Posted on 10/12/2015 5:44:24 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
A reader writes, “Everyone says Donald Trump can’t win. Exactly why not?”
David Leonhardt, editor for The Upshot, considers the question:
Can Donald Trump win the Republican nomination? Sure, it’s within the realm of plausibility; he’s now been leading the polls for months, after all. But it seems highly unlikely because it would violate just about every historical pattern of presidential races.
No modern candidate has received a major-party nomination — and perhaps no candidate in American history — while being opposed by the party’s elites: donors, media figures, politicians and others.
Elite support matters because they have the ability to shape public opinion through endorsements, public criticism and other means. Many voters don’t follow campaigns very closely. They don’t dig through position papers or watch hours upon hours of debates. They’re influenced by what they hear.
In every recent Republican presidential campaign, a couple of contenders — often with resumes atypical of a serious candidate — have shot to the top of the early polls, only to fade as they face scrutiny and criticism. What’s fascinating about Mr. Trump is that he has, if anything, endured harsher criticism, and yet he has also remained atop the polls for longer.
Perhaps Republican primary voters have grown so fed up with the country and their party that they’re willing to dismiss the collective opinion of Republican elites (which now seems to favor Marco Rubio or Jeb Bush). But it really would be unprecedented for the party to nominate someone like Mr. Trump, Ben Carson or Carly Fiorina....
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
Write-in by the millions. Think outside of that stupid little GOP box.
look at the polls yourself, then look at what the polling companies are saying about their reliability. Gallop has basically said they will withdraw until a better metric can be found. The Donald’s negs have halved in the last 3 months are now averaging about 30% and down trending. Id prefer Cruz carson or Rubio but the damage trump could do to the establishment, the rules of the house, and the fear he’d instill in the dem’s and the world would only be for the good.
Love it!
Hildabeast looks to be losing the union endorsement, thus the ground game goes up for grabs. This is not even close to a normal election, you need to talk to people and see how angry they are.
Screw the media; screw the inside the Beltway elites; and screw the GOPe. I’m casting my vote for Donald Trump whom I believe will be the next President of the United States. The more I see the absolute fear and sheer panic in the press and on television as well as blog posts,the more cemented my vote is for Trump. And guess what I’m far from alone in feeling this way!
the more you make the cheaper they are on a per unit basis. And JASSAM can be exported to many of our friends. The real game changer is the EMP uav. Next up for operational fielding is a 150kW uav flying laser platform. Announcing operational 2017 which means its already flying. Give picket missile defense as well as non detectible air dominance. Tech is about 5 yr old electric, so generators need to be made more efficient and lighter
Nope, the Republican nominee will be....won't be Trump.
Never check the pub box check the conservative box unless you have no alternative.
But I'm still all in for Cruz, the most consistent, constitutional conservative in the race; not because I think he is the best hope of winning, but because he currently best hope for America!
Tell us all and r=then give us the winning powerball numbers for Wednesday.
Wrong on Walker and Trump is naive as hell on immigration...you cannot deport 13,000,000 anythings and building a wall in the 21st century only assists ladder and hole saw manufacturers....and unless you extend the wall far into the sea, it is worthless.
We elect these people because we think they will do good for Our Country, and they end up taking bribes and the lobbistists go in and promise them the world and they do anything to obtain it...so sad....
[But I’m still all in for Cruz, the most consistent, constitutional conservative in the race]
TED CRUZ has the fear of the Lord, which is the beginning of wisdom. He also has experience and know how to lead our nation back to its Constitutional roots.
TED CRUZ 2016
IMHO , Trump is the only R who can win . Get back to me in Nov. 2016 IF it’s anybody but Trump .
America is waking up and Trump is the alarm clock !
Trump/Cruz 2016 ...Cruz/? 2024 ...
Over 60% say that they would not vote for Trump under any circumstances.
It's possible that 60 percent is a hole in the hull that will take him down. But it's also way early, and never is a long time.
When faced with 0bummer, I reluctantly voted for McCain. When faced with any of the Dems on the horizon as Nov. '16 approaches, I think it's hard to say a lot of GOP skeptics wouldn't become Trump converts PDQ.
If you want to understand the why you need to research-
Fabian socialists
Ted Roosevelt, likely the person that has stabilized and destabilized global relations the most(personal actions verse policies)
Margaret Sangers Hatred of blacks and the underclass, see the above. google George Bernard shaw video.
once you read up will discuss Hitler the extermination camps, WWI, WWII, the collapse of the family in western nations, and the arch of the fabians in the remaking of the world.
We are in end times unless the USA decides to stop the crap.
Now THAT’S a thought.
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