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Donald Trump Still Leads in Florida, but Ted Cruz Soars in Latest Poll
MiamiTimes ^ | 12/18/15 | Kyle Munzanheimer

Posted on 12/18/2015 1:48:25 PM PST by VinL

Florida Republican Primary voters continue to be fake as hell. They're letting the men they elected at one point to serve as our senator and governor linger in polls of their home state. In the first poll of Florida Republicans taking since this week's debate, it turns out that our state's GOP voters still have a thing for ol' Helmet Hair but now have a growing fondness for Texas-brand Rubio, Ted Cruz.

The survey, conducted by Opinion Savvy and sponsored by the Jacksonville Times-Union and Fox 13 Tampa Bay, called up 555 registered Republicans in Florida on Wednesday.

Here's the breakdown:

Donald Trump: 29.7 percent Ted Cruz: 20.4 percent Marco Rubio: 15 percent Jeb Bush: 12.5 percent Ben Carson: 7.7 percent Chris Christie: 6.1 percent Carly Fiorina: 2.7 percent Rand Paul: 2.6 percent John Kasich: 0.9 percent Rick Santorum: 0.1 percent George Pataki: 0.1 percent

(Literally just one person each said they'd vote for Santorum or Pataki.)

ust 2.2 percent said they remained undecided.

Trump continues to do well with his whackadoo rhetoric in Florida.

48.3 percent of Florida Republicans say they "strongly approve" of his call to temporarily ban all Muslims who are not residents from entering the United States. 24.2 percent say they "somewhat approve." Just 23.3 percent say they strongly or somewhat disapprove.

Cruz has surged in Florida in the past month. In the last Opinion Savvy Poll, taken on November 11, he was sitting at just 12 percent. His surge appears to be at the expense of Ben Carson (who is down from 22 percent in November). There's also waning enthusiasm in the state for our own Senator Marco Rubio. He was at 18 percent in the November poll.

Jeb Bush is actually doing a bit better since November. Back then he was at 11 percent.

Cruz is also now leading Hispanic Republicans in the state at 22.1 percent. Though Rubio isn't far away at 21.0 percent. Donald Trump, despite his anti-Mexican rhetoric, polls at 20.8 percent among Hispanics. Bush, who used to have a lock on the state's Hispanic Republican population, is now at 15. 9 percent.

Interestingly, Rubio has the biggest gender gap when it comes to his supporters. 19.6 percent of female Republicans in Florida support Rubio. Just 10.2 percent of men do.

In an odd question, the poll also asked Florida's Democrats who they'd like to see as the GOP nominee.

37.3 percent say they want Trump — perhaps because he seems to be the easiest to beat. 18.5 percent say they want Bush, perhaps because he seems the most palpable to Democrats out of the lot.

So why is Cruz surging? Well, 25.8 percent of those who watched the debate claimed he won. That's compared to Trump at 23.8 percent.

Meanwhile, 30.8 said Bush lost the debate. He was followed by Kasich; 13.5 percent said he lost the debate.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: alieninvasion; aliens; canadian; cruz; cruzissurging; deportthemall; domination; elections; florida; immigration; infiltrators; invaders; jihad; jihadis; koran; moratorium; mosques; muslim; musliminvasion; polls; securetheborders; securethenation; sendthemback; sharia; thegreatintender; trojanhorse; trump; trumpwasright; war; waronterror; wartime
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To: skeeter

Are you sure Ted Cruz is not being pressured by his rich donors? Why is he pushing the cheap labor express? See with your own eyes...

Cruz pushing path to legal status for illegals
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4CwVrfydjOI&feature=youtu.be

Cruz pushing for 500% expansion of H1-B visa’s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GHlGlNwsQb0

Cruz pushing TPP:
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/06/11/ted-cruz-channels-paul-ryan-a-lot-of-misinformation-on-obamatrade-that-you-can-get-on-the-internet/


141 posted on 12/19/2015 12:17:37 AM PST by entropy12 (Go Trump 2016! Pick strongest on immigration control - Santorum as VP.)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

LMAO ROFL....Ain’t that the truth!


142 posted on 12/19/2015 12:19:35 AM PST by entropy12 (Go Trump 2016! Pick strongest on immigration control - Santorum as VP.)
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To: SmokingJoe

Cruz can’t debate Hillary. He has to win nomination first.


143 posted on 12/19/2015 12:20:57 AM PST by entropy12 (Go Trump 2016! Pick strongest on immigration control - Santorum as VP.)
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To: CatOwner

All good and valid points.


144 posted on 12/19/2015 12:22:00 AM PST by entropy12 (Go Trump 2016! Pick strongest on immigration control - Santorum as VP.)
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To: SmokingJoe

That shot up did’nt quite go as high as the Trump Satellite orbit.


145 posted on 12/19/2015 12:23:54 AM PST by entropy12 (Go Trump 2016! Pick strongest on immigration control - Santorum as VP.)
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To: entropy12
Cruz had the biggest increase in poll numbers in this poll. He wasn't even a contender before and was losing to both Rubio and Jeb Bush in Florida.
146 posted on 12/19/2015 1:03:51 AM PST by SmokingJoe ( .)
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To: SmokingJoe

Yoda: “Grasping at straws you are. Desperate you must be.”


147 posted on 12/19/2015 4:08:42 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: CottonBall

“And Cruz supporters should be mad that the GOPe would rather have him. It means they think Ted can be bought by the donors or party bosses.”

No, I think it’s because in the end, they don’t want either one, but know Cruz will at least make a decent president.

