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Donald Trump is in First Place in GOP Primary Poll
Vox News ^

Posted on 07/09/2015 6:09:00 PM PDT by Din Maker

Donald Trump has been inching upward in the polls lately, and now we finally have one from The Economist and YouGov showing him in a clear first place.

"Trump supporters may be making more of a statement than voting for someone they consider a contender," Kathy Frankovic writes at YouGov. "Just one in five of Trump's supporters think Trump will win the nomination." Other tidbits Frankovic points out are that Trump's supporters tend to back the Tea Party and to identify as "very conservative," and are less likely to be college-educated.

The new poll is probably a bit dispiriting for Jeb Bush, though. He had gotten a small bump to first place in three national polls conducted after his June announcement, and his team clearly hoped this would finally let him break away from the rest of the large field. Now, though, he's down at 11 points, tied for second with Rand Paul. This new poll could be an outlier, or it could be the first sign that Jeb's announcement bounce has worn off. (Bush's fantastic fundraising news should help with any disappointment he feels, though)

But Trump's 15 percent is not a particularly impressive performance in a crowded field — Bush, Scott Walker, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Ben Carson, and Mike Huckabee have all hit or passed that number in at least one poll. Also, Trump hasn't yet led any polls in Iowa or New Hampshire, which are generally more important than national polls. Still, it's national polls that are being used to determine which candidates qualify for the first GOP debate, and Trump clearly makes that cut at this point.

But the big question about whether Trump will show up on stage in Cleveland on August 6 isn't about his polling — it's about whether he'll actually turn in the required financial disclosures to the FEC. As Slate's Josh Voorhees writes, many are skeptical that Trump would publicly disclose so many details of his "business empire." It's up to Trump to prove them wrong.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016gopprimary; 2016polls; donaldtrump; election2016; joshvoorhees; newyork; slate; trump
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To: Din Maker
The new poll is probably a bit dispiriting for Jeb Bush, though.

And this, I think, is one of the most important contributions that Trump is making right now; he is keeping Bush from gaining any momentum. That, and he is bulldozing a path thru the PC minefield, which, hopefully, a serious candidate like Cruz can then walk thru. I think Cruz is already on board with this plan.

41 posted on 07/09/2015 6:41:09 PM PDT by NurdlyPeon (It is the nature of liberals to pervert whatever they touch.)
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To: Red Steel; tennmountainman

I saw Greta’s segment with Rove, too!

Greta was noticeably irked or at least irritated with Rove’s ranting against TRUMP, because when she got the chance, she said to Rove, “let me me play devil’s advocate.”

Greta likes Donald Trump!


42 posted on 07/09/2015 6:42:12 PM PDT by onyx
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To: CivilWarBrewing

Yeah I noticed that too. Hard to correct once one hits “post”.


43 posted on 07/09/2015 6:42:46 PM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance.)
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To: Din Maker

Elitist establishment GOP pukes are having fits in country clubs and cocktail parties all over America right now. Gotta love it.


44 posted on 07/09/2015 6:42:49 PM PDT by Godebert
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To: Rome2000

Any third party that isn’t Communist pretty much guarantees a Dem win.
As Trump himself said the other day, without Ross Perot, nobody today would remember who the Clintons are.


45 posted on 07/09/2015 6:42:51 PM PDT by nascarnation (Impeach, convict, deport)
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To: Snickering Hound

What a picture! I laugh every time I see it.


46 posted on 07/09/2015 6:44:16 PM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance.)
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To: Din Maker

Candidate Jeb Bush attends Chamber of Commerce dinner with Fox’s Rupert Murdoch and Valerie Jarrett (December 2014)

47 posted on 07/09/2015 6:45:59 PM PDT by Paladin2 (Ive given up on aphostrophys and spell chek on my current device...)
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To: Rome2000

Rubio is ahead of Cruz in fundraising? Didn’t Cruz just come off an incredible $51 million cash haul this quarter? I don’t think Rubio even touched that.


48 posted on 07/09/2015 6:47:54 PM PDT by erod (Chicago Conservative | Cruz or Lose!)
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To: onyx

Trump is on with Hannity tonight.


49 posted on 07/09/2015 6:49:11 PM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance.)
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To: Snickering Hound

Jeb’s getting explosure.


50 posted on 07/09/2015 6:49:13 PM PDT by Paladin2 (Ive given up on aphostrophys and spell chek on my current device...)
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To: GraceG

Donald Saw a huge giant vaccumm, big enough for his toupee
_____________________________________________________________

I saw a lady newscaster recently (can’t remember which one it was) that actually felt his hair. He does NOT wear a toupee.


51 posted on 07/09/2015 6:50:46 PM PDT by Din Maker (GOP Gov. Susana Martinez of New Mexico for VP)
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To: nascarnation
"Any third party that isn’t Communist pretty much guarantees a Dem win."

Not much difference between the Dems and the GOP nowadays.

52 posted on 07/09/2015 6:52:09 PM PDT by Godebert
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To: Din Maker

His early pictures show his hair combed as he does now....for whatever reason he just likes it that way....but yes..it’s real.


53 posted on 07/09/2015 6:52:56 PM PDT by caww
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To: Godebert

Yes, we’re pretty much screwed.

or in abbreviated terms

IOWF

But do you really want to see 8 years of Hillary and Huma on tv every day?


54 posted on 07/09/2015 6:54:28 PM PDT by nascarnation (Impeach, convict, deport)
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To: CodeToad

Because you have you have 4 choices:
1.don’t vote
2. Vote dem
3 .vote 3rdparty
4.vote gope
In the first three you’re voting dem, only in the last choice are you voting correctly.Its general consensus.
Consensus in my view is more often wrong than right.lesser of two evils and all that.I view it the same as the money in my wallet,I decide what product or services to spend it on.If a candidate doesn’t meet my expectations,screw ‘em.Their not entitled to my vote anymore than I should purchase a crappy product or service.
Besides,93% of the politicians of either party are scumbags.


55 posted on 07/09/2015 6:56:22 PM PDT by crosdaddy
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To: crosdaddy
93% of the politicians of either party are scumbags.

Right.

And if you ran...you would be too?

56 posted on 07/09/2015 6:59:21 PM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Celebrate "Republicans Freed the Slaves Month")
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To: Chauncey Uppercrust

usually we are told third party gives it to the Dems, but Trump against Clinton and Bush would have equal chance, I can see that absolutely.
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

A few days ago, I would have disagreed with you. But, you know what? I think you might be right. I read today on Liberal “Yahoo News” that the Dems are rejoicing over Trump’s rise in the polls. Be careful what you wish for.


57 posted on 07/09/2015 6:59:56 PM PDT by Din Maker (GOP Gov. Susana Martinez of New Mexico for VP)
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To: Chauncey Uppercrust

Non of us left college owing large amounts of money on student loans with a silly assed studies degree.Talk about a sucker born every minute.


58 posted on 07/09/2015 7:00:21 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: Din Maker

I think Anderson took votes from Jimmah (p|$$ be upon him).


59 posted on 07/09/2015 7:01:20 PM PDT by Paladin2 (Ive given up on aphostrophys and spell chek on my current device...)
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To: tennmountainman

YES!

I am watching.


60 posted on 07/09/2015 7:01:27 PM PDT by onyx
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