been expected to lose and battled Ford all the way to the Republican National Convention in Kansas City, giving himself a flying head start for 1980.
-snip-
It's really silly to anoint Trump, who has yet to be tested in a big-state primary against a smaller field, as the Republican nominee on the basis of a loss in Iowa and victories in New Hampshire and South Carolina.
Let's see what happens when the field narrows.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Trump is within 1 point in Texas.
He’s leading in Florida.
Kasich and Carson aren’t getting out until mid March
It’ll be over by then.
TRUMP is the nominee.
Deal with it!
Trump has to demonstrate he can control the convention.
If it close in TX, Cruz will have a hard time staying in. Delegates are distributed proportionately by CG and statewide. FL is a winner take all state. A win here by Trump kills Rubio’s chances.
Trump is going to make it “Real Clear” next Tuesday. Only the willfully blind would say otherwise.
Yep. The scum who control most of the power levers at the upper levels of the GOP are going to try every dirty trick you can imagine and more to try and screw him over. And when they do, it’s going to be really ugly.
Not a coincidence.
LOL!!
Where did everybody go?
...deserve a bigger paycheck.
(funny)
The reality is I may need an unemployment check soon.
Silly rabbit, Trump will likely win them all.
It won’t come down to anything. I’m thrilled that Cruz and Rubio are still in the race...but this thing is done. Trump is winning...and winning big. Game over.
Fantasitc! Ted Cruz 2024! That gives him eight years to make friends in the Senate. ;-)
Ya know, that’s just plain stupid. Who the heck are you?
Supporter of the Populist who has been pro-abortion, pro-takings, anti-gun, pro-big-government, Hillary supporter, pro-Reid, Pro friggin’ everything liberal ever imagined?
For some intellectual purity, you could use to hose out your cranium with bleach.
If Trump had won with percentages in the 30s in NV, then I could see this as a probable point. BUT. Trump won with 46% of the vote (a 20 point spread) and the polls undershot his support by 7+ points. It was a blowout in NV, and this will only add to his support.
The only CLOSED primary/caucus Trump has faced is Iowa. Rat crossover voters are pushing Trump.
“I covered Ronald Reagan for The Washington Post in 1976 when, challenging President Gerald Ford, he lost the first six primaries.”
So this guy is older than dirt, and so is his commentary!
Yes, but Reagan had won NH, SC, and NV.
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