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ARG Tracking SC (Trump 33, Rubio 16, Kasich 14, Cruz 14)
ARG ^ | 2/16/2016 | ARG

Posted on 02/16/2016 6:16:51 PM PST by usafa92

No article, just link.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanresearchgroup.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: cruz; polls; trump
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To: usafa92
Interesting that Cruz is at 14 here and 23 in CNN.

CNN poll was taken mostly before the debate, and has a small sample on the one day after the debate. ARG has a MOE of 5 points also, so Cruz could be as high as 19, which would be in line with the other poll showing Cruz and Rubio tied post-debate. ARG was pretty close with Trump in New Hampshire, and one point off on Cruz's numbers, though their last poll I think was either just before or not long after the debate, so they were wrong with Rubio.

41 posted on 02/16/2016 6:50:00 PM PST by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

The Cruz club will have to spam the same 4 stories on FR early tomorrow extra hard over this one.


42 posted on 02/16/2016 6:52:20 PM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans

Good thing for Trump that CNN poll only had one day after the debate, or the results would have been a lot worse for him. According to the internals, Trump was running at 40% before the debate - he dropped to 31 % the day after.


43 posted on 02/16/2016 6:54:01 PM PST by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: CA Conservative
According to the internals, Trump was running at 40% before the debate - he dropped to 31 % the day after.

Sample is very small on the last day (and only 400 polled in total) and is normal variation in with such a sample size. Trump up in 4 other post-debate polls.

44 posted on 02/16/2016 6:58:04 PM PST by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
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To: usafa92

As Rush will again remind us tomorrow, the polls are all over the place and the secret Rove poll is the most accurate.


45 posted on 02/16/2016 6:59:30 PM PST by odawg
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To: usafa92

Oh my.

Trump is crushing every one of them.


46 posted on 02/16/2016 7:01:56 PM PST by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittancez)
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To: usafa92

I LOVE THIS. That is a beautiful sight if true. I could not ask for better results.


47 posted on 02/16/2016 7:02:17 PM PST by napscoordinator
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To: odawg

“As Rush will again remind us tomorrow, the polls are all over the place and the secret Rove poll is the most accurate”

—The polls aren’t all over the place, but Rush is definitely running in circles. When he made that statement today then repeated that non-existent Bush camp “poll”, after all the other polls that came out and were fairly consistent, was the moment I knew Rush had finally lost his mind and credibility


48 posted on 02/16/2016 7:10:34 PM PST by MichelleWSC3
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To: usafa92

Latest poll, TRUMP LOSING BY 2 TO 1 MARGIN. Donald Trump could only muster 33% of the vote, leaving him losing to everyone else by a 2 to 1 margin. Authorities warn of impending chaos, heavy winds and rampant lawsuits.


49 posted on 02/16/2016 7:20:20 PM PST by jstaff
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To: MichelleWSC3
Rush is a DC establishment boy .
He has never called out the fact the Gope is owned and run by Wall Street fat cats like Robert Mercer or Zuckerberg or Adelson .
Never spoke out against the invasion of cheap labor or Paul Ryan's being owned by Adelson and the Silicon Valley cheap labor cartel.
Rush hid those facts .
Rush is one of the Murdoch gang and is now lying to US.
He needs to retire along with a long list of fellow DC front men .
50 posted on 02/16/2016 7:25:09 PM PST by ncalburt ( Amnesty-media out in full force)
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To: for-q-clinton

“I have no doubt Trump will be a very liberal President and nominate liberal judges.”

The two judges he has suggested are far from liberal


51 posted on 02/16/2016 7:40:18 PM PST by Fai Mao (Just a tropical gardiner chatting with friends)
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To: usafa92

I don’t put my faith in any one poll, but if Cruz comes in behind Rubio and Kasich in SC on election day he’s got some real problems.

Trump really needs to get his numbers up to 45% to secure himself the nomination... I suspect he will, but the longer it takes him to get there, the more likely you wind up with an establishment candidate winning by plurality.

Saturday will be interesting, and Mar 1 will be really telling. Nevada Caucus is another place where Trump probably is at a disadvantage, and someone may win... but Mar 1, will really be a strong barometer of where this race is going.


52 posted on 02/17/2016 7:50:14 AM PST by HamiltonJay
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