Posted on 02/02/2016 11:15:02 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton won six back-to-back coin tosses against opponent Bernie Sander's camp at a half-dozen Iowa precincts where voting results were too close to call Tuesday morning â a mathematical feat that raised eyebrows and a few questions.
The 1-in-64 odds of Clinton successfully winning six coin flips across Polk, Jasper, Cedar and Johnson counties during a deadlocked Iowa caucus prompted confusion and concern from political experts and social media users.
"It is curious," said Dr. David Bridsell, Dean of the School of Public Affairs at Baruch College. "You don't want the awarding of delegates to come down to heads or tails."
"It's nice to know that America is a developed nation and we decid our next President with a coin toss," Tweeted Nick Zaxowski, echoing the sentiments of many others on social media.
In Des Moines, a coin landed tails up at the Weeks Middle School gymnasium following a split.
"That's how it works," one voter sporting Sanders stickers said, referring to the rules set forth by the Iowa Democratic Party, which allows a coin toss in the case of a tie. "It was very, very close. Remember this is a caucus."
(Excerpt) Read more at nydailynews.com ...
Everybody’s focusing on the improbability of the 1-in-64 coin tosses; so far as I can tell nobody’s focusing on the improbability of 6 precincts being “too close to call”.
First off, how do these characters define “too close to call”? - I don’t know how Iowa does things, but it would seem that either someone has the most votes, or it’s a tie.
And with the number of people voting, 6 ties doesn’t seem real likely.
And if vote totals are integral numbers, and you don’t have 6 actual ties, what the flip constitutes “too close to call”?
63:1 for 6 consecutive flips of the ^^same coin^^ within a specified time frame and (ostensibly) a same location.
Did this beat the odds Hillary beat in her cattle futures profits?
Of course it can happen. It's just a 1 in 64 probability (6 consecutive winning flips of a coin).
Those were the good old days....
No. It doesn't matter if the flips are separated by 100 years, each on a different planet. it's the same odds: 1 in 64.
"You can' prove that!!".. "there is no evidence of that"
“What are the odds of her winning the first five and Bernie winning the sixth?”
ummm....100%
Same for the 7th, 8th, 9th etc.
Hillary can’t lose (remember her astonishing luck with cattle futures?)
“I didn’t do it...nobody saw me do it.....you can’t prove anything.”
My understanding is they happened individually in the place they decided they were tied. Even all in one place it would still be clustering, there’s just not enough at stake to monkey with the coin toss.
Are the 64 to 1 odds any greater than 59 precincts in Philadelphia voting 100% for Obama in 2012? Just wondering.
This is no more amazing than Democrats lining up at caucus precincts to transform themselves into Republican voters. Elections have become the stage for a lot of amazing events.
My gosg! Chelsea was a cute little girl. Who’d a thought?
It’s a hard life for Chelsea.
Hopefully she can move up from that $10 million starter home in Manhattan after Mom becomes POTUS.
Satan has a lot of power. Just sayin’.
Hillary didn’t win all the coin tosses: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ONP9oKpyjQ4
And 90 precincts haven’t released or have lost their votes.
what about character? why do you have to attack somebody on looks?
Based on looks, Rubio should win. Based on character, Cruz should win. Maybe you should look deeper than skin, if you can.
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