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Posted on 10/17/2015 6:01:43 PM PDT by Amntn
I’m Going To Say Something Nice about Jeb Bush….
Posted on October 17, 2015 by sundance
…. at least he is a real bona fide candidate. Regardless of how fraught with inherent deception Jeb Bush’s intent and purposes for seeking the GOP nomination, he is in fact a real candidate; with, factual action taking place on the ground to support his efforts.
Like Donald Trump, Jeb Bush is structurally in the race -with infrastructure- trying to win it. The other multiple candidates, not so much; actually, not even close.
Spurred by our discovery of the internal Republican National Committee efforts to engage with State Republican party apparatus, vis-á-vis “ongoing rule changes“, numerous boots on the ground have begun reporting the absence of candidate activity amid various (Pre-March 16th) primary states.
Multiple calls to local and state Republican party leadership originally intended to find out when they were going to make decisions on proportional rules for delegate distribution, have accidentally identified another aspect (it’s Déjà vu to the pre-primary spring ’14 all over again).
Similar to the early political indicators we identified in the period of October ’13 through May ’14, which eventually led to the discovery of the larger GOPe road map, there are events which -if they were transpiring- would indicate who has the best opportunity for success in the 2016 primary race.
Put another way, if a candidate was genuine, there are specific actions needed now in order for that candidate to be reasonably considered ‘making-an-earnest-effort’. Absent of those actions, the motivation is transparently somewhat “less than” making a real bid to attain the GOP nomination.
A great example is Virginia (again hat-tip to boots on ground) where any candidate must gather 5,000 signatures from ‘registered republican voters’, and include 200 signatures from each of the 11 congressional districts (also registered republican voters), along with the application fees, to be considered a candidate. All of this must be accomplished by December.
Only two candidates, Jeb Bush and Donald Trump, have efforts underway to qualify there. No Ted Cruz, no Marco Rubio, no Carly Fiorina, not even Jim Gilmore (former gov) is making a visible effort. You make up your own mind what that implies, but the reality doesn’t change.
Same thing, same non-players, going on in Illinois, Wisconsin and Florida.
FIRST FOUR – Iowa and New Hampshire is less predictive of campaign intent because all candidates HAVE TO make an impression to keep up appearances. However, even there, the real action is only within Team Trump and Team Jeb with Carson, Cruz and Fiorina doing the next closest effort.
South Carolina is easy-peasy because all it takes is a registration form, filing fee and viola’ name on ballot. Nevada (caucus) state is more similar to Iowa, and again similar activity.
However, once you go beyond those February race states, that’s when things really shrink. Calling around the various states election offices and republican party offices you find there’s little to no effort except for Jeb Bush and Donald Trump campaigns.
Understanding the GOPe road map, and understanding the RNC/GOPe have -for the past two years- planned for Jeb –and only Jeb– you begin to get a picture of why Donald Trump focuses almost exclusively on Jeb Bush. Quite simply, and factually, no-one else is extending their efforts beyond those February States.
Initially a supporter of someone other than Jeb or Trump might say: “well the campaign is getting around to it later”; except the “later” part is rapidly running out of time.
Taking the Thanksgiving holidays into account, there’s only about five or six full weeks left to do the ground work and get your nominee on the ballot in multiple states.
Winning in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina or Nevada doesn’t mean squat if the candidate isn’t eligible for North Carolina, Ohio, Illinois, Virginia, Texas etc. and few candidates, well, actually only Trump and Bush, have active efforts underway in every state to meet the qualification efforts for ballot placement.
Conservative Treehouse seems to do his home work.
Action? What action? Calls from his campaign to mega donors? WTH...
I haven't seen one scintilla of grass roots support for Jeb Bush since the race began, and I'm in Texas, the nominal home of Clan Bush.
Sundance is pretty reliable.
Read the GOPe “Splitter Strategy” listed at the site.
Too bad for him he’s on the rnc ticket.
Couldn't agree more. The also-rans are actually doing damage to the process at this point, and need to step down for the good of the country.
I wouldn’t count on that.
I don’t think you can consider Florida in this because of the way they are putting the candidates on the ballot but I would be concerned about Virginia if this is true.
No.....this is the effort to get folks to hang with Yeb because if they do then maybe he will sneak in.
Ain’t true and won’t happen
his campaign is overspent, bloated with useless staff, and frankly pathetic in his trying to get Rubio out of the race.
I remember Newt couldn't get on it last time and people voted for Paul in protest.
He has repeatedly said this in his last several speeches and he's always telling us the media lies....
He always reminds me of a very earnest manager at the Piggly Wiggly.
This says that Trump and Jeb are the only candidates that are actually building campaigns in each state.
The real question is what are the other candidates doing? Are they serious about running?
Couldn’t agree more. The also-rans are actually doing damage to the process at this point, and need to step down for the good of the country.
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Problem is, most of them are running for the opposite of the good of the country.
Remember what Trump told us, a lot of lies from the media, and to remember he’s not going anywhere...so I’m standing strong for Trump...
There is a book coming out right before nominations about the bush family and it’s a bad one, it will probably destroy jeb so I am going to hope that Trump can push bush out, as far as the others, I think its a way to make people wonder what is happening...lies by the media...and the GOPee....dirty politics....
Darn.
Thought it was going to be “He’s dropping out”.
My understanding is that there isn’t much Jebby in Iowa. The big ground games are Trump, Cruz, Carson, to a lesser extent Fiorina.
LOL! I wish!
See my post #10
I thought I’d read over a year ago about Ted Cruz building infrastructure in all 50 states. I believe Ted Cruz will make the left cry before this is all over. However if Trump makes them cry first I will be just as happy. As long as they are crying when it’s over...
Stinks like hell, don't it?
Yep. They want the cabinet or a Fox News job just like the Huckster.
Trump and (shudder) Bush are the only candidates with a real staff commitment. Walker did as well but he’s long gone.
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