Posted on 01/12/2016 7:14:52 AM PST by GonzoII
This SurveyMonkey Election Tracking data for the week of January 4, 2016 through January 10, 2016 was conducted online among a national sample of 9,746 adults aged 18 and over, including 8,655 who say they are registered to vote. Respondents for this survey were selected from the nearly three million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Data for this week has been weighted for age, race, sex, education, region, and voter registration status using the Census Bureau and Bureau of Labor Statistic’s Current Population Survey to reflect the demographic composition of the United States.Jeb Bush 3
Ben Carson 9
Chris Christie 3
Ted Cruz 20
Carly Fiorina 2
Jim Gilmore - -
Mike Huckabee 2
John Kasich 2
Rand Paul 3
Marco Rubio 11
Rick Santorum -
Donald Trump 38
Don't know 5
No answer 1
(Excerpt) Read more at msnbcmedia.msn.com ...
Maybe I’m a conspiracy nut but I think Trump’s numbers must be even higher if this is what they put out. I believe if they could manipulate the numbers, they would.
Jeb is sitting at 3% and the only reason he isn’t being exiled to the kids’ table is his famous last name.
Which is unfair to Fiorina and Rand who also poll at 3%.
The fix is in the Fox Business debate.
You also need to factor in the number of people who are Trump supporters, but might not admit it to pollsters.
[Which is unfair to Fiorina and Rand who also poll at 3%.]
Shhh... don’t say that! Having Snarly FioRINO off the main stage will make this debate somewhat more enjoyable than the others!!
+3 ?
threading higher
Which is unfair to Fiorina and Rand who also poll at 3%.
But Jeb could honestly retort with, "I'm paying for this seat!" Which would be the truth.
Apparently, only polls that show Trump in the lead are trustworthy, no matter who the pollster is, how big the sample size or how the poll was conducted. If MSNBC shows Cruz are Carson ahead this week, they are liberal MSM hacks - if they show Trump ahead next week, they are the gold standard in political polling that are just showing YUGE lead that Trump has. See how that works? No consistency required. :-)
Trump +3, Cruz +2. Carson the same. Could just be statistical noise as there is no real decline anywhere except Jeb and Rubio and I don’t think their supporters are going to either Trump or Cruz. My guess is that there are a huge number of non-affiliated voters which would help Trump and to some extent Cruz. All totaled, in line with everything else. Trump about doubles up Cruz. Trump pushing 40 and Cruz around 20.
I’ve given up trying to determine whether political polls are based on actual polling data or just made up for the purpose of influencing election outcomes. We know the people who do many of them are not above that, but if they’re phony-facting, I can’t see them putting Trump even this high.
The real point is that whatever the pollsters publish has an impact on which candidates are seen more favorably by potential voters, and there is no way for us to know whether they are legit or not.
(And no, I’m not advocating federal regulation of pollsters!)
If their data is from more than a year in the past, then their democrat numbers are going to be very inflated. And since it has already been shown that Trump is drawing some % of support from registered democrats, that would tend to help Trump. I couldn't guess how much, although I doubt is would change his position as front-runner.
The lamestreamers love the ratings he brings but HATE Trump. If they can fudge, wiggle and squeeze the numbers, they do, without question.
I'd wager Trump is doing even better than these polls indicate.
Them's the facts. Deal with it.
Survey Monkey poll. Jeb does not know how to spank that monkey. So he is at 3%
Donald Trump 2016 Ping List
FReepMail me if you want to be added or removed from this list.
Thanks!
Thanks for the ping. Great news.
Actually he is not. It’s OPM
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.