Posted on 11/19/2015 4:32:25 AM PST by expat_panama
At first glance, the economy appears to be in a decent position to chug along or even improve—and bode well for the Democrats in 2016. But that first look may be deceiving.
To the extent that real-world events...
[snip]
Fortunately for Democrats, the Federal Reserve predicts 2016 growth at 2.4 percent, in line with other economists’ projections. Unemployment has fallen to the lowest rate in seven years. With threats of a debt-limit default or government shutdown (mostly) contained, self-inflicted wounds from Washington are unlikely. At first glance, the economy appears to be in a decent position to chug along or even improve—and bode well for the Democrats in 2016.
But that first look may be deceiving. When I want to understand future economic trends,...
[snip]
The chart measures the ratio between business inventories and sales. A higher ratio means that inventory is building up nationwide; a lower ratio means that consumers are snapping up goods as fast as they’re being produced.
[snip]
It’s important to note that slow growth in 2016 is not a consensus view among economists. You can envision a scenario where a banner holiday season depletes inventories, where job growth finally leads to higher wages, where consumers finally use the extra cash from low gas prices—and where any fears blow over. But if a generally on-target economist like Baker sees a low-growth story unfolding in 2016, it’s hard to completely dismiss it. And that should raise alarm bells at DNC headquarters.
(Excerpt) Read more at newrepublic.com ...
the cost of everything has risen under The One's watch except gasoline and I suspect its being manipulated to destabilize Russia's eonomy and other foreign enemies in addition to preventing the people from revolting.
Two things for which we can be thankful to Obama: 1. He’s by far the greatest firearms salesman of the era; and, 2. He’s in the process of wiping out the Democrats in 2016.
Look for government spending to ramp up big time around August.
Nobody's working. The decreasing unemployment numbers are bogus.
-PJ
“He’s in the process of wiping out the Democrats in 2016.”
Unless the insane asylums are re-opened, Democrats will never be out of politics.
IMHO
Stopped reading right there.
‘Did I miss anything?’
Electronic voting machine fraud...
Neat, the day before TGIF we get Sure Happy It's Thursday! Metals sink into bases while stocks break out to new highs in mixed volume ("pressure" comes off and the rally resumes!).
Econ reports for everyone to ignore today:
8:30 AM Initial Claims
8:30 AM Continuing Claims
8:30 AM Philadelphia Fed
10:00 AM Philadelphia Fed
10:00 AM Leading Indicators
10:30 AM Natural Gas Inventories
Is it just me or is everyone talking about a letter than nobody can see? We're getting all kinds of reports that Yellen wrote a letter--
- Yellen's Letter to Paul Ryan Reveals Panic at Fed - Editorial, New York Sun
- The Yellen Letter
- Yellen: Fed bill would "severely damage" US
- Fed chair denounces proposed law as 'grave mistake'
- Fed Chairman Yellen Urges Congress to Reject Fed Reform Bill
- Yellen Opposes GOP Proposal to Boost Fed Oversight
--yet while everyone says what they say is is in it, nobody seems to be able to actually show the letter itself. Not even the Fed has any record of it. Kind of sounds like Obama's US citizenship...
Two things for which we can be thankful to Obama: 1. He’s by far the greatest firearms salesman of the era; and, 2. He’s in the process of wiping out the Democrats in 2016.
......
One consideration some have said is the invitation being useful to cause revolt enough to call for curfews and martial law...suspending elections.
Dear leader has ascended to his desired level of hatred for us and brazenness...he cares not what it makes the U.S. look like to the world, in fact, he relishes misrepresenting us (we the people) to the world.
I will not put such Alinskyish plans past this nefarious posse. When one has nothing to lose, one becomes that much more dangerous.
The dead vote.
Is this article from 2011? I ask because I distinctly recall reading a lot of articles from back then that bad the same meme.
“Kind of sounds like Obama’s US citizenship... “
hahahah
“ying, and inventories are piling up like 2008. Did I miss anything? “
Just add in that the situation is worldwide and China is imploding. Just a small oversight.
“...in addition to preventing the people from revolting. “
DING DING DING
We have a winner.
Those low prices have been “masking” other price increases. When they go back up - and they most certainly will, they have to - it will hurt. A lot of companies have been getting a “free ride” on not lowering their selling prices on plastic/oil based products (paints, plastic parts, refined oils, and so on). Have you seen shipping rates drop commensurate with oil/gas prices? Didn’t think so. So how is UPS managing to lose money?
Speculation is that the Fed Reserve will raise interest rates in December. Reason given is that they believe the economy is more or less back on track. I think they should have raised rates a long time ago. ZIRP is killing retirees who are on a fixed income.
Worst economy since Jimmy Carter, we’ve been reduced to a food stamp nation, the national debt has doubled, America is a laughing stock to the rest of the world, and the community organizer in chief has successfully sown strife throughout the country.
If the Repukelicans can’t edge out a victory in 2016 they need to disband and seek honest work.
Tumbling Treasury Yields Signal Possible Fed ‘Policy Error’ Being Priced In
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-11-19/tumbling-treasury-yields-signal-possible-fed-policy-error-being-priced
...it appears the bond market is already beginning to price in a “policy error.”
If your retirement depends on savings account interest or short term CDs, you're doing it wrong.
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