Posted on 09/15/2015 1:03:14 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
According to 'PredictIt' - the new InTrade - Jeb Bush remains the bookies favorite to get the Republican presidential nomination. The Donald is ranked 3rd in the betting (after Rubio) where a 23c bet will win $1 if Trump gets the nod.
Trump is not a total "loser" though as he is odds-on favorite to get the most speaking time in the forthcoming CNN debates.
Surveys and Polls are fickle.. follow the money... Clinton is the clear "money" favorite for The White House...
no Hillary? thank goodness.
Did you see the third chart?
Both Hillary and Bernie Sanders are on top with only Trump beating Sanders but still behind Hillary ( according to the betting market ).
Sounds like there’s some real money to be made, since there is no way Mrs. Clinton is going to be elected dog catcher. The only reason she’s running is to keep the Justice Department looking the other way.
Doesn’t even matter. After the current Preezy was “elected” I said we would never have another Republican as Preezy. I hope I am wrong.
apparently you skipped the last page of the polls.
Regardless of what bookies are saying...Im going to say it again Hillary will never be elected!]]
oops, missed that.
The Trump brand is undervalued and the Bush brand is overvalued.
Investors are hedging their bets and they think the current love affair with Trump will fade by early next year.
That and September polls historically are a poor predictor of the eventual GOP nominee.
I think they’ll do a subtle take-down of Trump.
Folks aren’t going to be happy about it, and it will cause him to reach 35 to 40% plus commonly in the polls.
There are questions you can ask, to make it look you’re trying to sound intellectual, like Hewitt tried to do, that will cause the public to see exactly what he was up to.
Folks aren’t in any mood to watch Trump get gamed with questions that don’t pertain to this policies, or information that he doesn’t have to know at this point.
The little groups of pseudo native Americans with their hatchets out here looking for pundit scalps, should put the fear of god into the usual suspects.
LoL and the casinos are going take all those people’s money voting against Trump.
Line’m up suckers.
The Trump brand is undervalued and the Bush brand is overvalued.
Yes, there are more than enough voters in our cemeteries to guarantee a victory for Hillary in 2016.
“The Donald is ranked 3rd in the betting (after Rubio) ....”
Well that tells you right there you that this ranking can’t have any reliable accuracy, since Rubio has a better chance that his hairline will spontaneously stop receding than he does of winning the nomination.
I honestly can’t see Bush getting it. I think Trump is unlikely because he’s not a conservative, something that will emerge more with the debates, and Carson is a conservative but will probably not be considered tough enough.
Walker and Cruz just don’t come across well in the media for some reason. I’ve never seen either of them in person, although I’d be more inclined to vote for Walker than for Cruz simply because Walker has actually been able to accomplish things but Cruz can’t seem to get enough support to actually achieve his goals.
I like Fiorina, who does have conservative positions and is firm and an engaging speaker, but I’m not sure Republicans would vote for a woman.
So I’m not sure who will come out on top, but it will probably be a compromise candidate like Kasich. That is, Bush positions but not Bush.
As for Hillary, Obama and his gang hate her almost as much as they hate her husband, and I have never thought - even leaving aside her lack of ability and gifts - that she’d be the candidate. I think it’s going to be Biden for the Dems.
4 to 1 on Trump to win the GOP nomination?
Where’s the window? Time to fire it in!
looks like some easy money to be made here by betting NO on certain candidates. betting yes is riskier because of the risk of assassination.
RE: So I’m not sure who will come out on top, but it will probably be a compromise candidate like Kasich.
Kasich is :
1) A supporter of Obamacare since he EXPANDED Medicaid in his state ( using the Bible as his support ) in order to receive Federal money.
2) Refuses to support traditional marriage or anyone like Kim Davis, telling them to give up the fight since the SCOTUS has spoken.
3) Shares Marco Rubio’s sympathies for illegals.
How’s that going to play out with conservatives?
I don’t know. Trump doesn’t have a lot of conservative positions (unless his gurus told him to pretend to adopt them based on opinion polls). He’s in favor of single payer health care, did not “support” Kim Davis, and has already said many times that he’s willing to modify his stance on Muslim illegals and immigrants.
He seems to hate Mexicans, but I actually don’t think most conservatives do. I’d much rather see legal immigration dealt with differently (that is, more Mexican gardeners and fewer Muslim welfare recipients) than have him indulging in his fantasy of deporting all Mexicans...who are, in any case, not the largest number of illegals. (The Chinese hold that title.)
So unless the press will start paying attention to some of the more genuinely conservative candidates, letting them fight it out, I’d say we’re probably going to get the usual moderate GOP loser, although it probably won’t be Bush.
RE: He’s in favor of single payer health care
All he did was speak well of the Canadian and Scottish single payer system as “working very well” ( his words in the debate ).
However, in speech after speech after speech ( including the Dallas rally yesterday ), he did mention several things:
1) Scrapping Obamacare
2) Opening insurance up for interstate competition
3) Healthcare savings accounts
I’ll give him some leeway on that.
RE: Kim Davis
Trump clearly has not brushed up on the constitution, especially the limits to the powers of the Judiciary and the first and tenth amendments.
This is what really concerns me because he has a past record of openly supporting Judicial activism ( see his support of the SCOTUS on the Kelo vs City of New London case ). This has a direct bearing on the kind of Supreme Court Justice or Federal judges he will appoint.
We are going to have a spate of retirements in our courts in the next 4 years and we can ill afford to have another Ginsberg, Kagan or Sotomayor, much less a Kennedy on the bench.
RE: He seems to hate Mexicans, but I actually don’t think most conservatives do.
That is what the MSM’s would like you to believe but in his speeches, he continuously emphasizes the fact that he loves Hispanics of all stripes and in fact employs hundreds of them in his business.
In fact, despite his talk of deportation, he is opening up a pathway for those deported to come back LEGALLY.
This does not sound like a man who hates Mexicans at all.
The problem in this immigration debate is people tend to conflate legal vs illegal immigrants and do not bother to explain which kind of immigrant they are referring to when they argue. Folks like Linda Chavez, Michael Medved and the Editors of the Wall Street Journal do this all the time.
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