Posted on 01/29/2016 9:36:34 PM PST by drewh
Veteran GOP pollster Frank Luntz says there is much more than a political lane available for former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg (I) to join the presidential race as an independent candidate.
Luntz's reasoning came from a nationwide poll of 900 likely voters conducted by his firm, Luntz Global Partners.
The survey found that 29% of Americans would support Bloomberg in a theoretical three-way race between the former mayor, GOP front-runner Donald Trump, and Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton. Trump would receive 37% of the vote, while Clinton would emerge with 33%.
In a three-way race with Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Clinton, Bloomberg would receive 28% of the vote. Clinton, meanwhile, would come out on top with 37% while Cruz would take 34%.
Bloomberg would pick up more than 40% of independent voters in the poll â no matter if Rubio, Trump, or Cruz is the Republican in the race. Among Trump, Cruz, Rubio, and Clinton, none would garner more than 35% of the independent vote when Bloomberg is inserted into the race.
The numbers painted a significantly better potential picture for Bloomberg than a recent Morning Consult survey. The survey also put Trump's support at 37% and Clinton's at 36% in such a scenario, but found that a Bloomberg entry would hurt Clinton more than Trump.
Rumblings about a potential Bloomberg bid have grown louder after The New York Times reported on Saturday that billionaire former mayor asked those close to come up with a campaign plan for an independent presidential bid. The 73-year-old Bloomberg has reportedly said that he'd be willing to spend $1 billion of his fortune to run for the White House, according to The Times. He will reportedly make his decision by early March.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
Mike Bloomberg did an excellent job of running NYC.
He is fiscally conservative, provided strong support for the police and improved a very dysfunctional school system.
He is socially liberal but, too, paternalistic.
He is a very good leader and can work with those of opposing views.
While I think he would make a very good President, I don’t think he is electable.
Not saying he is wrong about this, just want to add: I detest Luntz.
I think State Legislatures should meet this Spring and determine their rules for plurality results on November 8.
There’s nothing that says electors should be appointed with less than 50% of the popular vote.
Frank here’s an idea; how about asking some people who don’t live in Manhattan what they think of Bloomberg? Of again you have made a science of producing out-liers.
WHAT???!? His anti-second-amendment views ALONE disqualify him from 'very good President' status.
The poll makes sense. Bloom is a leftist and takes more votes from Clinton. The poll is logical. Exactly what does Luntz gain by making this up?
I agree. Trump will Florida. Easily win Florida.
It is not the same country as it was in 1992. You have noticed, haven’t you?
Blooie could jump into the race as a Republican and make a tremendous media splash and Trump would sail on unaffected. Or, if the Sultan or his Vizier have determined to indict and remove Mrs. Bill he could enter as a Democrat and make that splash. He would certainly bring excitement to the process but would, even as a Democrat, not affect Trump terribly much. Bloom is a top tier financier. Trump is a top of the line Developer. Different instincts are involved and the Developer skills will trump the money-mover.
Would love to see a poll with Trump ahead in Michigan, but have seen no such evidence. Michigan will fall into line once the unions get going post-Dem primary. R’s haven’t won there in nearly 30 years.
Yes, this country has changed.
All the more reason a short, Jewish, mumbling billionaire has no chance in a three way, 50 state race against a true, blue and red socialist democrat like Hillary and a Republican.
Bloomberg, spending a ridiculous amount of money, barely eked out a win in 2009 against an unknown challenger.
He's Mike Dukakis without the charisma.
I don’t know how Bloomberg would overcome his New York Values. No way he could win!
I acknowledge your thoughtful points regarding Bloomberg’s watch in NYC. But even Rudie Giuliani could not get off the ground in 2004. Bloomberg is an atheistic Jew who is spending millions across the nation to undermine the 2nd Amendment. He is anathema.
You asked and here it is ...Trump is pulling large amounts of Conservative blue collar union types ... the Dims are panicked at the prospect of going up against Trump
http://www.fox2detroit.com/news/local-news/83147628-story
Back to your comment , the R’s haven’t had a pro-American trade policy since Reagan ... it’s all about immigration and trade ...We have to win some of the rust-belt states and Trump is the only one who can do it ..
Interesting, thanks. Haven’t seen that one on RCP.
No prob ..I must say it kind of stunned me ...hopefully it’s not an outlier
The VAST majority of Americans don’t know who Bloomberg is and don’t care.
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