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Donald Trump is in First Place in GOP Primary Poll
Vox News ^

Posted on 07/09/2015 6:09:00 PM PDT by Din Maker

Donald Trump has been inching upward in the polls lately, and now we finally have one from The Economist and YouGov showing him in a clear first place.

"Trump supporters may be making more of a statement than voting for someone they consider a contender," Kathy Frankovic writes at YouGov. "Just one in five of Trump's supporters think Trump will win the nomination." Other tidbits Frankovic points out are that Trump's supporters tend to back the Tea Party and to identify as "very conservative," and are less likely to be college-educated.

The new poll is probably a bit dispiriting for Jeb Bush, though. He had gotten a small bump to first place in three national polls conducted after his June announcement, and his team clearly hoped this would finally let him break away from the rest of the large field. Now, though, he's down at 11 points, tied for second with Rand Paul. This new poll could be an outlier, or it could be the first sign that Jeb's announcement bounce has worn off. (Bush's fantastic fundraising news should help with any disappointment he feels, though)

But Trump's 15 percent is not a particularly impressive performance in a crowded field — Bush, Scott Walker, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Ben Carson, and Mike Huckabee have all hit or passed that number in at least one poll. Also, Trump hasn't yet led any polls in Iowa or New Hampshire, which are generally more important than national polls. Still, it's national polls that are being used to determine which candidates qualify for the first GOP debate, and Trump clearly makes that cut at this point.

But the big question about whether Trump will show up on stage in Cleveland on August 6 isn't about his polling — it's about whether he'll actually turn in the required financial disclosures to the FEC. As Slate's Josh Voorhees writes, many are skeptical that Trump would publicly disclose so many details of his "business empire." It's up to Trump to prove them wrong.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016gopprimary; 2016polls; donaldtrump; election2016; joshvoorhees; newyork; slate; trump
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To: Din Maker

Could be .. Trump said he isn’t thinking about running as a 3rd Party candidate ... NOW. We will see how he does. I would say Trump is the turd in the punch bowl but so is Jeb and most of the rest of them. The punch bowl is full of turds. I doubt I will be voting unless Cruz comes through.


121 posted on 07/09/2015 8:36:29 PM PDT by plain talk
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To: Din Maker

Could be .. Trump said he isn’t thinking about running as a 3rd Party candidate ... NOW. We will see how he does. I would say Trump is the turd in the punch bowl but so is Jeb and most of the rest of them. The punch bowl is full of turds. I doubt I will be voting unless Cruz comes through.


122 posted on 07/09/2015 8:36:30 PM PDT by plain talk
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To: Rodamala

So, who is your candidate? Sounds like you are very familiar with the hipster douche bags and their routines. Why are you so pissed off? Did they “Unfriend” you on Facebook?


123 posted on 07/09/2015 8:37:08 PM PDT by Din Maker (GOP Gov. Susana Martinez of New Mexico for VP)
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To: Red Steel

“Poor little Karl’s Establishment world is coming down on his head. ;-)”

Awww. Stop! You’re breaking my heart. :)


124 posted on 07/09/2015 8:37:51 PM PDT by stilloftyhenight (In a time of universal deceit - telling the truth is a revolutionary act. George Orwell)
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To: erod

No way in hell.


125 posted on 07/09/2015 8:41:37 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: GeronL

Thank you.


126 posted on 07/09/2015 8:42:49 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (Polling: The dark art of .turning a liberal agenda into political reality.)
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To: stilloftyhenight
It’s too late for a third party in this election. There is no time to meet all the mandates in each state to run as a 3rd.

That's simply inaccurate.

127 posted on 07/09/2015 8:43:57 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (Polling: The dark art of .turning a liberal agenda into political reality.)
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To: Din Maker

That was Mika Bryzinkski you’re referring to.


128 posted on 07/09/2015 8:46:54 PM PDT by mbrfl (fightingmad)
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To: Din Maker

BTTT


129 posted on 07/09/2015 8:49:00 PM PDT by proust (Why must Trump pay for Perot's sins?)
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To: Din Maker

That’s a trick question, there are no conservatives, but it’s an easy choice, Trump.
The others want us to be North Mexico.


130 posted on 07/09/2015 9:00:13 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: familyop

15 years ago is recent?


131 posted on 07/09/2015 9:01:44 PM PDT by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
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To: Din Maker

>He does NOT wear a toupee<
This is part of the reason we are so screwed as a country. Who the hell cares about his or anyone else’s hair for that matter? Jesus help us.


132 posted on 07/09/2015 9:04:33 PM PDT by Lil Flower (American by birth. Southern by the Grace of God. ROLL TIDE!!)
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To: Rome2000

We’ve been called racists before. That is so over! We know who is really racist. Google “White Girl Bleed A lot.”


133 posted on 07/09/2015 9:11:51 PM PDT by Lopeover (My vote is valuable, you must earn it.)
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To: erod

What was significant about the poll is that Trump tops the list also as the “second” choice for those being polled. That means if other candidates fall out, it’s more likely that he’ll get their support, at least as of the time of this writing.


134 posted on 07/09/2015 9:15:57 PM PDT by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
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To: Din Maker

No BoBo, we’ve held our noses and voted for your Rinos for several rounds! It is our turn now. You pajama boys hear me?

It is time for you to reach down low, below your belts grab your balls and vote for our pick!


135 posted on 07/09/2015 9:22:25 PM PDT by Lopeover (My vote is valuable, you must earn it.)
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To: Din Maker

“...Dems are rejoicing over Trump’s rise in the polls...”

Yeah, well, as I recall back in 2008, Republicans cheered when Obama rose in the polls.

There are a lot of people out there now who think Trump is trying to pull a fast one. I don’t think he intends to do that.


136 posted on 07/09/2015 9:22:26 PM PDT by SatinDoll (A NATURAL BORN CITIZEN IS BORN IN THE USA OF TWO USA CITIZENS)
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans
"15 years ago is recent?"

Time flies for older folks, who are set in their ways. ;-)


137 posted on 07/09/2015 9:24:03 PM PDT by familyop (We Baby Boomers are croaking in an avalanche of corruption smelled around the planet.)
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To: LUV W

Nooooooooooo....Jeb Bush is a democrat who should stop lying.


138 posted on 07/09/2015 9:25:11 PM PDT by SatinDoll (A NATURAL BORN CITIZEN IS BORN IN THE USA OF TWO USA CITIZENS)
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To: SatinDoll
Good! They are using reverse psychology or they won't see it coming! I actually believe that it is reverse psy ops! They are not as stupid as the right can be at times! 😆😆😆😆😊😆😆
139 posted on 07/09/2015 9:27:26 PM PDT by Lopeover (My vote is valuable, you must earn it.)
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To: familyop
That comment about the "assault weapon" ban bothered me as well, but then I ran across this:

Donald Trump: “I certainly stand by my opposition to Gun Control when it comes to taking guns from law-abiding citizens. You mention that the media describes the AR-15 as an “assault rifle,” which is one example of the many distortions they use to sell their agenda. However, the AR-15 does not fall under this category. Gun-banners are unfortunately preoccupied with the AR-15, magazine capacity, grips, and other aesthetics, precisely because of its popularity.”

“To the Left every gun is an assault weapon.”

“Gun control does not reduce crime. It has consistently failed to stop violence. Americans are entitled to protect their families, their property and themselves. In fact, in right-to-carry states the violent crime rate is 24% lower than the rest of the United States and the murder rate is 28% lower. This should not be up for debate.”

This guy sounds a lot like the real deal, to me.

140 posted on 07/09/2015 9:34:57 PM PDT by InfraRed
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