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Hard to say what will happen...

But there are other certainties...

I've been visiting FR off and on for some time now. I've watched multiple elections cycles come and go in that time. One thing that is for certain is that the notion of persuasion and the changing of minds on FR is mostly a futile fantasy. No matter the facts you present you'll get cult like responses that demonstrate a total and complete imperviousness to any evidence that you might present. I've watched one election cycle after another, their lemming like marches off the cliffs decrying the blasphemies of any and all who would dare suggest that they should alter course.

Yes... There are certainties... If history is any guide... Given a choice, we will chose poorly.

1 posted on 01/16/2016 9:25:53 AM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT

Eric Erickson articles are banned from FreeRepublic.com just like Eric Erickson is banned from ever hosting another Rush Limbaugh show.

...or they should be anyway.


2 posted on 01/16/2016 9:28:20 AM PST by Eddie01 (mmmm Donate!)
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To: TBBT

Heheheheheheh! That made me chuckle. Erick Erickson is funny.


3 posted on 01/16/2016 9:28:36 AM PST by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
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To: TBBT

“He can’t because he has not invested in a ground game operation there.”

Is this a fact or speculation? I’ve read Trump does have a ground game in Iowa - they just don’t talk about it.


5 posted on 01/16/2016 9:32:21 AM PST by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marylin vos Savant)
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To: TBBT

I fully expect Trump not to win Iowa, due to the nature of caucus format.. However I don’t conjecture from that that he’ll fall apart. I expect he’ll run the table once primaries happen in states that have standard voting.

If on the other hand Trump does win Iowa his eventual general election win will be even bigger.

Time will tell


7 posted on 01/16/2016 9:34:23 AM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: TBBT

8 posted on 01/16/2016 9:34:45 AM PST by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marylin vos Savant)
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To: TBBT

The posted articles in FR are getting exponentially more ridiculous every day.

I cant wait until after NH, when Trump is clearly on the road to victory and a lot of this crapola will be flushed directly down the toilet.


11 posted on 01/16/2016 9:37:26 AM PST by samtheman (Elect Trump, Build Wall. End Censorship.)
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To: TBBT

Erick Erickson. Enough said.


12 posted on 01/16/2016 9:37:55 AM PST by McGruff (If you find yourself in a hole, stop digging.)
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To: TBBT

“If history is any guide... Given a choice, we will chose poorly.”

2008 & 2012 proved that.


14 posted on 01/16/2016 9:39:13 AM PST by Carriage Hill
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To: TBBT

Your post #1 sums up the Cruz clan perfectly, thank you.


17 posted on 01/16/2016 9:43:59 AM PST by datura (Proud Infidel)
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To: TBBT

“”One thing that is for certain is that the notion of persuasion and the changing of minds on FR is mostly a futile fantasy. No matter the facts you present you’ll get cult like responses that demonstrate a total and complete imperviousness to any evidence that you might present.””

Your opus can come soon enough.

You offend this site and it’s members.

Did you ever consider nobody agrees with you, because they are thinking three moves ahead... they don’t suffer from acute myopicism.

“Donald Trump Has a Howard Dean Moment in Iowa”

Man, that is f’n powerful. I mean deep. Reeeeal deep.

You post articles written by nobodies who stare at their basement computer screens in stained t-shirts and expect us all to bow down.

What a pant load.


18 posted on 01/16/2016 9:44:27 AM PST by Eddie01 (mmmm Donate!)
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To: TBBT

Ericka Erickson.../spits on ground


22 posted on 01/16/2016 9:47:04 AM PST by kanawa
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To: TBBT

I’ve noted in many post that Trumpites openly declare that they acknowledge that Trump isn’t conservative and that they don’t care. How to explain that...? Cult followers wrapped in a cult of personality/celebrity, Democrat reverse operation chaos, trolling, a people intellectually and morally adrift? You tell me.

All I can is that sometimes I’m still surprised - and often dismayed - by what I’ve seen here at FR.


23 posted on 01/16/2016 9:47:21 AM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT

With all due respect, I think what I hear you say is that we all have “FreeRepublic Values”.

