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The Bernie Sanders Surge Appears To Be Over
FiveThirtyEight ^
| 08/11/2015
| By HARRY ENTEN
Posted on 08/11/2015 11:37:39 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Not long ago, Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders was surging. In just a few months, the Vermont senator halved Hillary Clintons lead in Iowa and moved to within shouting distance of her in New Hampshire. But its probably time to change the verb tense. No longer is Sanders surging. He has surged. From now on, picking up additional support will be more of a slog.
Take a look at the monthly averages of Clintons and Sanderss support in live-interview polls taken in Iowa and New Hampshire since April (the month that both Clinton and Sanders officially entered the race):
|
IOWA |
NEW HAMPSHIRE |
MONTH |
CLINTON |
SANDERS |
Clinton |
Sanders |
July |
55% |
26% |
45% |
35% |
June |
51 |
29 |
47 |
30 |
May |
57 |
16 |
62 |
18 |
April |
59 |
9 |
51 |
13 |
Support for Sanders rocketed up in Iowa but has leveled off since June. The story is nearly the same in New Hampshire. Sanders rose from June to July in the Granite State, but his ascent slowed.
So what’s going on? Sanders is maxing out on gains simply because of increased name recognition. Different pollsters ask about favorability and name recognition in different ways — making comparisons tricky — but the University of New Hampshire (UNH) polled Democrats in the state in April, June and July. Sanderss favorable rating went from 45 percent in April to 66 percent in June and then to 69 percent in July.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Vermont
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2016election; berniesanders; democrats; election2016; vermont
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To: SeekAndFind
He could announce that Caitlyn Jenner is his pick for VP.
2
posted on
08/11/2015 11:39:12 AM PDT
by
Steely Tom
(Vote GOP: A Slower Handbasket)
To: SeekAndFind
that so many are so supportive of this disheveled little socialist is symptomatic of how far gone our country has become , the lunatics are on the loose
To: SeekAndFind
If Sanders were ever to pose a genuine threat to Mrs. Clinton’s candidacy — the Washington cartel would make short work of him.
4
posted on
08/11/2015 11:40:30 AM PDT
by
BenLurkin
(The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
To: LeoWindhorse
You.....you mean people quit believing in him after he reached 100 trillion dollars of free stuff ?
5
posted on
08/11/2015 11:41:17 AM PDT
by
stephenjohnbanker
(My Batting Average( 1,000) (GOPe is that easy to read))
To: stephenjohnbanker
I think people (even Democrats) do not like him surrendering to the #BlackLivesMatter crowd.
To: SeekAndFind
To: LeoWindhorse
Just looking at him assures me he has old BO and bad breath. Ugh!
To: SeekAndFind
But yet, he still bring in crowds of people that Hillary can only dream of.
9
posted on
08/11/2015 11:56:04 AM PDT
by
Biggirl
("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
To: SeekAndFind
They had to have Berni’s rally’s before the college students went back to school....when you look at the photos up close my gosh they’re more than a little dominate...not to mention the “pinks” and “pets”.
10
posted on
08/11/2015 11:57:50 AM PDT
by
caww
To: BenLurkin
Bernie simply opened the way for Hillary because she can’t run a campaign worth crap....and besides to old to handle the campaign trail.
11
posted on
08/11/2015 11:59:04 AM PDT
by
caww
To: LeoWindhorse
that so many are so supportive of this disheveled little socialist is symptomatic of how far gone our country has become , the lunatics are on the looseThey approve of the way he backed down and slinked off the stage when confronted by the #blacklivesmatter thugs
12
posted on
08/11/2015 12:02:34 PM PDT
by
capydick
("If we lose freedom here, there is no place to escape to. This is the last stand on Earth.")
To: SeekAndFind
The RNC should sue for plagiarism of their Trump articles. Hill still talks to cameras in empty rooms. If it weren’t for journalists, there would be no Hillary following.
13
posted on
08/11/2015 12:04:32 PM PDT
by
Steamburg
(Other people's money is the only language a politician respects)
To: SeekAndFind
the vast majority of D’s do NOT want Hillary foisted off on them
they are attracted to Bernie because he is more honest and has a far less rotten record in political office
the Bernie surge will only end if and when a more acceptable (to the majority of D’s, that is) main-stream Democrat of any prominence seriously starts to campaign for the D nomination
until that happens, we expect Bernie to keep doing quite well (despite the Soros opposition and funding of disruptive street thug gangs to mess up his speeches)
To: SeekAndFind
Time for Operation Chaos II.
15
posted on
08/11/2015 12:12:26 PM PDT
by
Paladin2
(Ive given up on aphostrophys and spell chek on my current device...)
To: Steely Tom
He could announce that Caitlyn Jenner is his pick for VP. Or worse... Oprah.
16
posted on
08/11/2015 12:13:05 PM PDT
by
Charles Martel
(Endeavor to persevere...)
To: SeekAndFind
LOL, yesterday the nurse’s union rejected Hillary for Bernie, and today Bernie’s declared as “over.”
17
posted on
08/11/2015 12:20:41 PM PDT
by
Talisker
(One who commands, must obey.)
To: faithhopecharity
the vast majority of Ds do NOT want Hillary foisted off on them
Dems are sheep who will follow whatever figurehead they are given by the party. Sanders, Clinton, Biden, etc. Matters little who the nominee is.
18
posted on
08/11/2015 12:27:36 PM PDT
by
lodi90
To: lodi90
Yep, everyone is tired of the Bush/Clinton Political Cartel.
19
posted on
08/11/2015 12:28:35 PM PDT
by
dfwgator
To: SeekAndFind
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