Posted on 12/22/2015 4:10:09 AM PST by VinL
Ted Cruz is going to wake up to an early Christmas gift from the polling elves at Quinnipiac University, as their new results show him making a YUGE leap in popularity to gain on the front-runner Trump. For his part, he increased by one point as well.
Donald Trump’s perch atop the 2016 presidential polls is looking a little shakier this morning.
In the latest Quinnipiac University national survey released Tuesday, Trump leads Texas Sen. Ted Cruz by just four percentage points.
Trump’s share remained essentially unchanged from the university’s last poll, ticking up one point to 28 percent. Cruz, meanwhile, shot up eight percentage points to 24 percent.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio finished third with 12 percent, a five-point drop since late November, while retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson continued his downward spiral with 10 percent, a six-point hit in the same period. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie registered 6 percent, his highest level of support in a telephone poll since late May. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush took 4 percent, while all other candidates earned 2 percent or less and 8 percent remained undecided. Of those who named a candidate, 58 percent of Republican voters said they might change their mind before voting in their state’s primary.
Cruz commanded pluralities of support over Trump among those describing themselves as members of the tea party (38 percent to 27 percent) and white, born-again Evangelical Christians (33 percent to 22 percent). Cruz also led Trump among very conservative supporters (38 percent to 27 percent), while Trump led at least nominally in every other demographic polled.
But it’s close. Among men, for example, Cruz trails Trump 30 percent to 29 percent, while among those with a college degree, he trails 24 percent to 21 percent.
In other results, it looks like Cruz does best in a head-to-head competition with Hillary, but he finishes even:
This is what they said about Reagan. It’s the drum they’ve been pounding since the beginning. They want people to believe it, but it’s simply not true.
Donald still has not brought a single electoral vote to the table. No one has.
Plus, I know plenty of conservatives who have said, “I will *never* vote for Trump. He’s an ass.” On the flip side, almost every conservative I know says, “Cruz? Oh yeah, I could vote for him.”
How many more "third rails" does Trump have to dance across before you self-announced sages admit you're talking out of your hats?
The first primary hasn't happened yet... we're still in what amounts to the preseason.
Please. Cruz is reviled by the GOPe because he calls them out; reveals their lies to the American people. He’s principled.
If we get Donald, I can *guarantee* you that in 4 years, the people of FreeRepublic will be talking about all the times he let conservatives down. That’s because Trump is not a man of principles - he’s a human windsock.
Vote Cruz - get Justice Scalia in the White House.
Vote Trump - get Justice Kennedy in the White House.
self-announced = self-anointed
(Damn auto correct)
You know, Cruz is no slouch when it comes to challenging the media either, in fact, he did quite well putting the media in its place during the second debate, and that is when his polling numbers started to rise. Not being bombastic does not equate to not being effective. Reagan flew over the head of the media directly to the electorate, in a subtle, folksy, and often humorous manner. His demeanor, in no uncertain terms, could be likened to Trump's cavalier manner. What is required, regardless of style, is the courage to speak the truth, and not be concerned with media acceptance or who's cocktail parties one might get disinvited from. Cruz has this, and with a surge in the polls and a national platform, this will bear out.
Keep an eye out for who the GOPe attacks (WSJ, for example). They are a better indicator of who the uniparty fears, more so than the leftist media, who focus their attack on anything conservative that is leading in the polls, be it person or policy.
LIKE
And you KNOW this how?
Sure you can....if you were here in 2012. Number one was a socialized-medicine peddling, gun-grabbing, faggot-friendly leftist then too, and we were almost all for number two or three.
Hank
I have thought about it. Where you are wrong is “anyone else”. Conservatives alone are not going to put ANYONE in the white house. Truth be told, Cruz has some problems even among Conservatives. We need the Indys and Blue Dogs and Trump can deliver them.
Yes, he is.
The media and the electorate today are nowhere near as subtle today as they were in Reagan's day. Ronaldus Magnus taught the media a lesson they never forgot.
Comparing Cruz to Trump in the "media war" is a bolt-action to a battle-rifle.
Sure, almost every other recent poll shows Trump in the mid-30s to the low-40s, but we are supposed to believe that he only has 28% now. In three days time he is supposed to have gone from 39% in the Fox News poll (which was conducted entirely after the debate) to 28% in the Quinnipiac, even though nothing has happened in the meanwhile. This is the same poll that showed Trump and Carson essentially tied two months ago. I didn’t think that was realistic then either.
More like a grenade vs. a firecracker. Nobody compares to Trump’s manipulation of and continuous in-your-face attacks on the media, now or historically.
Because many support him because he is a constitutional conservative. But trump is not. And being on the ticket trump would mean he’d sold out, and if that’s the case, he will permanently lose support from many folks.
Not really. Cruz is leading when voters first and second choices are combined, because Trump has alienated the supporters of other candidates. Cruz will gain support as the other candidates drop out.
I respectfully disagree. He is young, and this would pave the path for POTUS. I have asked a number of conservative leaning people why they do not support T. Curz. Their comments have ranged over several items. They think he is too establishment, they don’t know much about him, and/or they feel he lacks experience.
From the 12/22 Quinnipiac Poll:
And in hypothetical head-to-head matchups, Trump continues to fare poorly, with Clinton beating him by 7 points and Sanders doing so by 13 points. Other Republicans apparently pose greater threats to the GOP: Cruz and Clinton tie at 44% each, and Clinton only beats Rubio 44% to 43%.
I do not want to demean Senator Cruz in any way.
I truly believe he is the longer-term future.
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