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Poll: Cruz cuts into Trump's SC lead
The Hill ^ | February 19, 2016 | Tristan Lejeune

Posted on 02/19/2016 4:56:54 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

An NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll released Friday finds Donald Trump leading the GOP presidential field by only 5 points in South Carolina, down from 16 points a month ago.

The RealClearPolitics average of polls still finds Trump ahead of the pack by double digits going into Saturday's South Carolina primary, but Friday's survey reports Trump has 28 percent support among likely Republican voters, down from 36 percent in January. Nearest rival Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) gets 23 percent, up from 20 last month.

Trump and Cruz are followed by Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) with 15 percent, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 13 percent and Ohio Gov. John Kasich and Ben Carson tied at 9 percent.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Constitution/Conservatism; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; cruz; gopprimary; poll; sc2016; southcarolina
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Yeah OK, the surprise is when Cruz loses you guys still won’t stfu!


41 posted on 02/19/2016 5:22:06 AM PST by Boardwalk
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To: VanDeKoik

Thank you.

Now everyone can see the replies at those links/threads.

I do a search before setting up posts, but it’s not a perfect system.


42 posted on 02/19/2016 5:22:13 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

This poll doesn’t honor anyone.

The very small amount of it that is still sticking to the wall tomorrow night, will still stink like what it is.


43 posted on 02/19/2016 5:22:50 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
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To: Redleg Duke

You still insist on playing the establioshment’s game.

Pathetic.
***********************************************************
Wow...so things have arrived at the point where saying I’ll believe the results of tomorrow’s actual vote over predictions of various polls is “the establishment’s game”? Some here are retreating further and further from sanity.


44 posted on 02/19/2016 5:23:44 AM PST by House Atreides (CRUZ or lose!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

He still wins, genius.

But hey you have one poll that doesnt have either cruz losing by 10 or falling behind Rubio, so you guys can rally around it with visions of secret ground game armies coming to the rescue, or whatever you guys come up with.


45 posted on 02/19/2016 5:24:11 AM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

As much as I’d like to see Cruz win SC, there is no valid statistical basis for these poll results (posted dozens of times on FR). They were created the same way global warming data are created - by changing the assumptions until the desired answer appeared.

Note: It is at least possible that Cruz will win SC. He appears to have by far the best GOTV apparatus, and that may give him a well-earned win, but that is speculation and not honest polling.


46 posted on 02/19/2016 5:25:12 AM PST by Pollster1 ("A Bill of Rights that means what the majority wants it to mean is worthless." - Scalia)
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To: carjic

No that is the myth you Cruzstaians are pimping. That unless Trump wins by double digits it is “a lose”

Winning by .001 is winning. Only a brain dead campaign bot would pimp the myth that the margin of victory matters.


47 posted on 02/19/2016 5:26:22 AM PST by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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To: Redleg Duke
You still insist on playing the establishment’s game.

Why do you think that Cruz is part of the establishment?

This is something I will never get. They guy went over the head of the establishment to get his Senate seat. He has been nothing but a thorn in the side of the establishment since he arrived.

Please see this video if you want to see what going against the establishment looks like.

48 posted on 02/19/2016 5:27:54 AM PST by nitzy (I don't vote for Republican'ts)
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To: 20yearsofinternet
...And before the Cruzaders bum rush me, I’m not saying he’s not good enough because he’s not as rich or successful as Trump. I’m just talking about the general life experience you get from being an employee, manager, regional director... anything really.....

You're implying that Donald Trump worked his way up the ladder and that Ted Cruz just landed in front of the U.S. Supreme Court pleading and winning cases and doesn't have any real world experience?

49 posted on 02/19/2016 5:28:43 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: MNJohnnie

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/


50 posted on 02/19/2016 5:29:52 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: MNJohnnie

Not really. You guys put up that the new polls are crap but you die by the 15-20 point polls. Tomorrow will tell that that has bee BS all along. Trump will win tomorrow but as usual the polls are all BS. Ted Cruz 2016! and NO 2nd choice.


51 posted on 02/19/2016 5:29:53 AM PST by carjic (Media and GOPe are making the only people I trust not electable)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
The only “flailing around” that I see, is Trump fans on this thread working overtime to poo-poo a poll that doesn’t honor The Donald.

Hmm so correcting the habitual lying of the campaign bots is now "failing around"? It seems you failed English Composition 101.

52 posted on 02/19/2016 5:29:55 AM PST by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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To: House Atreides

Can’t wait for tomorrow!


53 posted on 02/19/2016 5:30:33 AM PST by Spirit of Liberty (Time to go Galt!)
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To: ripnbang

Please do everything you can to hang on to the few remaining neurons encompassing your prefrontal cortex!


54 posted on 02/19/2016 5:32:12 AM PST by HoosierWordsmith
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To: House Atreides

“I’ll say it before all the Trump (BLESSED BE HIS NAME) supporters arrive to say it -— since the polls are all over the place, the ONLY “poll” I’m going to believe coincides with reality is tomorrow’s ACTUAL VOTE.”

Such a crazy notion. Be careful, you may be banned from FR forever.

By the way we all know that Trump is going to get 150% of the vote because he’s GREAT GREAT GREAT and he WINS WINS WINS


55 posted on 02/19/2016 5:32:35 AM PST by almcbean
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To: sparklite2

I get concerned that these polls that show Donald up big time might be setting him up so if he doesn’t win as big as they predict, they can say he lost and slow his momentum. If you notice, it is always the Murdock polls that show him down. Wouldn’t Globalist Rupert love to be the one who is correct? I just don’t trust polls or pollsters anymore. Things are really bloody!


56 posted on 02/19/2016 5:34:49 AM PST by virginia9000
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

So that’s two polls which show that Cruz is gaining support in SC.

Cruz may be trending at the right time to make it a close contest and if it’s close, Cruz has some bragging rights and Trump has some explaining to do.


57 posted on 02/19/2016 5:35:40 AM PST by randita
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To: virginia9000

If it were just a poll or two, yeah. But it seems like there are multiple polls per day anymore, and all except the NBC/WSJ polls show the big Trump lead.


58 posted on 02/19/2016 5:37:58 AM PST by sparklite2 ( "The white man is the Jew of Liberal Fascism." -Jonah Goldberg)
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To: VitacoreVision

Why quibble over polls at this point.

All the soothsayers will be proved wrong or right tomorrow.

Let’s have a day of peace friends.


59 posted on 02/19/2016 5:40:44 AM PST by reviled downesdad (Some of the blind will never believe the Truth.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

No, I think maybe you’re intentionally ignoring what I’m saying. I’m not saying Ted Cruz is a bad lwayer, or that becoming a lawyer is easy. Just that private sector success provides a different set of skills than being a lwayer.


60 posted on 02/19/2016 5:41:10 AM PST by 20yearsofinternet (Border: Close it. Illegals: Deport. Muslims: Ban 'em. Economy: Liberate it. PC: Kill it. Trump 2016)
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