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Hillary Clinton Has The Most Statistically Improbable Coin-Toss Luck Ever
The Blaze ^ | Feb. 2, 2016 | Leigh Munsil

Posted on 02/02/2016 5:38:46 AM PST by Krosan

DES MOINES, Iowa — One of the most bizarre details to emerge from Monday’s Iowa caucuses was that in six Democratic counties, the ownership of six delegates was decided by a coin flip.

A single delegate remained unassigned at the end of caucusing in two precincts in Des Moines, one precinct in Ames, one in Newton, one in West Branch and one in Davenport, The Des Moines Register reported.

In all six instances, the coin toss was won by former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.

There may have been more coin tosses, but those are the ones we know about for now.

Now, get ready to do some math.

In a single coin toss, the probability of calling the toss correctly is 50 percent, or one in two. Heads or tails.

But the probably of winning every flip out of six flips is one in 64, or 1.56 percent.

The online study tool “Coin Toss Probability Calculator” has a really intense formula that explains why, but the bottom line is, the probabilities stack on each other.

You’re 50 percent likely to win one coin flip. But you’re only 25 percent likely to win two consecutive coin flips, because there are now twice as many possible outcomes. So bump that up to six coin flips, and your chances of winning them all are slim:

(Excerpt) Read more at theblaze.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: clinton; hillarycointoss; iowa; iowacaucus
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To: Krosan

A relative of the coin works for the Clinton campaign...


21 posted on 02/02/2016 5:52:26 AM PST by Tennessee Nana
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To: Krosan

Sanders supporters accusing Hillary of voter fraud is my happy place.


22 posted on 02/02/2016 5:52:26 AM PST by AppyPappy (If you really want to irritate someone, point out something obvious they are trying hard to ignore.)
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To: Krosan

Looks like the Sanders camp fell for the old, “Heads I win; Tails you lose” trick.


23 posted on 02/02/2016 5:52:57 AM PST by Repealthe17thAmendment
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To: Krosan

Oh, and the local Sanders caucusers were found in a local park, having shot themselves in the head, re-loaded, and shot themselves again.


24 posted on 02/02/2016 5:54:03 AM PST by PGR88
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To: Krosan

Everything going on these days stinks.

Has for 20 years.

It’s as if the Earth was sucked into a bizarre parallel universe.


25 posted on 02/02/2016 5:54:22 AM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: Krosan

This just proves that Hillary is better at math - don’t see a problem here.


26 posted on 02/02/2016 5:54:47 AM PST by BobL (Who cares? He's going to build a wall and stop this invasion.)
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To: Krosan

There is nothing at all improbable about a coin toss involving a Clinton. The outcome is certain.


27 posted on 02/02/2016 5:55:03 AM PST by arthurus (Het is waar. Tutti i liberali sono feccia.)
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To: Krosan

Not surprising when you realize Satan is looking out for his kin.


28 posted on 02/02/2016 5:55:55 AM PST by Titus-Maximus (It doesn't matter who votes for whom, it only matters who counts the votes - Joe Stalin)
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To: outofsalt

Boston Globe has the raw numbers.

https://apps.bostonglobe.com/election-results/2016/caucuses/democratic/iowa/


29 posted on 02/02/2016 5:55:58 AM PST by Krosan
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To: Krosan

Maybe a younger generation of Democrats will realize how corrupt Hillary really is.

30 posted on 02/02/2016 5:56:29 AM PST by IDontLikeToPayTaxes
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To: heartwood

Good one!

I understand they used a coin with two heads - Hitlery’s on one side, Lucifer’s on the other. The flipper couldn’t tell the difference.


31 posted on 02/02/2016 5:56:52 AM PST by FirstFlaBn
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To: FlingWingFlyer

Both sides had Hillary’s head on em.


32 posted on 02/02/2016 5:57:40 AM PST by inpajamas (Texas Akbar!!!!!!!)
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To: Krosan

Interesting. The article doesn’t state, but wonder if the Clinton rep was the person calling heads or tails in each case, or if there was an even split where the Sanders rep called the flip in some cases, but was unsuccessful.

If the Clinton reps were allowed to make the coin flip call in all cases, that would be an important fact to know.


33 posted on 02/02/2016 5:58:58 AM PST by HombreSecreto (The life of a repo man is always intense)
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To: inpajamas

I wouldn’t be surprised.


34 posted on 02/02/2016 6:00:15 AM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Viruses and diseases must be DemocRATS. They love open borders.)
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To: Krosan

Thanks


35 posted on 02/02/2016 6:01:06 AM PST by outofsalt ( If history teaches us anything it's that history rarely teaches us anything.)
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To: Krosan

If I were a Berniac, I would demand to inspect the coins before the toss.


36 posted on 02/02/2016 6:02:18 AM PST by Blood of Tyrants (Liberals are the Taliban of America, trying to tear down any symbol that they don't like.)
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To: Krosan

For common stock 12% per year increase is average, 100% increase in the year is amazing.

but Hillarys return in less than a year was over 100,000 percent, from $1,000 to $100,000 in less than a year.

allegedly simply by reading The Wall Street Journal.


37 posted on 02/02/2016 6:02:51 AM PST by gaijin
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To: Krosan
That is one special magical coin, and should be in the Smithsonian.

Wonder if it was made by the same people who make loaded dice?

38 posted on 02/02/2016 6:09:30 AM PST by annieokie
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To: IDontLikeToPayTaxes

A lot of Bernie’s supporters are the young and dumb and passionate. You can bet they are going to be outraged.

I love it.


39 posted on 02/02/2016 6:11:33 AM PST by RummyChick
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To: Krosan

Almost as lucky as parlaying $10,000 into $100,000 the first time out trading in cattle futures. Or as lucky as finding the Rose Law Firm records in plain site after the limitations ran out. Or, not remembering who hired Craig Livingstone. Yup, she sure is lucky.


40 posted on 02/02/2016 6:14:40 AM PST by SERKIT ("Blazing Saddles" explains it all.......)
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