Posted on 12/22/2015 4:10:09 AM PST by VinL
Ted Cruz is going to wake up to an early Christmas gift from the polling elves at Quinnipiac University, as their new results show him making a YUGE leap in popularity to gain on the front-runner Trump. For his part, he increased by one point as well.
Donald Trump’s perch atop the 2016 presidential polls is looking a little shakier this morning.
In the latest Quinnipiac University national survey released Tuesday, Trump leads Texas Sen. Ted Cruz by just four percentage points.
Trump’s share remained essentially unchanged from the university’s last poll, ticking up one point to 28 percent. Cruz, meanwhile, shot up eight percentage points to 24 percent.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio finished third with 12 percent, a five-point drop since late November, while retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson continued his downward spiral with 10 percent, a six-point hit in the same period. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie registered 6 percent, his highest level of support in a telephone poll since late May. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush took 4 percent, while all other candidates earned 2 percent or less and 8 percent remained undecided. Of those who named a candidate, 58 percent of Republican voters said they might change their mind before voting in their state’s primary.
Cruz commanded pluralities of support over Trump among those describing themselves as members of the tea party (38 percent to 27 percent) and white, born-again Evangelical Christians (33 percent to 22 percent). Cruz also led Trump among very conservative supporters (38 percent to 27 percent), while Trump led at least nominally in every other demographic polled.
But it’s close. Among men, for example, Cruz trails Trump 30 percent to 29 percent, while among those with a college degree, he trails 24 percent to 21 percent.
In other results, it looks like Cruz does best in a head-to-head competition with Hillary, but he finishes even:
One poll, does not a reversal make.
One poll.
Granted it is good, but Trump is strong and I think this is over-representing Cruz’s support.
Just my opinion.
Thank goodness!
Prayers up for a Cruz nomination!
chip chip chip chip chip
The trend is our friend.
Cruz can win. Cruz SHOULD win. Cruz brings everything The Donald brings to the table and more.
Great Birthday news for Senator Cruz!
Rather than squabble amongst ourselves, Cruz and Trump supporters should delight in the demises of Ricky Ricardo and Sleepy, and the slight bump to Don Koharski which helps to tie up Ricky and ShortBus.
Onward through the fog!
When the major polls start showing similiar gains believe them. This Quinnipiac poll is nonsense and has consistently downplayed Trump’s support.
http://www.cnn.com/2015/12/22/politics/trump-cruz-quinnipiac-poll/index.html?eref=rss_politics
Cruz has been steadily climbing and overtaking Trump in Iowa, and there is some evidence that the Texas senator is managing to perform similarly nationally. But in most polls, Trump’s national lead has stretched to new heights, with some recent surveys showing that more than 40% of Republican voters would support him today.
A Fox News poll taken similarly after the debate showed Trump with 39% support.
Quinnipiac’s national polling has consistently shown lower support for Donald Trump than other national phone polls, and that seems to be the case again in Tuesday’s survey. Their last pre-debate poll showed Trump at 27%, Rubio at 17% and Carson and Cruz both at 16%.
The other story here is that combined Trump and Cruz are getting the votes of half or more of those polled, which means that their messages (which are similar) are resonating, and that it will be a very tough climb for anyone else to come out of this with the nomination.
I can’t ever remember so many sober, reasonable FReepers expending so much energy convincing themselves number two is a better position than number one.
This is all being engineered by all parties who must push Trump aside including the GOP. Sad, really, knowing that the GOP is working with Hilliary and the press to push him out. He is so refreshing and new - what we need in Washington, now!
All of Lindsey Graham’s support has now moved to Cruz. That explains the Texas senator’s sharp rise in the polls. </sarcasm>
Will Cruz round up these refugees and send them back? Immigration is the only issue I care about - secure the border and deport all illegals including their kids and families. Until that happens, nothing else matters.
GO, GO, GO!
TED CRUZ 2016
“with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points”
So Rafael (”Ted”), could be up 4 points on Mr. Trump or down 12 points (in line with other polls).
“Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.”
Outdated survey method usually negative impact to Mr. Trump.
“Among men, for example, Cruz trails Trump 30 percent to 29 percent, while among those with a college degree, he trails 24 percent to 21 percent.”
Before the media claimed Mr. Trump had uneducated supporters, now the polls are saying Rafael is trailing Mr. Trump with college educated voters. Hmmm.
Oh well, either will be significantly better for America than Hillary.
Go Rafael! Go Trump!
Don't forget the "Charlie Brown Conservatives!"
I believe that both of their major support groups would happily support the other candidate.
As another poster stated, the real victory is the demise of the little GOPe wannabes running aground.
I like Cruz but just don’t think he can win a national election. He has no chance of bringing democrats into the fold. His record on abortion (no exceptions of any kind) would be hung around his neck and Hitery Clinton would say he hates women. Rubio has the same problem. For all his faults Trump would have a better chance at winning a general election. At least I think he would. I think that’s why the democrats hate him with a passion and never mention any other candidates.
Its going to be like Carson. Spike then crash. Or Carly’s spiked then crashed
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