Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Trump's Biggest Obstacle (Poll Numbers Explanation)
Larry J Sabato's Crystal Ball ^ | 2015-12-17 | Alfred J Tuchfarber

Posted on 12/17/2015 7:49:50 PM PST by parksstp

Last week’s Crystal Ball repeated its refrain that Donald Trump is very unlikely to get the Republican presidential nomination. However, it issued the caveat that “[i]t would be easier to make our argument if we could explain precisely how and by whom the real estate tycoon will be dethroned.”

Who can and will defeat Trump? The answer is obvious, but also not obvious because the question seems to beg the name of another candidate. The “who” that will defeat Trump is not another candidate but is most likely to be the Republican voters who actually turn out in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and the other contests.

(Excerpt) Read more at centerforpolitics.org ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: 2016; alieninvasion; aliens; buildthewall; cruz; deportthemall; elections; endanchorbabies; endsanctuarycities; enforcethelaw; gop; illegalaliens; immigration; infiltrators; invaders; islam; jihad; koran; moratorium; muslim; musliminvasion; sendthemback; sharia; terror; trojanhorse; trump; trumpwasright
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 101-104 next last
To: parksstp

What a bunch of Gope crap.


41 posted on 12/17/2015 8:50:34 PM PST by WENDLE (Trump is not bought . He is no puppet.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: onyx

Please dismiss the yuge crowds that take the time to attend his events -— they most certainly won’t take the time to actually VOTE for him.
___________________________________________________________

Of course none of the 10,000 to 15,000 people who fought traffic, hunted for parking, went through security, waited 2 hours for the rally to start and another hour for the speech, while standing the entire time will find 10 minutes of time to go to their local poling place at anytime during the early voting period or voting day to vote.

That would just be expecting too much!


42 posted on 12/17/2015 8:50:59 PM PST by Amntn
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Amntn; onyx

Or, you could be giving a rocking rally to a crowd of 250 at a retirement home!


43 posted on 12/17/2015 8:52:09 PM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

I like what El Rushbo said last week. “They say Hillary would mop the floor with Trump. Well then, why isn’t she doing it now? Nationally Trump polls 4 or 5 points over Hillary, and he hasn’t even started IN on HER yet. So why isn’t she mopping the floor with him right now?”


44 posted on 12/17/2015 8:52:36 PM PST by Tucker39 (Welcome to America! Now speak English; and keep to the right....In driving, in Faith, and politics.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: scooby321

Ann Coulter tweeted that she wondered if the omnibus bill the repulicans are going to pass would be considered a contribution to Trump.


45 posted on 12/17/2015 8:53:41 PM PST by Amntn
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: Theodore R.

Santorum never had a chance. He couldn’t overcome losing his PA Senate seat in 2006.


46 posted on 12/17/2015 8:54:39 PM PST by Twink
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

I think Sabato bought his crystal ball at the same place Rove acquired his white board.


47 posted on 12/17/2015 8:55:32 PM PST by Tucker39 (Welcome to America! Now speak English; and keep to the right....In driving, in Faith, and politics.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: John Valentine

When TRUMP hits 50, it’s time for the field to scatter. Until then, TRUMP is at no real disadvantage by the large field, especially when he is clunking around 42, 38, 35.

The people are still circling the candidates, but they are watching that guy in the open field too, mostly because he is smoking it, and he’s strong.


48 posted on 12/17/2015 8:56:19 PM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: toddausauras

Right? Republican voters slant towards Trump. Why is that so hard to believe? We like what he’s saying.

Every time the media claims he’s said something so controversial that it will kill his chances, his poll numbers increase.

Many people I work with hate him (school) but of course they do, he’s not a democrat and he’s filling his venues.


49 posted on 12/17/2015 9:02:10 PM PST by Twink
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: libbylu

LMAO!


50 posted on 12/17/2015 9:03:38 PM PST by Twink
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: bigbob

Trump can’t win going 3rd party. He wants to win.


51 posted on 12/17/2015 9:04:41 PM PST by Twink
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: mosesdapoet

All the liberal democrat women I work with aren’t voting for him either. Trump isn’t getting their vote, but neither would any Republican so there’s that.


52 posted on 12/17/2015 9:07:35 PM PST by Twink
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: mosesdapoet

“Trump chumpions”

Yay, we’re back in grade school. RME


53 posted on 12/17/2015 9:09:26 PM PST by Twink
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Dave W

Many people go out of curiosity and are not necessarily committed to even vote.
________________________________________________________

You obviously haven’t been to one of Trump’s rallies.


54 posted on 12/17/2015 9:10:08 PM PST by Amntn
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: usafa92

Exactly! 84% of GOP voters prefer someone other than Cruz, 87% of GOP voters do not prefer Rubio, 88% of voters against Carson, based on latest RCP numbers. While only 67% of GOP voters prefer someone other than Trump.

I hope these people do not bet on horses the same way they are betting on primaries.


55 posted on 12/17/2015 9:11:54 PM PST by entropy12 (Go Trump 2016! Pick strongest on immigration control - Santorum as VP.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: ripnbang

Right?

I’ve been hearing the media, and some on this site and other “conservative” and “republican” sites say Trump’s done since the beginning and yet he’s still going strong. Even polling has him at the top.

Go figure ;)


56 posted on 12/17/2015 9:12:45 PM PST by Twink
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

Romney has exactly 10 rallies through the campaign.
Trump already had more than 50. Apples and Oranges.


57 posted on 12/17/2015 9:15:59 PM PST by entropy12 (Go Trump 2016! Pick strongest on immigration control - Santorum as VP.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: Jim Noble

Seems to me that in the Republican contest at this point historically whoever leads now will not be the nominee. I don’t really watch the dims, but seems like their favorite at all points stays on top and is their eventual nominee.


58 posted on 12/17/2015 9:16:34 PM PST by matthew fuller (GWB Legacy: BHO, US Jihadi in Chief. BHO Legacy: ISIS.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: Tucker39

If Hillary is the dem nom, and that’s a big if, Trump will eviscerate her and the media won’t be able to slant it.

The Media is doing everything they can to trash him now because they know he’s a solid force in this election. He’s winning that fight so far.


59 posted on 12/17/2015 9:17:27 PM PST by Twink
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 44 | View Replies]

To: mosesdapoet
Well, I have talked with about 10 ladies this week and each is supporting Trump. They range from in their 20’s to older than I. I am 71. They are fed up with the GOP and support Trump with Cruz as VP. BTW, they all think Bush should have gotten out weeks ago.
60 posted on 12/17/2015 9:20:53 PM PST by MamaB (Heb. 13:2)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 101-104 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson