Posted on 12/29/2015 2:33:35 PM PST by BigEdLB
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 909 registered, likely voters in Nevada. The poll was conducted from December 23rd to the 27th and includes 406 Republican Caucus participants, 326 Democratic Caucus participants, and the remainder not planning on participating in the caucus, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3% [5% for Republican and Democratic caucuses]. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology) and weighted separately for each population in the question presented.
(Excerpt) Read more at scribd.com ...
Caucus-caucus
have not seen Trump or Cruz people organizing but the usual Paul people out getting out caucus people.
I need to contact Trump office in Vegas find out where they are and what I need to caucus. Last time I worked the polls for Sharon Engle and Reid stole the election.
So, as of now, even with a magnificent Cruz “victory” in IA, Trump would win about 30% of IA’s delegates and a larger share of NH’s and a larger share of SC’s and a 30% share of NVs.
That was SUPPOSED To be Rubio’s firewall. He grew up in Nevada.
I have family in NV who stayed home for the 2012/McRomney election.
They are fired up about Trump. These are folks who’d all but given up on the election process.
I thought Nevada was Rubio’s state.
Apparently not.
WOOHOO Way.To.Go.NEVADA!!!
Go.TRUMP.GO!!!
Go Trump!
Yeah, keep telling yourself that every single poll that comes out today is going to be exactly same same a month from now after 3 more debates and the first votes are actually cast.
I don’t need to tell myself that. They are. They have been for six months. I know that really bugs you.
You’re assuming that earlier victories won’t affect the race in later states. If the past is anything to go by they probably will, but then we don’t know by how much. Too many factors at this time to say that this or that WILL happen based on the present.
Absolutely. But we also know that IA, historically is meaningless. I think Trump will win, but it’s still a nothingburger. However, I don’t recall any candidate EVER having such massive leads in so many states that vote on or before Super Tues. Hard to see that changing.
Yep, I too read that NV was to be Rubio’s firewall.
In addition, Trumps real poll numbers are probably much higher
due to the much talked about Bradley effect.
Uh no, first Iowa isn’t meaningless. Just because it hasn’t led to the leader in the Republican Primary overall in the past doesn’t mean that this CAN’T be the case, and in any case it can’t HURT winning it.
You can predict Trump will win it, but right now Cruz is ahead, and I respectfully disagree on a number of factors-I believe that Cruz will win, and is set up to do that in a big way.
Polls change.
Yeah, keep telling yourself that every single poll that comes out today is going to be exactly same same a month from now after 3 more debates and the first votes are actually cast.
Been that way pretty much since July.
Is anything about this race similar to the “past”? Ask the GOPe, political pundits, consultants and media.
Trump donated $4,800 in 2010 to Harry Reid to defeat Sharon Angle, so he helped Reid steal the election.
Nice. Trump running the table. He is gets no credit for taking out all the establishment candidates. For that alone he deserves the nomination.
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