Like It or Not, After New Hampshire, It’s a Two Man Race Between Trump and Cruz

Right Wing News ^ | February 10, 2016 | John Hawkins

[SoConPubbie]

Since the modern primary system kicked in back in 76, no Republican has won without taking Iowa or New Hampshire. Since Cruz took Iowa and Trump was expected to take New Hampshire, that put Rubio in a difficult position.

However, Rubio’s team had an answer for that: 3rd in IA, 2nd in NH and 1st in SC. It hadn’t been done that way on the Republican side, but that did seem like a plausible path to the nomination.

Unfortunately, Rubio’s 5th place finish in NH means both Jeb and Kasich will stay in and split the establishment vote. It also means Rubio will probably be relegated to 3rd place in SC.

Keep in mind that Trump is in first in almost every state and he has a relatively solid base of support. He can definitely be beaten, but that is unlikely to happen unless the race narrows down to two candidates.

Cruz’s win in IA, his deep pockets and his 2nd place national standing means he’s definitely in through March.

The establishment lane can’t consolidate soon enough to make an impact and even if it does, it’s doubtful that any of them could beat Trump 1-on-1 in a rabidly anti-establishment year.

So, either the vote will consolidate around Cruz who can beat Trump 1-on-1 or all these candidates who can’t win will bleed support from Cruz and practically guarantee a Trump win.

PS: It is possible that enough delegates might be bled off of Trump and Cruz to throw the race into a brokered convention, but once the GOP gets to that point it’s between a rock and a hard place. I’m not a supporter of Donald Trump, but if he has the most delegates, he DESERVES to be the nominee. If the establishment were to rob Trump of the nomination at the convention, the backlash would be so enormous that it would practically guarantee a loss to the Democrats no matter whom the GOP selected as a nominee.

So, if Donald Trump is your guy, vote for him, but if you want someone other than Trump, it seems likely that your only realistic option at this point is Ted Cruz.

[SoConPubbie]

	"If we must have an enemy at the head of Government, let it be one whom we can oppose, and for whom we are not responsible, who will not involve our party in the disgrace of his foolish and bad measures." - Alexander Hamilton "We don't intend to turn the Republican Party over to the traitors in the battle just ended. We will have no more of those candidates who are pledged to the same goals as our opposition and who seek our support. Turning the Party over to the so-called moderates wouldn’t make any sense at all." -- President Ronald Reagan "A thing moderately good is not so good as it ought to be. Moderation in temper is always a virtue; but moderation in principle is always a vice." - Thomas Paine 1792 "It does not take a majority to prevail, but rather an irate, tireless minority, keen on setting brushfires of freedom in the minds of men." - Samuel Adams "If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, go home from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or your arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains set lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen." - Samuel Adams " Always vote for principle, though you may vote alone, and you may cherish the sweetest reflection that your vote is never lost." - John Quincy Adams

[lee martell]

Kasich is not getting a lot of applause for his Silver Medal.

[DIRTYSECRET]

Fine by me. Kasich(ohio) a good vp.

[samtheman]

I disagree. I think Bush will be kept in by the establishment and as Kasich folds (a 100% certainty), and Rubio finally drops out (I dont see him in past March), Bush will be the last gopee standing against Trump and Cruz.

[Logical me]

Trump will do what has to be done and fast to save America. We are in the twilight years of existence as a Constitutional conservative America without him and him only.

[DoughtyOne]

After New Hampshire it’s a one man race.

[detective]

There are only 3 possibilities:

1. Trump is the nominee
2. Cruz is the nominee
3. There is a brokered convention

[JediJones]

Trump is for slightly slower socialism than Bernie. He has proposed NO reforms to entitlements, even maintaining Obamacare’s idea of government-funded universal health care coverage, and he has offered very little ideas in the way of shrinking government.

Cruz is for extensive conservative reform and change. Cruz and Cruz only can restore America as a Constitutional conservative country.

[jennychase]

Did anyone won the nomination with 11% votes in NH?

[jennychase]

Cruz is lounge shouter, nothing to show for. Plus he is a cheater.

[Guenevere]

Yes he will...
I won’t say he’s fearless...
.....but he knows what’s ahead and he’s running toward it.

Actually, maybe he is fearless!

[RC one]

I think it’s a three man race at this point but that doesn’t mean that the other candidates don’t have roles to play in this game. They will all tie themselves to whomever they perceive as being best able to elevate their careers and will use the resources they have left to assist their new masters.

[Beagle8U]

Nope, Bush’s only chance is to ‘kill’ Kasick, Rubio, and Trump in SC.

Which means he has no chance at all.

[jwalsh07]

Kasich and Bush are going nowhere down south but Rubio could make a comeback. Hopefully it is a two man race after SC.

[showme_the_Glory]

Rubio needs to drop out and to pray that he never runs into Chrispy again.

[liberalism is suicide]

Love those quotes, especially the last one.

[HANG THE EXPENSE]

I like it fine.

[SubMareener]

If this were a race where the GOPee liked the front runner, the race would already have been called for the front runner. Since they don’t like either of the two front runners, it is still a race.

All the stories I have seen say that the GOPee thinks they can “work with” Trump, but not Cruz. However if you look closely at how Ted and Heidi Cruz got to where they are with a $3.5 million net worth, you find that they are tied quite closely to the establishment. Particularly the Bush-Clinton establishment.

So it is beginning to appear that Ted Cruz is the GOPee “anti-establishment” stalking/Trojan horse. In sundance’s original analysis, Ted Cruz was supposed to siphon off the “true, consistent Conservative vote” so that JEB! could win. Now they either need Ted to knock off Trump, so JEB! can win, or the will call their chits on Ted and control him.

Either way, if Trump looses, then real Americans loose.

[SoConPubbie]

Thanks!

[SoConPubbie]

Fine by me. Kasich(ohio) a good vp.

Only if you want a pretend conservative as VP.