Not only can Cruz not be bought, he has solid conservative values and experience in government. Trump doesn’t, nor is there any reason to believe he will magically acquire them before January 2017.

I hate the GOP leadership too, but I love America more. Which is why I can’t support Donald. I have no desire to watch my country burn to the ground.


148 posted on 12/19/2015 6:22:36 AM PST by highball ("I never should have switched from scotch to martinis." -- the last words of Humphrey Bogart)
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To: Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; Impy; BillyBoy; stephenjohnbanker; NFHale; Perdogg

Basically, if one’s not entirely for Trump, I question their viability to be a living life form.


149 posted on 12/19/2015 7:37:16 AM PST by GOPsterinMA (I'm with Steve McQueen: I live my life for myself and answer to nobody.)
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To: GOPsterinMA

I could live with either Cruz or Trump. The problem I have with Trump are as follows:

1. Unknown quantity due to past statements.
2. Trump’s support for Ethanol subsidies.
3. Trump’s ambiguous, albeit tepid, support for DC statehood.


150 posted on 12/19/2015 8:09:05 AM PST by Perdogg (Ted Cruz - 2016)
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To: entropy12

Yes, I’m absolutely certain Cruz is the right guy.

Cruz in ‘16.


151 posted on 12/19/2015 8:21:50 AM PST by skeeter
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To: highball

Wow, such drama queen antics.

Cruz is so rock solid that he didn’t have an illegal immigration plan for months, while the other candidates had detailed ones? And now he can’t utter the word ‘deport’? And covers up his real intent with lawyer words, like ‘i don’t intend to...’, instead of just saying it straight out?

And all rock solid conservatives take money from Club for Growth and Goldman Sachs.


152 posted on 12/19/2015 8:29:10 AM PST by CottonBall
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To: skeeter

So you are really voting for his rich donors. My number one issue in 2016 is deporting 30 million illegals. Guess which candidate is best on that issue? No way I am supporting any pushers of the cheap labor express, like Cruz, Bush, Kasich & Rubio.


153 posted on 12/19/2015 10:10:52 AM PST by entropy12 (Go Trump 2016! Pick strongest on immigration control - Santorum as VP.)
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To: entropy12

But Trump said he’ll let them back in, if they aren’t ‘bad people’. Does that concern you?


154 posted on 12/19/2015 10:39:05 AM PST by skeeter
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To: skeeter

No, because they come back LEGALLY, and Trump administration gets to choose who can come back.

Look, I am myself a legal immigrant, and naturalized US citizen. But I have been productive all my life. I have higher education than average America. I worked in real world main street economy for 25 years in US. We need more people like me to come in.

But what we are getting is the rejects of other countries by the millions. How is that beneficial to hard working middle class Americans?


155 posted on 12/19/2015 10:46:29 AM PST by entropy12 (Go Trump 2016! Pick strongest on immigration control - Santorum as VP.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

lol

The MSM is pushing Trump hard because they think he is a sure loser.

Does no one remember McCain and “Maverick”?


156 posted on 12/19/2015 10:47:47 AM PST by GeronL (I remember when this was a conservative forum)
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To: entropy12

You don’t need to win me over on that point - illegal immigration is my no. one issue as well.

I just differ with you on Cruz’s policy. He has never advocated amnesty or any kind of legalization. The H1B thing bothers me a bit, as do Trump’s previous comments on illegals. But we have to take both of them at their word today.


157 posted on 12/19/2015 11:13:12 AM PST by skeeter
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To: VinL

Ginned up poll...Trump’s support is higher & Cruz’s support is lower.


158 posted on 12/19/2015 1:51:26 PM PST by calisurfer
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To: CatOwner
"Well, given the conservative base's proven track record of lagging support for anyone who isn't an ideal/near ideal conservative,"

Yeah, there's that timeworn false meme that a candidate must be perfect when we know there's no such thing. It's leveled at people who have had enough of voting for liberals, BY people who are attempting to justify doing so.

I don't care how many screams of "purist"are directed my way, or how many demand that I get behind another liberal. It's not happening.

" I'm quite fine with Trump and his ability to appeal to blacks, Hispanics, and independents."

You don't know that he has wide appeal; it's only Trump fans projecting "he's magic! He can do all things!"

You're seeing polls that have yet to translate into votes. Social media is full of people who say they pick Trump in polls because they like what he's saying, but they wouldn't actually vote for him.

Bottom line, we need to worry about the base and the evangelicals. But some of us never learn that lesson no matter how often it's repeated to our detriment.

"I also believe Trump's wide appeal makes it likely Hillary will have to defend/attack many more states than she would against any other GOP candidate, including Cruz."

If Trump were the nominee, the media and the Dems would hit him like the Battle of the Bulge on his liberal history and on the slips he makes almost weekly that reveal his core liberalism. He'd implode, and Trump fans would be running around blaming everyone but themselves.

159 posted on 12/19/2015 5:11:29 PM PST by CatherineofAragon (("A real conservative will bear the scars...will have been in the trenches fighting."--- Ted Cruz))
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To: CatherineofAragon

“If Trump were the nominee, the media and the Dems would hit him like the Battle of the Bulge on his liberal history and on the slips he makes almost weekly that reveal his core liberalism. He’d implode, and Trump fans would be running around blaming everyone but themselves. “

***************************************************

Unfortunately that is precisely what will happen. And the basic refrain will be: why vote for liberal-lite when you can have the real thing with Clinton/Sanders.


160 posted on 12/19/2015 5:15:36 PM PST by Oceander
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