Skip to comments.
The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
FiveThirtyEight ^
| 08/11/2015
| By HARRY ENTEN
Posted on 08/11/2015 11:37:39 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Not long ago, Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders was surging. In just a few months, the Vermont senator halved Hillary Clintons lead in Iowa and moved to within shouting distance of her in New Hampshire. But its probably time to change the verb tense. No longer is Sanders surging. He has surged. From now on, picking up additional support will be more of a slog.
Take a look at the monthly averages of Clintons and Sanderss support in live-interview polls taken in Iowa and New Hampshire since April (the month that both Clinton and Sanders officially entered the race):
|
IOWA |
NEW HAMPSHIRE |
MONTH |
CLINTON |
SANDERS |
Clinton |
Sanders |
July |
55% |
26% |
45% |
35% |
June |
51 |
29 |
47 |
30 |
May |
57 |
16 |
62 |
18 |
April |
59 |
9 |
51 |
13 |
Support for Sanders rocketed up in Iowa but has leveled off since June. The story is nearly the same in New Hampshire. Sanders rose from June to July in the Granite State, but his ascent slowed.
So what’s going on? Sanders is maxing out on gains simply because of increased name recognition. Different pollsters ask about favorability and name recognition in different ways — making comparisons tricky — but the University of New Hampshire (UNH) polled Democrats in the state in April, June and July. Sanderss favorable rating went from 45 percent in April to 66 percent in June and then to 69 percent in July.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Vermont
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2016election; berniesanders; democrats; election2016; vermont
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20, 21-29 last
To: SeekAndFind
Just like many Republicans are craving for a real deal conservative, many Democrats are craving for a real Socialist, proud and unabashed and not afraid of the “S” word. Judging from the enormous crowds Sanders has received in Portland and L.A., it seems to me his campaign has an enormous amount of enthusiasm and is just getting started.
To: LeoWindhorse
Maybe they aren’t supporting Sanders so much as “anybody but hillary”.
22
posted on
08/11/2015 12:42:03 PM PDT
by
MrB
(The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
To: LeoWindhorse
the lunatics are on the loose they're not just on the loose. they've taken over!
23
posted on
08/11/2015 12:44:37 PM PDT
by
bankwalker
(In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king.)
To: SeekAndFind
Bernie’s “supporters” are paid vermin from SEIU and Soros Occupy. Hillary’s! supporters are paid vermin from DNC hacks.
24
posted on
08/11/2015 12:46:35 PM PDT
by
Oldeconomybuyer
(The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
To: Steely Tom
He could announce that Caitlyn Jenner is his pick for VP.If anyone, it'd be Trump that'd name Caitlyn Jenner as his VP.
Tune in tomorrow to see, on Celebrity Apprentice, D.C.:
Do Trump and Roger Ailes kiss and make up?
Does Vice President Caitlyn Jenner decide to keep her baby?
Does Secretary of State Kim Kardashian convince the UN Security council to vote Putin off of the UN Island?
25
posted on
08/11/2015 12:51:00 PM PDT
by
Monitor
("The urge to save humanity is almost always a false-front for the urge to rule it." - H. L. Mencken)
To: faithhopecharity
the vast majority of Ds do NOT want Hillary foisted off on them
30-40% maybe. Not the vast majority.
Add up those who actually want Hillary, those who go with the frontrunner, and those who don't want to make waves, and there's your majority of Democrats.
Maybe this is one way the system is rigged: outsiders have to enter early to get money and name recognition, but if they enter early their campaigns peak early, and by the time the primaries actually happen the front-running insider with all the money can steamroll over the challenger.
26
posted on
08/11/2015 1:06:37 PM PDT
by
x
To: SeekAndFind
WeekendAt Bernie is sinking because HilLiaRy’s attacks through Soros’ Black Lives Matter movement is working.
27
posted on
08/11/2015 2:00:07 PM PDT
by
subterfuge
(Minneseeota: the laughingstock of the nation - for lots of reasons!)
To: SeekAndFind
Probably his response (or lack of one) to the 2 black lesbian women who took over his microphone in seattle had something to do with this. Feckless, weak, limp, confused, incapable...
28
posted on
08/11/2015 2:24:00 PM PDT
by
hal ogen
(First Amendment or Reeducation Camp?)
To: SeekAndFind
29
posted on
08/11/2015 2:59:28 PM PDT
by
stephenjohnbanker
(My Batting Average( 1,000) (GOPe is that easy to read))
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20, 21-29 last
Disclaimer:
Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual
posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its
management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the
exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson