Posted on 01/25/2016 9:29:43 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
984 Likely Voters - Republican
1) 2016 Texas Republican Presidential Primary Asked of 984 likely voters - republican
Jeb Bush (R) 4%
Ben Carson (R) 5%
Chris Christie (R) 2%
Ted Cruz (R) 45%
Carly Fiorina (R) 1%
Jim Gilmore (R) 0%
Mike Huckabee (R) 1%
John Kasich (R) 1%
Rand Paul (R) 2%
Marco Rubio (R) 8%
Rick Santorum (R) 0%
Donald Trump (R) 30%
Undecided 1%
(Excerpt) Read more at elections.huffingtonpost.com ...
That stupid snotty comment was always used by the Trumpsters when Cruz was ahead in Iowa. Then it wasn't stupid and snotty. Another Trumpster flip-flop.
Man, two weeks ago, Cruzers couldn't stop shutting up about Iowa, now it's irrelevant again.
I guess Texas will be for Cruzbots what Georgia was for Gingrich fans in 2012: That one state they keep trumpeting, as their guy loses everywhere else.
And who will? All the polls say Trump.
Texas moved up the primary just because it was stupid to have such a Republican state have its primary not matter.
No problem and...you’re welcome.
Thanks!
Oh, please.
I’ve said from the start Iowa is only one state. Perhaps in your zeal to blast “Cruzbots,” you failed to read back to Naps’ original comment about if Trump wins Iowa, it’s “all over.” So let me clarify for you too... whether Cruz, Trump or whomever wins it.. it’s just one down with 49 to go.
Got it?
Still waiting for you to fill me in on when you ever supported Scott Walker.
Are you just ignoring my inquiry, or are you in disguise?
: )
Well.. if there's anything upon which the Trump and Cruz factions in FR can agree -- along with the majority of the country -- is we've seen enough of the Bush family in the White House.
Of the 984 "Likely Republican Voters", 770 of them were self-identified Republicans (according to the same poll).
The respondents to internet polls are a combination of self-selected and pollster selected, not random. I know they have improved methods over the years but that's a real statistical hump, rendering most of them more useful for tracking trends rather than absolutes.
It's good Cruz shows he'll be a formidable candidate in his home state.
Of course, when Ted was leading in Iowa, the Trump supporters were the ones shouting the loudest that Iowa didn't mean anything, that it hasn't picked a GOP candidate in forever, etc.
The fact is that whether Trump wins Iowa or Cruz wins Iowa will result in a difference of 2-3 delegates either way. Cruz has the money and the organization already in place to compete at least until Super Tuesday, and Trump is not going to run up any massive delegate leads by then. So unless the bottom just falls out and Cruz starts polling in Bush territory, this isn't going to be over any time soon. If Cruz wins Texas and does well in California, where he is currently leading, he could easily force this into a brokered convention. But it is too early to see how things shake out when the voting starts.
Well put. It’s a long haul and it’s just beginning.
Yep. He/she has been posting since 2 June 2015, and not a single syllable in support of Gov. Walker.
Icky!
All primaries and caucii prior to March 15th will award delegates proportional to the votes cast with the exception of a few party officers in each state. It would be impossible for a candidate to acquire a decisive lead during the SEC primaries, by design.
Assume a candidate does very well and acquires 40% of the total and comes out with 253 delegates on March 2nd.
That total could easily be surpassed on March 15th with the winner-take-all primaries in large states like FL, MO, IL, OH, NC.
Heck, there's still 250 delegates to be won on June 7th.
In past years Texas chose to have their primary in May and the states method was to award delegates nearly winner-take-all.
But two things happened. The State decided to move their primary date up to "have more influence" and the GOP decided to for all primaries and caucii before March 15th to be proportional.
The last Texas poll I was privy to it was TRUMP up by five, and it was on one of the cable networks. The cable shows post each others polls, and I can’t say whose it was.
However, I am thinking it was right before Cruz began to rise, so it is conceivable that Texas may be have been up more points for Cruz by the 18th, before his fall to TRUMP brought it to a tie in Iowa.
Whats good news for Ted is bad news for America, it’s not rocket science, he does not have broad enough appeal to win the general, a vote for Ted is a vote for Hillary. Period.
Said the Clinton campaign.
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