Posted on 12/18/2015 1:48:25 PM PST by VinL
Florida Republican Primary voters continue to be fake as hell. They're letting the men they elected at one point to serve as our senator and governor linger in polls of their home state. In the first poll of Florida Republicans taking since this week's debate, it turns out that our state's GOP voters still have a thing for ol' Helmet Hair but now have a growing fondness for Texas-brand Rubio, Ted Cruz.
The survey, conducted by Opinion Savvy and sponsored by the Jacksonville Times-Union and Fox 13 Tampa Bay, called up 555 registered Republicans in Florida on Wednesday.
Here's the breakdown:
Donald Trump: 29.7 percent Ted Cruz: 20.4 percent Marco Rubio: 15 percent Jeb Bush: 12.5 percent Ben Carson: 7.7 percent Chris Christie: 6.1 percent Carly Fiorina: 2.7 percent Rand Paul: 2.6 percent John Kasich: 0.9 percent Rick Santorum: 0.1 percent George Pataki: 0.1 percent
(Literally just one person each said they'd vote for Santorum or Pataki.)
ust 2.2 percent said they remained undecided.
Trump continues to do well with his whackadoo rhetoric in Florida.
48.3 percent of Florida Republicans say they "strongly approve" of his call to temporarily ban all Muslims who are not residents from entering the United States. 24.2 percent say they "somewhat approve." Just 23.3 percent say they strongly or somewhat disapprove.
Cruz has surged in Florida in the past month. In the last Opinion Savvy Poll, taken on November 11, he was sitting at just 12 percent. His surge appears to be at the expense of Ben Carson (who is down from 22 percent in November). There's also waning enthusiasm in the state for our own Senator Marco Rubio. He was at 18 percent in the November poll.
Jeb Bush is actually doing a bit better since November. Back then he was at 11 percent.
Cruz is also now leading Hispanic Republicans in the state at 22.1 percent. Though Rubio isn't far away at 21.0 percent. Donald Trump, despite his anti-Mexican rhetoric, polls at 20.8 percent among Hispanics. Bush, who used to have a lock on the state's Hispanic Republican population, is now at 15. 9 percent.
Interestingly, Rubio has the biggest gender gap when it comes to his supporters. 19.6 percent of female Republicans in Florida support Rubio. Just 10.2 percent of men do.
In an odd question, the poll also asked Florida's Democrats who they'd like to see as the GOP nominee.
37.3 percent say they want Trump — perhaps because he seems to be the easiest to beat. 18.5 percent say they want Bush, perhaps because he seems the most palpable to Democrats out of the lot.
So why is Cruz surging? Well, 25.8 percent of those who watched the debate claimed he won. That's compared to Trump at 23.8 percent.
Meanwhile, 30.8 said Bush lost the debate. He was followed by Kasich; 13.5 percent said he lost the debate.
I’m getting a kick out of the calls. Mostly Cruz and some Carson. Got a call for a townhall meeting for Huckabee. Then those that don’t identify a campaign.
RIGHT...but Dems WILL vote for Trump !
“Well...that’s the truth and Trump is the ONLY one who can best Hillary in a debate situation!”
Trump could thump Hillary, it’s true. That doesn’t mean Cruz couldn’t too.
ðŸ˜
I don't think we watched the same debate. Trump stood there with his nose tilted toward the ceiling, mugging, making faces and smacking his mouth. Cruz was solid and strong.
I don't think it did Trump any favors to stand next to Cruz. According to what I heard, folks on social media were making the comparison--or rather, contrast---and deciding for Ted.
Sorry, but that's the truth. Cruz is far too college debater/lawyerly to take her down in a "debate".
“The hard truth is that in every poll Trump is doing well. It is what it is. He’s going to be terribly hard to catch at this late date.”
Well, it’s really not “late”; it’s very early in the process. But Trump has done very well so far and I for one am very glad he is in there doing what he is doing.
“Cruz is surging! Cruz is soaring!”
With all the soaring and catching fire for the past two months, one would think that Cruz was in orbit.
Santorum is at least a Republican— Pataki is just a disgrace-—
Many people discount the value of national polls. Correction....many people, whose candidate is not in the lead nationally, discount the value of national polls. Those people nationally all live in one of the 50 states. It may not be a one-to-one ratio, but it sure indicates a trend, or they wouldn’t do the poll. And ask any of the other candidates which position they’d rather be at this point in the process...where DJT is, or there position?
LOL BINGO! :)
That is a very long list, which hasn't been posted on FR in a few years.
I am unapologetically all in for Trump. :-)
That’s not true either......man understand what polling is about....and therefore do not put the “value” polling wants to have in determining the race.
I agree that it “might” at times indicate a trend...but even then considering how few they poll to the actual voting population is almost laughable.
Like the media...’pollsters’ want the ratings and engagement they get.....and it feeds the media as well as the public who likes to bet on who is to win place or draw.
PPP had head to head among Republicans. Trump beats everyone except Cruz. Cruz beats everyone except Trump. Trump is 1 point ahead of Cruz, head to head - essentially a tie.
1 out of 555 is 0.18, much closer to 0.2 pct.
Note page 5 of the internals:
http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/FL-GOP-PP-12.17.15.pdf
rump hater Jonah Goldberg finally had to admit in a column that Rush read today that in fact the Dems need to be very worried about Trump
___________________________________________________________
Jonah’s hate of Trump is personal. He was on the receiving end of one of Trump’s twitter sessions last year.
He is weak on illegal immigration, even after seeing how the people reward a strong conservative approach.
__________________________________________________________
Whether he is weak on immigration or not, he is too weak overall for what we need right now.
He was suckered by McConnell, of all people, even when his staff tried to warn him he was being lied too.
We can’t take a chance on someone that green right now.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.