I also will suggest that considering from where we generally get our info it is not advisable to jump on every new slant or accusation or alleged activity and just drop all previous due diligence until the next news cycle; just flip, flopping away!

Also I would suggest that many of our thoughtful members may not have a personal agenda that they are compelled to force on our more gentle readers.

And if I may, many posts are quick statements of the moment made out of pure frustration with the pain of realizing that we are helpless and do not have a real champion or truthful representative. I actually have one, his name is Jim Robinson.

But to be kind, I submit that not all posting are representative of the true feelings of the poster at the time of the posting but are influenced by many situations brought on by “living”. Shit happens.

Finally, like Trump says, no drugs, no booze and no smoking of any kind; then you post.


37 posted on 01/16/2016 10:00:14 AM PST by UncleSam (Why must someone else always make the final decisions?)
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To: TBBT

Not hard to say not going to happen. 2 weeks left when Trump takes Iowa, and oh yeah,

here’s Eric Erickson who suffers from TDS.

“RedState’s Erick Erickson: Jeb Bush Was the Most Conservative Governor in the Nation “

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a-le3HuVBFk

Erickson a ~Yeb!Bot. LoL.


38 posted on 01/16/2016 10:03:07 AM PST by Red Steel
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To: TBBT

Thank you for that reminder. Will catch up on my reading.


40 posted on 01/16/2016 10:03:38 AM PST by libbylu (Cruz: The truth with a smile.)
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To: TBBT; elcid1970; House Atreides; John Valentine; dschapin; Yosemitest; txrangerette; TexasGator; ...
I have spoken over and over about the fundamentals - that votes happen in counties and the ground workers make it happen for a candidate. I have said Cruz has the best organization on the ground that I have ever seen. They have been working daily for months there.

I have also said I do not know if Trump the celebrity, can win over a ground organization like that. If he wins Iowa, it will be the first time in modern history that celebrity wins over excellent ground organization.

What I have written above is what Erickson is talking about. He says, “I have been saying for a while that the fundamentals still matter. I think they do.” He goes on to explain the fundamentals and that is the ground game I covered above.

When Trump entered the race and for months after that, had no ground game, I thought Trump had NO chance in Iowa due to it being a caucus state which requires workers in every county. I have changed my mind about that due to the Trumpcult that has sucked in angry people. I do not know if the cult will manage to get to caucus meeting places. If Trump loses, then I will know the fundamentals DO still matter as Erickson suggests. Therefore, if Trump loses, it tells me Cruz's ground game, the fundamentals, in South Carolina has an excellent chance to deliver that state to Cruz.

Erickson thinks if Trump loses in Iowa, Trump will come verbally unglued as Howard Dean did. First, Trump has to lose. Second, no one knows what Trump will do and I doubt Trump knows, either, as he cannot vision a loss.

47 posted on 01/16/2016 10:12:59 AM PST by Marcella (CRUZ (Prepping can save your life today))
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To: TBBT

I have predicted, and still predict Trump being third in Iowa.


48 posted on 01/16/2016 10:13:02 AM PST by demshateGod (Trump for press secretary! Cruz for president!)
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To: TBBT
BS. The Iowa caucuses mean diddly squat 48 hours after they are over. Every time. It's just a media event.

New Hampshire's primary result generally matters for a whole presidential campaign if there isn't an incumbent President running for re-election.

53 posted on 01/16/2016 10:37:52 AM PST by Thud
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To: TBBT

Desperately clinging to the old rules.

One thing is certain, the GOPe and the K street crowd NEED the old rules to apply, they NEED their ‘fundamentals’ to matter.

If this primary season shatters the paradigms, then the old network and old advice and old experts are no longer valid. You want campaign finance and election reform ... prove the K Street crowd immaterial.


55 posted on 01/16/2016 10:41:25 AM PST by BlueNgold (May I suggest a very nice 1788 Article V with your supper...)
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To: TBBT

The writer may have forgotten the enormous impact of IA’s First Lady, Christie Vilsak, coming out to endorse Kerry a day or two before the caucuses. That was perceived as the popular governor’s endorsement, and totally turned the tables. It had little to do with Kerry’s “ground game.”


60 posted on 01/16/2016 10:59:19 AM PST by EDINVA
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