Posted on 12/18/2015 1:48:25 PM PST by VinL
Florida Republican Primary voters continue to be fake as hell. They're letting the men they elected at one point to serve as our senator and governor linger in polls of their home state. In the first poll of Florida Republicans taking since this week's debate, it turns out that our state's GOP voters still have a thing for ol' Helmet Hair but now have a growing fondness for Texas-brand Rubio, Ted Cruz.
The survey, conducted by Opinion Savvy and sponsored by the Jacksonville Times-Union and Fox 13 Tampa Bay, called up 555 registered Republicans in Florida on Wednesday.
Here's the breakdown:
Donald Trump: 29.7 percent Ted Cruz: 20.4 percent Marco Rubio: 15 percent Jeb Bush: 12.5 percent Ben Carson: 7.7 percent Chris Christie: 6.1 percent Carly Fiorina: 2.7 percent Rand Paul: 2.6 percent John Kasich: 0.9 percent Rick Santorum: 0.1 percent George Pataki: 0.1 percent
(Literally just one person each said they'd vote for Santorum or Pataki.)
ust 2.2 percent said they remained undecided.
Trump continues to do well with his whackadoo rhetoric in Florida.
48.3 percent of Florida Republicans say they "strongly approve" of his call to temporarily ban all Muslims who are not residents from entering the United States. 24.2 percent say they "somewhat approve." Just 23.3 percent say they strongly or somewhat disapprove.
Cruz has surged in Florida in the past month. In the last Opinion Savvy Poll, taken on November 11, he was sitting at just 12 percent. His surge appears to be at the expense of Ben Carson (who is down from 22 percent in November). There's also waning enthusiasm in the state for our own Senator Marco Rubio. He was at 18 percent in the November poll.
Jeb Bush is actually doing a bit better since November. Back then he was at 11 percent.
Cruz is also now leading Hispanic Republicans in the state at 22.1 percent. Though Rubio isn't far away at 21.0 percent. Donald Trump, despite his anti-Mexican rhetoric, polls at 20.8 percent among Hispanics. Bush, who used to have a lock on the state's Hispanic Republican population, is now at 15. 9 percent.
Interestingly, Rubio has the biggest gender gap when it comes to his supporters. 19.6 percent of female Republicans in Florida support Rubio. Just 10.2 percent of men do.
In an odd question, the poll also asked Florida's Democrats who they'd like to see as the GOP nominee.
37.3 percent say they want Trump — perhaps because he seems to be the easiest to beat. 18.5 percent say they want Bush, perhaps because he seems the most palpable to Democrats out of the lot.
So why is Cruz surging? Well, 25.8 percent of those who watched the debate claimed he won. That's compared to Trump at 23.8 percent.
Meanwhile, 30.8 said Bush lost the debate. He was followed by Kasich; 13.5 percent said he lost the debate.
so, if your theory is right, and the sample is too small relative to the general population to be reliable, then the numbers for Trump might even be higher? Right?
And everyone has dirt. Everyone. Trump has had his aired for six months now, with no effect.
Isn’t that the truth.
LOL
I like Ted Cruz, but don’t know if he’s ready for a Presidential campaign. By contrast, Donald Trump has star quality and has managed the MSM for years.
Guess that’s why every poll, even the ones that weren’t on line, said Trump came out fine.
You mean plus one in IOWA. Not nationally. He isn’t close nationally. And yes, RCP is an AVERAGE, but the three newest polls all have him trailing, and, interestingly, the newer the poll, the more he trails in IA.
Trump getting 40% African American, 37% Indie. Is that what you mean?
You might not be aware of it, but a fair amount of the people who pick Trump in these polls say they wouldn’t really vote for him.
So...we shall see.
Ted Cruz is always surging and Donald Trump is always leading. :-)
I completely agree with you on this. I believe that DJT has duped all the lazy low information types that fall for the "Yes we can! Yes we can!" chanting of a real estate swindler Democrat turned faux-conservative Reality Television star. Those that favor other candidates are certainly not going to fall into Trumps lap... It helps Ted more than anything for the race to weed out less viable candidates.
No. If the race is limited to:
Ted 21.4%
Jeb 13.9%
Carson 8.2%
Rubio 20.9%
Trump 31.6%
So without Santorum, Carly, Christie, and the rest, Trump still has a substantial lead.
In orbit around the massive ego of DJT?
polls polls polls....show me the votes.....
Oh, well, then you missed the REAL gem: Blacks: 39% support Trump (!!!)
But I hate to burst your bubble, but the polls that DO measure "intensity" of support? Trump has a very large lead over Cruz.
It’s posted on his FB page too
Hope w have more family pictures over the holidays! Such a great american family. The American Dream on Steroids!
Political Kill Rate.
Hillary = 4 > Incompetence as SOS.
Ted Kennedy = 1 > Drunk Driving and Fleeing the Scene.
Trump = 0
Hillary + Obama = Thousands due their Middle East Policies and overthrowing Quadafi and attempting the same with Assad. Hillary is ISIS’s Grandmother while Obama is busy coaching their J.V. Team and supplying the Game Equipment and Uniforms.
ROFL! No credibility of this poll. No way Jeb! Boooooooooooosh is at 12.5% in any poll.
(Not a commentary on Trump/Cruz.)
LS, I really don’t care whether you believe me or not.
Like I said, we’ll see.
“In orbit around the massive ego of DJT?”
You must have failed to get the memo. Trump, with his massive ego, is doing it all for Hillary, since he likes Hillary.
Cruz supporters say he is doing it all for Cruz, since he likes Cruz.
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