Posted on 01/04/2016 7:17:49 AM PST by RoosterRedux
Trump's support is nearly the strongest in New York. Now, I can already hear what you're thinking: That's crazy, Jazz. Republicans don't carry New York. It's owned and operated by the Democrats. Well, that's generally true, but if you spend any amount of time watching Empire State politics you know that things have been changing a bit of late. Remember that Governor Andrew Cuomo actually lost the vote in upstate New York in 2014. And he didn't lose by a little, either. It was a wipe out. In fact he only carried eleven of the state's 57 counties outside of the Big Apple. He still won the election, but it was a much narrower victory than the Democrats were used to enjoying and virtually all of his support came out of New York City.
Let's put that in perspective here. Keep in mind that Trump wouldn't actually have to win in New York City to pull this off. Cuomo's total margin of victory was 54% and almost all of it came from the five boroughs. Trump would only need to tip the scales in the city enough to offset that 5% margin needed to swing the statewide vote because he'll carry upstate in a landslide. (And he's already very strong on Long Island.)
Could he pull it off? Lots of people go to work every day in New York City and see his name plastered all over everything. Trump provides one heck of a lot of jobs in the city, including plenty of people who are too busy with their own lives to spend their days watching MSNBC. And just take a walk around Brooklyn these days (assuming you can afford an armed guard for parts of it) and see how happy the locals are...
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Ping
Too many gimedats.
Reagan did. Twice
When we recently visited the NYC area, every one we talked to was for Trump.
I wouldn’t be surprised if he pulls off getting NY.
what if Cruz carries NY? .... oh, nevermind
For Trump to win New York he has to win the suburban counties around New York City.... doable.
He can easily carry upstate New York. But those downstate counties will be the key.
Put cameras up at voting locations to see if the number of people voting matches the number of people entering the polling place... then sue for voter fraud. I suspect lots of law biding black people will vote for Trump but that it won't be reflected in the count.
“Trump’s support is nearly the strongest in New York. Now, I can already hear what you’re thinking: That’s crazy, Jazz. Republicans don’t carry New York. “
All Trump has to say is that he will be bringing jobs to NY, NJ and PA and he will win the states. Reason is, he can be believed.
Agree....folks there don’t just know about what Trump can do....they’ve seen it! There is a definite air of excitement, about Trump, in the city :)
NYC is inhabited by lots of immigrants who can’t vote yet. The battle will be to get them registered.
He says he's going to be the best jobs President ever and I believe him on that, and New York, PA, and New Jersey are hard hit right now on the job market...
Obuma shut down the coal in PA and if Trump were to mention he would start up coal, all of PA would be for him...they love their coal...
Hillary is a ‘carpetbagger’ to New York and personally I don't think they liked her at all in as Senator from there and they don't like the trash and garbage they drag behind them every where they go...so I think Trump can take N.Y.
Don’t forget the Jewish connection. The Clintons had to buy that with a pardon DT is not only connected through family but lifetime friends from military school and college. Unlike O he keeps/is loyal to his friends
Trump would cross cross the NE and west coast, while VP Cruz goes through the south and great plains. They will both cover the Midwest.
The result: An early night.
The black vote will swing MORE THAN 5% for Trump
They are starting to think “we’ve been voting democrat for years, and we’re still poor”
Hoping this is true. Would love to see him stick it in the eye of the GOPe.
I’ve lived in downstate NY (on Long Island) my entire life. I’ve seen lots of Trump support around - much, much more than I saw for Romney in 2012 and we’re still a month from the first PRIMARY vote and 11 months from the general.
It’d be an uphill climb but it’s in the realm of possibility. I wouldn’t count it likely...but possible.
The question isn’t could he win it but could he put it in play? Hillary’s entire inevitability argument hinges on NY and the rest of the usual suspects being in the bag. Throw even the slightest wrench in that machine and all bets are off.
The one legitimate point this article brings up is that the right candidate could capitalize on the anti-DeCommyo sentiment in NYC.
Morning Joe showed a map this morning that clearly showed that Trump had most of New York State. At this point, anyway. I doubt he’ll carry the city but he may very well carry the state. Unfortunately, most of my friends are viciously against him. They have no loyalty to a home-grown president.
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